MAIN FORUM

Comments

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    Hey there everybody! I’m Justin Van Zuiden, one of the Rotogrinders hosts and writers. I go by the handle ‘stlcardinals84’ on most DFS sites (stlcardinalsfan84 on FanDuel) and am ranked in the top-50 overall. The folks at Rotogrinders wondered if I was willing to do an AMA, so I obliged.

    Some basic info about me:
    -I started working at Rotogrinders in August of 2013 (over three years now!)

    -I started playing DFS in January of 2012.

    -I am a CPA licensed in the state of Illinois and maintain a full time job as a CPA.

    -I like the St. Louis Cardinals, of course. Baseball is my favorite sport.

    -I have a Bachelors and a Masters Degree in Accounting from Northern Illinois University

    -My wife Shannon has somehow been married to me for eight years.

    -We have two children, both boys, Landon (6) and Noah (3).

    That about covers the basics. Fire away any questions you may have. I did one of these about three years ago, but times have changed since then!

  • killab2482

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    • x2

      2013 FanDuel WFFC Finalist

    And then on to the question: Who are your top tier dfs must reads/watches in the industry.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @SnowShark said...

    What percent of your bankroll do you normally play in tournaments and cash games in NBA? I am thinking of transitioning from a cash game only grinder to a tournament player in NBA specifically because these edge seems to be gone in cash games. Am I crazy to think cash games in sports other then NFL will be only +ev when new money enters the market? (either another marketing push or when other seasons merge)

    Thanks!!

    Yeah, cash games are tough these days. There’s lots of good information out there.

    I usually say 3-5% of my bankroll for GPP play only. Do I always follow that? No. Should you follow that? Yes.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @shiller32 said...

    Justin how do you deal with indecisiveness in lineups? Whenever I lose it’s because I make a change at the last minute because I wasn’t sure about a player.

    We all choose wrong 99% of the time, right? It’s easy to remember when your switch costs you money, but it’s hard to remember when your switch makes you money. I’m willing to bet your last minute changes aren’t THAT bad.

    Of course it sucks when it costs you $$$, but you have to trust your process. If you do that long-term, you will make the right decisions (as long as your process is sound). Of course, it doesn’t always work out, but that’s variance.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @dean78904 said...

    1 Leprechaun
    2 Leprechaun 2
    3 Leprechaun 3
    4 Leprechaun 4: In Space
    5 Leprechaun In the Hood
    6 Leprechaun 2: Back 2 tha Hood
    7 Leprechaun: Origins
    8 Major League
    9 Major League: Back to the Minors
    10 Tyler Perry’s Diary of a Mad Black Woman

    1) Major League
    2) Major League
    3) Major League
    4) Major League
    5) Major League
    6) Major League
    7) Leprechaun 3
    8) Leprechaun
    9) Leprechaun 2
    10) Tyler Perry’s Diary of a Mad Black Woman
    9999) Major League: Back to the Minors

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @Thedub784 said...

    Your accounting background and degree are the same as mine except I am a CPA in TX. Do you work for a firm as well as doing DFS. How do you have time? :)

    Yes, I work for a firm. Time is tough to come by, but I make it work… I addressed that a bit more on page 1 of the thread.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @Sax0 said...

    Thanks for doing this Cards! Love seeing your answers to all these questions.

    What’s your personal stance on DJ and Bell this week in NFL? Are they still worth paying up for? To clarify, I am mainly sticking to 100-400 person contests on DK this week and am wondering if I should stray away from locking them both in or if their floor is just too good, and hope that I hit with the cheapy WR’s. Maybe play one with ODB and mid-range value?

    I would probably play one of them this week. I don’t think you need both, especially on DK.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @rachelkyle said...

    Hello Cards,

    Perfect time for this AMA for me. For me DFS hasn’t been “fun” for a little while and its because I have put too much pressure on myself to win. I have been profitable but the grind has worn me down. With that I’m hoping your insight can help make things fun again.

    I am (was) a cash game grinder that has grown frustrated with how hard it has been and how one player can make or break your day. I would like to switch to GPPs but I don’t know which ones to play. I typically played $100 a night on DK and FD with almost all in cash games. Having said that, what are your recommendations for GPPs to play; size, buy in levels, entry limits, etc and how many lineups should one play. Along the same lines do you like or recommend scripting the entries or hand built lineups.

