PGA Championship Betting: Five Value Golfers To Consider At Bethpage Black
A month ago the golf world rejoiced in celebration of Tiger Woods’ historic Masters victory. The win made it official: Tiger is back.
Woods hasn’t played a golf tournament since winning his 15th major, and you can bet he has a eyes set on winning his 16th major and his fifth PGA Championship this Sunday. Woods has won at Bethpage Black before, after all. He is no longer the golf betting favorite, but there’s still no value in betting on him.
As much as you wish you had backed Tiger last month, don’t let that fool you; there’s plenty of other golfers you should have your eyes on this week instead. Here’s a look at five PGA odds value bets you should consider for the 2019 PGA Championship.
Patrick Cantlay +4600 (888sport)
We had Patrick Cantlay for Masters when he was +8000 at BetStars. Cantlay finished in the Top 10 to make his eighth cut in just nine major appearances. Keep in mind, three of those made cuts, including a top-25, happened when Cantlay was just an amateur.
At one time, Cantlay was rising faster than young stars like Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas, spending 54 weeks as the No.1-ranked amateur in the world before being sidelined by a stress fracture in his back for the better part of three years. That was just the beginning of Cantlay’s long road towards playing golf again.
In 2016, Cantlay’s best friend and caddie was killed in a hit-and-run as the pair walked down a sidewalk. Still struggling with injuries, Cantlay didn’t play a single tournament for the rest of the year.
Since coming back in 2017, Cantlay has made a mindblowing 43 of 48 cuts with 32 Top-25s and 17 Top-10s.
The +4600 might seem too big of a drop from the +8000 odds we found last month even if he did finish T9 at Augusta. Yes, +8000 was a steal, but it’s worth noting that Cantlay was roughly +4000 to +5000 at other shops leading up to the Masters and he’s as low as +3300 at the Golden Nugget this week. In his one tournament appearance between the two majors, he finished third at The Heritage.
Like Thomas and Spieth, Cantlay has the pedigree to win a major. Bet on him to win sooner than later.
Phil Mickelson +8000 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
I’m normally not a big Phil Mickelson bettor. His name carries weight with the public, often too much, during major season.
This time there seems to be too much line movement away from Phil, especially at FanDuel Sportsbook. The sportsbook had Mickelson +5500 last week but is now +8000.
Lefty started off the season with a second-place finish at the Desert Classic and a win at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am. His play has tapered off since then, but he still managed a Top-20 finish at the Masters.
Two of Mickelson’s six U.S Open runner-up finishes have been at Bethpage Black and he tied for 13th at the Barclays here in 2016. That’s enough for me to take a shot at +8000. If he can keep his drives in the fairway, Lefty has chance come Sunday.
Sergio Garcia+4500 (BetStars)
Like Phil, Sergio Garcia also has exceptional course history at Bethpage. He finished third at the Barclays in 2012 and 10th at the 2009 U.S. Open and fourth in 2002.
There’s still much debate as to whether course history actually matters. If you’re one of the skeptics, just look at Garcia’s strokes gained tee to green. He’s 14th in that statistic this year and is coming off a fourth place finish at the Wells Fargo Championship.
Last time Garcia came close to winning a major at Bethpage, he faced a boisterous New York crowd. So boisterous that Sergio flipped them the bird. He was 17 years younger then, but only slightly more mature.
If he’s in contention this weekend the real test will be to see if the Spaniard can just keep his cool.
Bryson Dechambeau +4000 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
Bryson Dechambeau has proven to be one of the best golfers in the world, in large thanks to his four victories 11 starts between the end of 2018 and January 2019.
Dechambeau slowed down a bit after his win at the European Tour’s Dubai Desert Classic, but his play hasn’t been too concerning. He’s 6th in strokes gained off the tee which should set him up well here.
Much like Cantlay, Dechambeau just seems like another young golfer who will inevitably join the ranks of major champions at some point in his career. But as we’ve learned with Rickie Fowler, winning a major is a lot easier said than done. Considering Dechambeau was +2000 a month ago, +4000 is a good price. There’s not many golfers in the world who can display the type of dominance Dechambeau showed heading into this season.
Henrik Stenson +7000 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
From tee to green, Henrik Stenson is one of the best players on the planet. You won’t have to worry about him finding much trouble as he’ll be hitting Ol’ Reliable (his 3-wood) from most tee boxes. The one problem with that is this week’s wet conditions could make the course a bit long. Still, +7000 sounds like value for the caliber of golfer we get backing Stenson.
Longshots for consideration
Lucas Glover +10000 (PointsBet)
Keegan Bradley +16000 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
Emiliano Grillo +20000 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
Daniel Berger +20000 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
Justin Harding +20000 (BetStars)
Joaquin Niemann +37000 (FanDuel Sportsbook)