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  • whodat2

    When: May 9-12

    Where: Dallas,Texas

    Course: Trinity Forest Golf Club | A par 71 playing at 7371 yards.

    Last Year’s Winner: Aaron Wise at -23

    Last Year’s Cut: -4

    Coverage: PGATOURLive | Golf Channel | CBS

    Google Doc

    RG Golf Forum League

    Happy Meal Standings

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – Golf strategy talk for this week’s contest. Post referring to last week’s contest will be moved to the correct thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

  • Mizzou311

    Lol unintentional comedy due to the Leishman WD. We get pgatourlive coverage of Daniel Chopra!

  • Pbasniper

    Almost ROMO SZN!

  • Goesch89

    So pissed about the Leishman stuff. I cannot for the life of me understand why this type of info isn’t shared more widely. One guy whispering on a morning radio interview, that was the only small account of this injury pre-tournament ? Why was it not more widely reported that Leishman had pulled himself out of the charity tournament because of this?? My bewilderment stems from the fact that this is golf, not football or hockey. The competition gains no competitive advantage by hearing of injury news. The guys ML was paired with are not going to have the opportunity to lay a hit on his back, shoulder, or whatever injury any golfer might have, so why TF does this info get buried like its top secret information??

  • BIF

    @NoLimits0 said...

    You know what I’ll try that for R4 give probabilities on how likely someone is to win. I mean no one should be using it (since I’m not good at this) but it would be interesting since placement does matter for R4 (especially the top 3 placement).

    Not sure what their model is but DataGolf has live odds (not betting odds) to win continually and Koepka is a lot higher than McCarthy despite being 2 shots back and tons of guys yet to post.

    https://datagolf.ca/live-predictive-model

    McCarthy would rate out higher than Homa prior to last week given each other’s past history.

  • BrianVT

    @NoLimits0 said...

    You know what I’ll try that for R4 give probabilities on how likely someone is to win. I mean no one should be using it (since I’m not good at this) but it would be interesting since placement does matter for R4 (especially the top 3 placement).

    No issues with the discussion here. I used to only play R4 showdowns because of the finishing points advantage – I’ve started casually dabbling in rounds 1-3 lately, but haven’t really figured out anything useful. I have one decent one going today which was primarily based on playing the morning guys of the core I already had, which fortunately included McCarthy (.7%) and Jones. Just lucky, I guess. I have no idea how you decide which round someone is going to go ham on. Let us know what you come up with for R4, though!

  • dangasin

    let’s go hideki start it off right

  • Pbasniper

    Michael Thompson quietly out here grinding a nice little BOFR for me. I need every point I can get without Trahan.

  • csandbizzle

    Sabbatini with the tilting bogey on 18 to ruin the BFR

  • RudyPujols

    Played a nice chunk of Dom Bozelli this week just hoping for a low owned scrub dart to stick; great lag putter, bad double bogey problem on more difficult courses that shouldn’t be as big of a problem here, good ability to go low relative to his price/ownership, gut play, etc. Yikes, his strokes gained data is awful, which I just now decided to look at after two stellar ATG shots. Probably would’ve scared me off had I checked pre-lock. Oh well. I’m sure this will turn bad fast.

  • rysportguy

    Damn projected cut right now is -5. That is rough. SungJae going to be a sweat tomorrow.

  • Jeddy3

    I’ve never played Schenk before but it seems like he lives up to his name. Woof on that tee shot.

  • mtdurham

    @NoLimits0 said...

    Oh yea I mean nice job picking those 3. I don’t mean to sound demeaning because those 3 were great picks (and scoring a ton of DK points).

    But I really do think that last week Homa and Dufner both had like a 15% chance to win after round 2 but I think this week McCarthy and Merritt are maybe at like 1-2% currently. If they are still leading after R2 I would give them like 7-10% and possibly higher depending how many strokes they are up vs Brooks, Deki, and Mitchell.

    I dunno that’s just my take. I mean right now DK wise those are great picks for sure. Woulda never thought about choosing them except Jones.

    datagolf has mccarthy in the realm of 5%…. i dont attach any real sense of confidence to their estimates…. but i think 3% is what id guess… like id def take him at 50:1 but i’d be fairly agnostic at 33:1… i wouldnt be interested at 20:1

    bottom line your point stands a few strokes lead is a lot less important in this tournament than most…. he comes out flat tomorrow he’ll be out of the top 10 faster than you can drive to Memphis and get robbed in the parking lot of a Sunoco station while buying a Sun Drop

  • Pbasniper

    God forbid Nasty Yams make an opening 10 foot eagle for my late round showdown tilt lineup.

  • lfn1992

    @cjousma said...

    Finally able to check my lineups for the day, damn work, PGA looks like a good start for my lineup so far thanks to Matt Jones and Sabbs. Need Sungjae to get it together.