    Thanks in advance.

    If you are only playing ten lineups or less, I would hand build them. If you are at 11-20, it’s a gray area. I would script anything 21+.

    As for which to play, try to find ones with a more balanced payout structure. That would suit your style as a former cash game player. Start out slow and build up as you get more comfortable.

    Most importantly, if this is not fun for you, take a break! You will be amazed how much a week or two off can help you.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @timusbr said...

    Just have to ask…..

    DFS makes us all general managers in our own little world.

    Dexter Fowler 82M, is this an obvious pass or are you happy to roster him for the year?

    It’s a little steep for me, but baseball contracts are out of control. In the grand scheme of the market, I don’t hate it.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @MrFantasy said...

    At what rake % would you quit playing cash games and what % for GPPs?

    Cash games – we are really close to being there. If cash games were raked like GPPs are now, it would be VERY difficult. Once we hit 16-17% in cash games, I don’t think there’s much advantage to play them.

    GPPs – I would probably always play for the recreational aspect, but I would certainly cut back my buyins at anything higher than we are now, especially if it hits 20%.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @killab2482 said...

    I use to have this exact same thinking, but now i look at it differently. A satellite should be looked at just like a smaller tourney in general. Every league, tourney, satellite, etc. is rakedanyways. There really is no different in winning a 10 man $5 wiinner take all format for $50 or a $5 satellite where you a hypothetically win a $50 ticket as long as this $$ earned was going to be reinvested back into DFS. Satellites you will usually find weaker competition and potentially overlay.

    This is a very fair counterpoint. If there is overlay, I really don’t mind playing the satellites.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @killab2482 said...

    And then on to the question: Who are your top tier dfs must reads/watches in the industry.

    1) Anything that involves killab2482

    In no particular order:

    2) Most items in the RG Incentives
    3) Notorious Grind Down Articles
    4) DFS Edge Podcast
    5) Evan Silva’s matchup column
    6) Various RG shows (when I have the chance to catch them)
    7) JMToWin articles
    8) Anything that Adam Levitan or Jonathan Bales writes
    9) Mike Gallagher is a must follow for NBA.

    I am sure there are others that I am forgetting right now!

  • scottmsteiner

    As a baseball fan I have always enjoyed your contributions to the RG community.

    I would also like to contribute by writing about baseball DFS. I am thinking about writing a RG blog series this season, but I don’t want to write another “plays of the day” article. My preference would be to write about something that informs others more about the game of baseball and how that subject relates to DFS. Are there any baseball topics that you feel could be covered in more detail that would also be useful to the DFS player?

  • ToeTagginTambo

    • 139

      RG Overall Ranking

    • Ranked #89

      RG Tiered Ranking

    • x3

      2018 DraftKings FGWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings NFL KOTB Finalist

    @stlcardinals84 said...

    1) Anything that involves killab2482

    In no particular order:

    2) Most items in the RG Incentives
    3) Notorious Grind Down Articles
    4) DFS Edge Podcast
    5) Evan Silva’s matchup column
    6) Various RG shows (when I have the chance to catch them)
    7) JMToWin articles
    8) Anything that Adam Levitan or Jonathan Bales writes
    9) Mike Gallagher is a must follow for NBA.

    I am sure there are others that I am forgetting right now!

    Hey Justin, always a fan of yours. Thanks for doing this.

    1) How about PGA resources you like to use?
    2) Best advice for getting to a Live Final? I had my closest calls yet this year for NFL, but still came up just short with a 2nd in a FFWC Q on DK and then made the KOTB Q but missed the top 50 by 12 points, but had both McCoy and Prosise get injured.

    Thanks man!

  • dean78904

    Grinders Live Host

    • 162

      RG Overall Ranking

    • Ranked #21

      RG Tiered Ranking

    • x2

      2016 CVR Baseball

    • x2

      2017 CVR Baseball

    @scottmsteiner said...

    As a baseball fan I have always enjoyed your contributions to the RG community.

    I would also like to contribute by writing about baseball DFS. I am thinking about writing a RG blog series this season, but I don’t want to write another “plays of the day” article. My preference would be to write about something that informs others more about the game of baseball and how that subject relates to DFS. Are there any baseball topics that you feel could be covered in more detail that would also be useful to the DFS player?

