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  • whodat2

    When: May 9-12

    Where: Dallas,Texas

    Course: Trinity Forest Golf Club | A par 71 playing at 7371 yards.

    Last Year’s Winner: Aaron Wise at -23

    Last Year’s Cut: -4

    Coverage: PGATOURLive | Golf Channel | CBS

    Google Doc

    RG Golf Forum League

    Happy Meal Standings

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – Golf strategy talk for this week’s contest. Post referring to last week’s contest will be moved to the correct thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

  • NoLimits0

    @timusbr said...

    Dude I didnt say that, I didnt say you had them. You really cant admidt when your wrong…can you?

    Dude in your posts in the last 2 pages you

    1. Said my model sucks since it probably has like guys adding up to 1000% and you said lmfao to my statistical ability.

    2. Said you find it highly suspicious I had such a “hi” percentage on Every and Kang yet I didn’t choose them showing my model is flawed. (My entire argument above for the last page was saying just because I had them “hi” doesn’t mean I chose them/shoulda chosen them…which you don’t understand)

    3. You said I posted all of this to “brag” about my model. I’m assuming you think because I posted Kang and Every had “hi” percentages to win, I must be bragging, but pretty much anyone handicapping it would have said they had a good shot to win. I was just giving it a number.

    Now tell me what did I say that was wrong? You seem so focused on one thing you aren’t seeing the bigger picture.

    My “model” I’ve been talking about isn’t the “model” I used to pick players, which was the whole point…

  • Kingspark35

    Anyone with me on a showdown Ghim & tonic ?

  • timusbr

    @NoLimits0 said...

    2. Said you find it highly suspicious I had such a “hi” percentage on Every and Kang yet I didn’t choose them showing my model is flawed. (My entire argument above for the last page was saying just because I had them “hi” doesn’t mean I chose them/shoulda chosen them…which you don’t understand)

    1 point at a time
    sorry, your entire argument over the last few pages has been what an idiot I am to think you played Kang and every. Now you might have had different reasonings but the fact is Your argument is how I cant spell, cant read, and misinterpret what you say. ALL wrong (except for the spelling part).
    None of the last 20 posts (seems like 20) actually goes to any feelings I have had about your original post.

    I dont assume anything about your picks. show me the assumptions I made.
    Also it stands to reason that someone makes a post about a model they made that came out with someone at 33%. They would toss a buck in a showdown or weekend game. You also had every at 12% Koepke at 33%. to me that adds up to 78% leaving the other 153 golfers with 22% chance to win. Sounds like your model has great accuracy. Better than Vegas, Better than anything out there. The fact you didnt use it for a quarter or a dollar?

    Still cant admidt you were wrong?

  • NoLimits0

    @timusbr said...

    1 point at a time
    sorry, your entire argument over the last few pages has been what an idiot I am to think you played Kang and every. Now you might have had different reasonings but the fact is Your argument is how I cant spell, cant read, and misinterpret what you say. ALL wrong (except for the spelling part).
    None of the last 20 posts (seems like 20) actually goes to any feelings I have had about your original post.

    I dont assume anything about your picks. show me the assumptions I made.
    Also it stands to reason that someone makes a post about a model they made that came out with someone at 33%. They would toss a buck in a showdown or weekend game. You also had every at 12% Koepke at 33%. to me that adds up to 78% leaving the other 153 golfers with 22% chance to win. Sounds like your model has great accuracy. Better than Vegas, Better than anything out there. The fact you didnt use it for a quarter or a dollar?

    Still cant admidt you were wrong?

    Lol you are just making my point. You are saying because my model had 33% Sung Kang I should have picked Sung Kang and I’m saying NO IT DOESNT WORK THAT WAY which is my whole point the last 2 pages. Can you get that in your head? That’s why I keep on saying you are the only one who thinks I should have picked Kang. No one else does…

    No I have never said my model was better than Vegas….I have no idea where you think that’s the case?

    It’s all relative to price as I keep saying. It’s a probability relative to price. What is there not to get?

  • NoLimits0

    @timusbr said...

    You also had every at 12% Koepke at 33%. to me that adds up to 78% leaving the other 153 golfers with 22% chance to win

    Yes at the beginning of R3…

    The fact you reference 153 golfers shows how lost you are…half of them already MCed and have no shot. Clearly you think I had Kang to win at 33% before the tournament began, which IS NOT TRUE.

  • TJBIV8

    @timusbr said...

    1 point at a time
    sorry, your entire argument over the last few pages has been what an idiot I am to think you played Kang and every. Now you might have had different reasonings but the fact is Your argument is how I cant spell, cant read, and misinterpret what you say. ALL wrong (except for the spelling part).
    None of the last 20 posts (seems like 20) actually goes to any feelings I have had about your original post.

    I dont assume anything about your picks. show me the assumptions I made.
    Also it stands to reason that someone makes a post about a model they made that came out with someone at 33%. They would toss a buck in a showdown or weekend game. You also had every at 12% Koepke at 33%. to me that adds up to 78% leaving the other 153 golfers with 22% chance to win. Sounds like your model has great accuracy. Better than Vegas, Better than anything out there. The fact you didnt use it for a quarter or a dollar?

    Still cant admidt you were wrong?

