3/18/19 Sports Betting Matchup Breakdown: Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs

Hey everyone, welcome to the daily sports betting breakdown here on RotoGrinders, where we not only give you our favorite bets from one of the most interesting games of the night, but also historical numbers to help you improve your sports betting knowledge.

Well, plain and simple, things did not go well last week. After a massive tear over a two week period we had a horrible week that ended with a missed cover by a half point because we got the line right before it moved to -9. But we had things happen the opposite way the week before. These things happen and we move on to the next day.

So, let’s get to the breakdown for March 18th, 2019: the Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs game.

gradient
  • Fantastic Mobile App
  • Endless Promotions

Historical Numbers Against the Spread

Tonight’s match up features a potential first round playoff series in the Western Conference. The Warriors currently sit in first in the Western Conference with a record of 47-21 (5-5 in their last 10), while the Spurs currently sit in 6th in the Western Conference with a record of 41-29 (8-2 in their last 10).

Warriors Historical Numbers Against the Spread

Even though the Warriors have been the best team in the league so far this year, the expectations for them were that they would be the best team of all time, and as such, they have been the 2nd worst team to bet on this season going 28-39-1 ATS. Despite the Warriors being the absolute worst team to bet at home this season, they have only been slightly below average on the road, going 16-18 ATS. However, the Warriors have been well below average as a road favorite going 12-16 ATS (9th worst in the league). Additionally, they have been well below average on a full day’s rest, going 17-22 ATS. Overall, this is a below average spot for the Warriors to cover.

Spurs Historical Numbers Against the Spread

The Spurs have been drastically better this season than a lot of people thought, and have been one of the better teams to bet on this season, going 39-31 ATS (6th in the league). While the Spurs have been well below average on the road, they have been the second best team in the league to bet at home, going 23-12 ATS and 8-1 as a home dog. It should be noted that the Spurs have been below average on a full day of rest going 19-22 ATS. Overall, this grades as an above average spot for the Spurs to cover.

Historical Numbers on the Total

Warriors Historical Numbers on the Total

The Warriors have been the best offensive team in the league this year, but that was largely expected, so the Warriors 33-35 record on the over is not that surprising. What is surprising is the Warriors home/road splits on the total where they have gone 14-20 on the over at home and 19-15 on the over on the road. Additionally, the Warriors have been slightly below average on a full day of rest this season, going 18-21. Overall, this is an average spot for the Warriors to cover the over.

Spurs Historical Numbers on the Total

Even though the Spurs have played at one of the slowest paces in the league this year, they have been so bad on the defensive end that they have covered the over at the second highest rates in the league (39-30-1). Much like the Warriors, the Spurs have some pretty drastic home/road splits on covering the over as they have gone 16-19 at home and 23-11-1 on the road (1st in the league). Given the Spurs giant home/road splits, this is a below average spot for the Spurs to cover the over.

gradient
  • Fantastic Mobile App
  • Endless Promotions

My Pick

 
Download the SharpSide App To Keep Track Of Your Bets!
 

(Top photo: Soobum Im/USA TODAY Sports)