    Not to hijack STL’s AMA (apologies), but a topic that I’d love to see addressed more is recent pitcher velocity and weather its on the uptick or downtick. An article focusing on the day’s pitchers and their recent velocity seems like an interesting niche.

    You can even throw in spin rates as well, if you are feeling frisky.

    Also, in reference to a previous post, Cards ranked Major League: Back to the Minors way too high.

  • peachfuzz

    • Blogger of the Month

    Hey Justin, thanks for the AMA!

    Correct me if I am wrong, but I believe I have read you state that baseball is one of the most predictable DFS games which seems nearly the exact opposite to a layperson for that sport. I would love to start up in MLB this coming season, but its randomness seems to only be outdone by that of NHL daily fantasy which throws up huge red flags considering I do not deal in volatility when it comes to wagering money.

    Comparing it to NBA terms (minutes, usage, shots taken, etc.), are there any similarities in MLB daily fantasy that you point to, and say “This set of factors is why I believe this player will score x-number of points” which leads you to either accept, or disregard the predictions your models generate? At its base, what do you feel makes MLB fantasy a predictable game?

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @scottmsteiner said...

    As a baseball fan I have always enjoyed your contributions to the RG community.

    I would also like to contribute by writing about baseball DFS. I am thinking about writing a RG blog series this season, but I don’t want to write another “plays of the day” article. My preference would be to write about something that informs others more about the game of baseball and how that subject relates to DFS. Are there any baseball topics that you feel could be covered in more detail that would also be useful to the DFS player?

    The market for material is pretty saturated these days. You’ve got people talking about picks, matchups, weather, umpires, and pretty much everything you can think of.

    My suggestion would be to find a way to make it “yours” and make it entertaining. If you do that, people will read it and notice you. Good luck!

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @ToeTagginTambo said...

    Hey Justin, always a fan of yours. Thanks for doing this.

    1) How about PGA resources you like to use?
    2) Best advice for getting to a Live Final? I had my closest calls yet this year for NFL, but still came up just short with a 2nd in a FFWC Q on DK and then made the KOTB Q but missed the top 50 by 12 points, but had both McCoy and Prosise get injured.

    Thanks man!

    I do most of my own PGA research. I read most of the content at PGATour.com, but I don’t take it all as gospel. I also listen to the Tour Junkies podcast. That’s about all I use for golf.

    Live finals are VERY hard to get to. They used to be more attainable when contest sizes were smaller and the field wasn’t as sharp, and I really enjoyed going after them then. I know some people make it seem easy to get seats, but you would be surprised how many entries some use to attempt to get a seat at one. I would guesstimate that about 50% of the people that make a live final actually end up losing money in the whole process. Personally, I have really cut back on the number of qualifiers I play. If you don’t win a seat, they are bankroll drainers. You can win enough money with the regular GPPs. If being totally honest, the live finals have really lost their appeal for me. I’ve been to six in my DFS career, so I used to chase them often, but I don’t think I spent more than $400 on NFL Q’s this year.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @peachfuzz said...

    Hey Justin, thanks for the AMA!

    Correct me if I am wrong, but I believe I have read you state that baseball is one of the most predictable DFS games which seems nearly the exact opposite to a layperson for that sport. I would love to start up in MLB this coming season, but its randomness seems to only be outdone by that of NHL daily fantasy which throws up huge red flags considering I do not deal in volatility when it comes to wagering money.

    Comparing it to NBA terms (minutes, usage, shots taken, etc.), are there any similarities in MLB daily fantasy that you point to, and say “This set of factors is why I believe this player will score x-number of points” which leads you to either accept, or disregard the predictions your models generate? At its base, what do you feel makes MLB fantasy a predictable game?

    I’m not sure where you got that, because I don’t think that was me…

    I love to play the contrarian angle with lineup building in MLB mainly because it is so inherently unpredictable.

  • krazyju84

    Justin,

    You are awesome for taking your time to do this, i appreciate it.

    1. What do you do when you get in a long DFS funk? anything different?

    i am in a long four week funk, 10-100 leagues were my strength but seems like its my weakness now. to change things up i am starting to transition to more GPP. Your experience on dealing with a long losing streak would be great.

    2. Seems like you have a consistent # of lineups you play each slate, how often do you expect your name to be on the first page?

