I hope this posts so that it is readable. If not I will put this on google docs.
I have created a modified Defense vs. Position Rankings. I used this method last year and found it very helpful in eliminating some noise from the traditional DVP rankings.
The #s on the chart below are the average points that the team listed gives up on average above or below their opponent’s average for each position.
For example: KC vs WR has a score of 11.6. Their opponents are averaging 33.4 pts at the wr position through week 5. KC on average is allowing 45.0 pts per week to wide receivers. 45.0-33.4 = 11.6.
You could take this further by taking each team’s average point per position and creating a projection by adding or subtracting the values here. I went as far as developing player projections based on these scores last year along with usage, but I feel that became a bit of a slave to those #s so I don’t plan on going that far this year. Although it was helpful in finding outliers – but simply looking at usage of players in the best matchups gives you the same thing.
I could do the same thing to adjust the offensive scores based on the strength of the defenses to normalize the stats of teams that may have faced a series of bad defenses early in the season.
I hope this is helpful to the other Grinders.
|Team||OPP||D vs. Q.B.||D Vs. R.B.||D Vs. W.R.||D vs. T.E.|