    Long time lurker, but enjoy the forum. Could not take anymore of the nonsensical jibberish from timusbr. NoLimit please stop engaging him – he’s either getting rocks off trolling you or not all there.

  • bhdevault

    • Lead Moderator

    • Blogger of the Month

    Guys, nobody wants to read this crap when they are here to talk golf.

    Take it to PM’s or something. You’re disrupting the forum. I’m too tired atm to go back and delete the little bickering back and forth, but I’m asking it to stop.

    Thanks.

  • timusbr

    still cant admidt you accused me of several things that were not true. You assumed. You believed in your assumptions until you couldn’t prove them right. Then you reinterpret things to fit in your world to continue a pointless argument.
    Your determination to be right astounds me. Tells me all I need to know about you.

  • mr_papageorgio

    Currently duking it out with our very own Noto for a $267 winner take all. Right now I have the lead but still lots of golf left.

  • NoLimits0

    @bhdevault said...

    Guys, nobody wants to read this crap when they are here to talk golf.

    Take it to PM’s or something. You’re disrupting the forum. I’m too tired atm to go back and delete the little bickering back and forth, but I’m asking it to stop.

    Thanks.

    Promise I’m done posting about it after this last one.

    I’m sorry for the long posts. I was just trying to defend myself because Tim in his original post posted like “LMFAO to your statistical abilities” when initially the only reason I was posting things about win probabilities was to try to be helpful. So I was a bit irritated that he was outright laughing at me when I was just trying to be helpful. I’ve never even said my model is perfect or anything. For some reason he thinks I’m “bragging” and that really annoyed me because I did not do that.

    All my posts after was trying to explain what was happening with my model and how I came up with my conclusions. I was mostly explaining why I got the results and I got and why he misunderstood me and why just because a player is X% projected to win now doesn’t mean I should have Y% of him.

    All this and I didn’t realize Ancer got a birdie streak. Let’s go! Need Brooks and Piercy to win to move up into top 75ish in Birdie.

  • NoLimits0

    Kang with 3 straight birdies. Really need him to fall back. Most of the guys leading my GPPs have him (no one has like Every). Would prefer a Brooks or Piercy win but wouldn’t mind Every actually since no one has him.

    Also tons of AU70 points left.

  • tracermat

    Thank you Moklovin for taking pity on me in our Showdown H2H

  • timusbr

    Sorry BHD, I guess this is what happens when I lose abt $100 on a week long contest at 8am on a Thursday. The predictions and evaluations still have a bitter taste. :) I still love DFS golf. Time to adjust my attitude :)

  • eruthruff

    It’s like Aaron Wise doesn’t even care about All4U70

  • Pbasniper

    78 holes, 4 streaks, 5 golfers BOFR eligible still, 1 total bogey. I’m not checking leaderboards yet but this seems promising.

  • BrianVT

    Still can’t believe that Burns MDF. Cost me a lot of winnings. The differences are so close in this stuff and then the payout structures kill it all after that. Oh well, still a lot of fun and I least I still made some money. Thinking positive thoughts for next week.

  • mr_papageorgio

    Ugh Ghim blows the BOFR and opens the door for Noto…need a Ryan Palmer bogey please.

  • tristanwolf

    i guess we were wrong on our sun kang regression thoughts. good for him. the asian guys are really starting to come on on the tour. wondered when it would happen after the women did so great the last 10 years. good for the game worldwide.

  • hautalak

    • x2

      2021 Blogger of the Month

    Should hang on to a mili ticket and about break even besides my 4 h2h losses! Damn you Leishman. Although pbasniper beat me fair and square as he had a WD too. Nice lineup for all the BS with it.

  • mtdurham

    @NoLimits0 said...

    Wow and of course Sung Kang is gonna get caught soon…by Matt Every of course hahaha. At least no one has Every. My “model” I’m trying out that I talked about earlier this week had Every only 12% chance to win going into R3. Kang was 33% for reference as I said earlier.

    I’ll see what I can come up with for the R4 showdown where it’s only gonna be “useful” (as in I’ll use it to lose money lol).

    I had every in a 5/6…in the $1 20-max…. hurts seeing 0% by his name them seeing thorbjorn olesen in that lineup. If id played more Piercy and less mitchell I might have hit the right combo.

    I’m gonna put in work for the pga to get my player exposures really locked down

  • hautalak

    • x2

      2021 Blogger of the Month

    And another week of the “PIG” iteration doing so well! How did Harrington do that?! lol

  • Pbasniper

    Scott Piercy is -7 and he’s missed 5 putts inside 15 feet and one 18 footer that all had a chance. Probably going to finish the event without a bogey but man what could have been this round if he drains a few more putts.

  • Pbasniper

    Matt Jones killed a BOFR for me, still refuse to look until round is over but that might sting in showdown.

  • Pbasniper

    8-18 in beat the forum. Made about a $250 profit in showdown today with a few milly tickets and FGWC tickets so made a profit with showdowns this week, always nice after the WD bug bites you.

  • Logan7777

    609.0 pts is probably the most ever for me in any of my lus. Single bullet with $7.75 in and $61 cash back and 4 quarters in and got all 4 $20 milly tickets for next week. And a 1st in the Happy Meal is always an achievement against all you guys. And I didn’t have any Kang.

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