    Euro – I already have 1 going to miss the cut for sure in Clement Sordet. Dead last aside from Petr Hanson who withdrew. I’ll have to go back and see why I thought he was a good play.

    Andy Sullivan says hello to Clement Sordet, he’s right there as well

    My Round 1 EURO looks pretty good, 100% Westwood, so of course he’ll probably get b2b triples tomorrow and WD like Detry did.

    Aside from Sullivan, I need Winther to have a hero round tomorrow and make this cut. Frankly I don’t like my chances as he might need to make -4 or -5 to do it.

  • sfguy21

    @Pbasniper said...

    God forbid Nasty Yams make an opening 10 foot eagle for my late round showdown tilt lineup.

    Still on pace for -18 though

  • lfn1992

    You guys who are right pissed about Leishman’s WD should take a look at Thomas Detry in EURO, who, after finishing R1 within the virtual cut line, got back-to-back triples and WD mid-Round 2 last week. This week, -6 and near the lead. No, not shady at all.

  • bfwl3434

    Is there a site that shows ownership for a few different GPP’s on DK? Or do I just have to scroll through the lineups randomly to check ownership of certain guys I don’t have?

  • mtdurham

    oh oh oh i am playing Buddy Cauley… oh oh oh and I’m fading Ryan Moore

    Thats pretty much the basis for a few of my lineups…. unforunately i never made the parallel between “My name is Jonas (blixt)”

  • bigez952

    @Goesch89 said...

    So pissed about the Leishman stuff. I cannot for the life of me understand why this type of info isn’t shared more widely. One guy whispering on a morning radio interview, that was the only small account of this injury pre-tournament ? Why was it not more widely reported that Leishman had pulled himself out of the charity tournament because of this?? My bewilderment stems from the fact that this is golf, not football or hockey. The competition gains no competitive advantage by hearing of injury news. The guys ML was paired with are not going to have the opportunity to lay a hit on his back, shoulder, or whatever injury any golfer might have, so why TF does this info get buried like its top secret information??

    The biggest difference in golf vs. football and hockey is exactly what you said in that no one gets a completive advantage knowing about injury’s so they have no need to put rules in place to disclose them. Also since golf is an individual game you start to get into the grey area where individuals have rights to their privacy when it comes to medical issues. So it will always fall on the player themselves to decide what they do or don’t wan to disclose and that will never change.

  • bigez952

    @bfwl3434 said...

    Is there a site that shows ownership for a few different GPP’s on DK? Or do I just have to scroll through the lineups randomly to check ownership of certain guys I don’t have?

    Just pull the csv’s for the contest and it lists every player from highest owned down for the contest.

  • hautalak

    • x2

      2021 Blogger of the Month

    @mtdurham said...

    oh oh oh i am playing Buddy Cauley… oh oh oh and I’m fading Ryan Moore

    Thats pretty much the basis for a few of my lineups…. unforunately i never made the parallel between “My name is Jonas (blixt)”

    LOL these are the types of tourneys you can do that for! Usually for me I’ve been known to pick a moustache or two or whatever it may be regarding a player card.

  • MrBreeze

    Just got back from playing golf, I see literally 3 minutes after I signed off this morning someone posted the Leishman whisper…..oh well, only have in one l/u…my MAIN L/U !!!!

    not going to Tilt, I wasn’t expecting a lot this week to begin with and held my investment down under average.

    Patrick Reed – looking for something better than this opening Bogie dude, c’mon

  • timusbr

    @BIF said...

    Sure, the couple pre-round post lock WDs in the past have sucked but he has won me more than he has cost me over the past 5 years.

    I swear BIF Tannen uses the Grey’s sports almanac 2000-2050. Over 5 years and won more on Na then lost. That guy is impossible to pick when he is going off.

  • Goesch89

    Yea I mean I get it, we can’t demand someone to spill their guts on medical issues when they have zero obligation to….I’m more specifically upset that it wasn’t more widely reported that Leishman had withdrawn from the charity event this week. I am incredibly risk averse when it comes to playing golfers in my lineups that may even have the slightest injury issue (haven’t played Day in like 2 years). I can say for certain that had I known about ML pulling out of the charity tournament (whether it was reported as an injury issue or not) I would have played less than 5 percent of him this week.

  • BIF

    @lfn1992 said...

    You guys who are right pissed about Leishman’s WD should take a look at Thomas Detry in EURO, who, after finishing R1 within the virtual cut line, got back-to-back triples and WD mid-Round 2 last week. This week, -6 and near the lead. No, not shady at all.

    Pro tip:
    Always play a guy the week after a WD when you know it’s not an injury WD just a “I’ve had enough of the doubles” walk-off WD

    Ex: Sam Burns -3 thru 5 today after a walk off WD last week.

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