    I used to play 2-3 lineups and somehow saw my name near the top about once a month. I have been playing 15-25 for couple weeks now but no results to show for yet.

    thanks and hope you keep killing it

  • ChrisGimino

    • 841

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2015 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    • 2016 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    Justin – how did you manage to slow the earth’s rotation to the point where you have more than 24 hours in a day? It seems impossible to stay as sharp as you do in so many sports with kids and a good job outside of DFS. This is the only explanation.

    All kidding aside —- do you have a well scheduled research period for each sport during the week? I am very impressed that you can keep up with the major sports and golf the way that you do.

  • skeeter1114

    • Blogger of the Month

    Sorry, more questions from me;

    1. Do you see anyone doing a live golf final this year, and do you think anyone outside of DK will do it?
    2. What will happen first: Gibb takes down a tournament with at least 2 South African players on his team, or Brendan Todd makes 2 cuts in a row?
    3. Pop or Soda?

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @krazyju84 said...

    Justin,

    You are awesome for taking your time to do this, i appreciate it.

    1. What do you do when you get in a long DFS funk? anything different?

    i am in a long four week funk, 10-100 leagues were my strength but seems like its my weakness now. to change things up i am starting to transition to more GPP. Your experience on dealing with a long losing streak would be great.

    2. Seems like you have a consistent # of lineups you play each slate, how often do you expect your name to be on the first page?

    I used to play 2-3 lineups and somehow saw my name near the top about once a month. I have been playing 15-25 for couple weeks now but no results to show for yet.

    thanks and hope you keep killing it

    1. Losing streaks are definitely part of the game. If you are transitioning to more GPP play, that’s only going to get worse. The key is to maintain the same process and attitude even during a losing streak. It’s easy to start second guessing things more, and that only makes things more difficult. If you are really frustrated, take a little time off. That always helps to refresh he mind.

    2. As far as being on the “first page,” I never really thought about that. Maybe once every two weeks? I don’t really have a good feel for that. It certainly depends on the size of the GPP that you are playing, that’s for sure.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @ChrisGimino said...

    Justin – how did you manage to slow the earth’s rotation to the point where you have more than 24 hours in a day? It seems impossible to stay as sharp as you do in so many sports with kids and a good job outside of DFS. This is the only explanation.

    All kidding aside —- do you have a well scheduled research period for each sport during the week? I am very impressed that you can keep up with the major sports and golf the way that you do.

    Haha, I WISH I could get more than 24 hours in a day.

    My research approach is pretty scheduled. I do a lot of it right before going to sleep the previous night and when I first get up in the morning. I’ll take about 30 minutes at lunch time to check up on news, and then of course about the hour before roster lock. Golf and football are much easier with only being once a week.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 246

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @skeeter1114 said...

    Sorry, more questions from me;

    1. Do you see anyone doing a live golf final this year, and do you think anyone outside of DK will do it?
    2. What will happen first: Gibb takes down a tournament with at least 2 South African players on his team, or Brendan Todd makes 2 cuts in a row?
    3. Pop or Soda?

    1. I think DK will probably do another Boston final, but I don’t think it’s a guarantee. I think the new DFS landscape will star including fewer live finals going forward. I don’t see a site like Fantasy Aces or Fantasy Draft starting live finals for golf.

    2. Definitely Gibb with 2 South Africans. Not even close.

    3. Pop in this neck of the woods.

    I enjoy your questions :)

  • krazyju84

    @stlcardinals84 said...

    1. Losing streaks are definitely part of the game. If you are transitioning to more GPP play, that’s only going to get worse. The key is to maintain the same process and attitude even during a losing streak. It’s easy to start second guessing things more, and that only makes things more difficult. If you are really frustrated, take a little time off. That always helps to refresh he mind.

    This is by far the longest losing streak for me so second guessing and frustration definitely on the rise but still i feel like tonight is my night! damn this DFS. haha

    One more question.

    Playing 20+ lineups in GPP, do you build mainly around few core players you like? or do you limit any single player exposure under a certain %?

    thanks again

  • X Unread Thread
  • X Thread with New Replies*
  • *Jumps to your first unread reply

Subforum Index

RotoGrinders.com is the home of the daily fantasy sports community. Our content, rankings, member blogs, promotions and forum discussion all cater to the players that like to create a new fantasy team every day of the week. Our goal is to help all of our members make more money playing daily fantasy sports!

Bet with your head, not over it!
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler