Looking for a little game theory discussion on playing the Thursday-Mon Slate on Draftkings. This week I went with a full fade. The topic for this thread is not looking at whether or not to play or fade players but how to adjust from Thursday’s results.
For example, this week David Johnson was 50% owned, from a game theory perspective I am happy with the fade, however he did put up 36 points leaving the other 50% of the field in a significant hole. My question is do we make a pivot to Leveon Bell and hope he outperforms? My reaction here is Bell probably has a 10% chance of breaking that score, if not less. I feel the best way to counter the 36 from DJ I should look at two value RB’s to counter that high score and lead to different roster construction.
Let me know what you guys think, I appreciate the feedback and discussion.