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  • stellagirl

    2 weeks from Thursday!!

    Is anyone else as pumped as I am?

    Can’t wait!!!

    Something semi-normal in this train wreck that is the year 2020!!!

  • thedkexperience

    @stellagirl said...

    2 weeks from Thursday!!

    Is anyone else as pumped as I am?

    Can’t wait!!!

    Something semi-normal in this train wreck that is the year 2020!!!

    Hell yeah!

    I did the KBO thing for about 10 days but ultimately I couldn’t get up around 5 AM every day to do the lineup changes and fall back to sleep fast enough. It was starting to adversely effect my day job so I had to punt it.

    But MLB? Hell yeah I’m ready. I was hoping someone would make a post about it because one thing this website – and the DFS community lacks in general – is non-slate specific strategy talk.

    For example … I’ve always said that DFS baseball, once you get past the mandatory step of getting your pitcher right, is mostly a game of guess the homerun. I mean, 5 singles (a career day for most people) scores less then someone going 1-5 with a homer which happens all the time. Why wouldn’t you simply try guess the homerun?

    Anyway, playing the KBO – a league were there are only about 10 twenty homer guys – made me realize that I’ve been doing MLB wrong. I need to lean MORE into the homers, not less.

    There’s a significant chance that I pick Pete Alonso every day and I hate the Mets (Go Phils!) regardless of match up.

    Furthermore I’ve come to realize that the baked in cost of facing a Verlander type versus a standard bum fifth starter is all that you really need to justify a pick. Alonso is gonna hit homers regardless except hitting one off Verlander is gonna come inexpensively and at low ownership. A homer off Nick Pivetta, well enjoy the points with the other 37% of people who have him.

    Have you thought about changing the way you play at all?

  • ferrara316

    @thedkexperience said...

    Hell yeah!

    I did the KBO thing for about 10 days but ultimately I couldn’t get up around 5 AM every day to do the lineup changes and fall back to sleep fast enough. It was starting to adversely effect my day job so I had to punt it.

    But MLB? Hell yeah I’m ready. I was hoping someone would make a post about it because one thing this website – and the DFS community lacks in general – is non-slate specific strategy talk.

    For example … I’ve always said that DFS baseball, once you get past the mandatory step of getting your pitcher right, is mostly a game of guess the homerun. I mean, 5 singles (a career day for most people) scores less then someone going 1-5 with a homer which happens all the time. Why wouldn’t you simply try guess the homerun?

    Anyway, playing the KBO – a league were there are only about 10 twenty homer guys – made me realize that I’ve been doing MLB wrong. I need to lean MORE into the homers, not less.

    There’s a significant chance that I pick Pete Alonso every day and I hate the Mets (Go Phils!) regardless of match up.

    Furthermore I’ve come to realize that the baked in cost of facing a Verlander type versus a standard bum fifth starter is all that you really need to justify a pick. Alonso is gonna hit homers regardless except hitting one off Verlander is gonna come inexpensively and at low ownership. A homer off Nick Pivetta, well enjoy the points with the other 37% of people who have him.

    Have you thought about changing the way you play at all?

    I like your strategy of picking the sluggers regardless of matchup. If Alonso can go at least 3/4 of what he did last year, he should easily hit 25 plus home runs in the shortened season.

    I’m still inclined to go heavy on stacks this year regardless of pitching matchup. Before COVID hit, I was prepared to go heavy with stacking the White Sox and Athletics regardless of matchup/price. They both have great lineups, HR potential at practically every position, as well as possibly going under the radar under the other good lineups such as the Braves, Yanks and Astros.

  • thedkexperience

    @ferrara316 said...

    I like your strategy of picking the sluggers regardless of matchup. If Alonso can go at least 3/4 of what he did last year, he should easily hit 25 plus home runs in the shortened season.

    I’m still inclined to go heavy on stacks this year regardless of pitching matchup. Before COVID hit, I was prepared to go heavy with stacking the White Sox and Athletics regardless of matchup/price. They both have great lineups, HR potential at practically every position, as well as possibly going under the radar under the other good lineups such as the Braves, Yanks and Astros.

    Midwestern and west coast teams that aren’t the Cubs, Rockies or Dodgers always go under owned. A lot of people play this game just by putting in Yankees, Red Sox, Rockies at home and like 4 other teams while they basically ignore all of the flyover state non-glamour teams.

    It’s funny you said the White Sox and As as that double stack won me a single entry GPP 2 years ago lol.

  • Taterchipdip

    Bout dang time!!!! 4 months of hell and the wait is almost over!!!! The Rockies will beat the Giants and Padres this short season, but thats about all.

  • RudyPujols

    Glad to see some MLB enthusiasm. I’m all for pick the homer, embrace the zero, and hammer the the non-chalky stack. My only big take down had 6 bombs, a goose egg, and a D-Back stack.

    Can’t believe DK is doing a $10, 2-game slate Milly Maker. Seems too ripe for collusion and just like lighting money on fire. As a primarily
    non-MME guy, I’d be down to embrace the variance and the return of my favorite sport and dabble with a large slate Milly Maker. Count me out on this one.

  • mbunner23

    Can’t wait for MLB.

  • thedkexperience

    @RudyPujols said...

    Glad to see some MLB enthusiasm. I’m all for pick the homer, embrace the zero, and hammer the the non-chalky stack. My only big take down had 6 bombs, a goose egg, and a D-Back stack.

    Can’t believe DK is doing a $10, 2-game slate Milly Maker. Seems too ripe for collusion and just like lighting money on fire. As a primarily
    non-MME guy, I’d be down to embrace the variance and the return of my favorite sport and dabble with a large slate Milly Maker. Count me out on this one.

    “Pick the homer, embrace the zero and hammer the non-chalky stack” could not in any way shape or form better explain my overall DFS baseball philosophy.

  • BigRay

    The new baseball philosophy of HR or K at every at bat fits perfect for this shortened/COVID season.

  • thedkexperience

    @BigRay said...

    The new baseball philosophy of HR or K at every at bat fits perfect for this shortened/COVID season.

    One more thing to keep in mind this season is the pre-season change that instituted the 3 batter minimum for relievers. It seems to be flying under the radar a bit now with all of the other wackiness.

    I’ve had a bit of practice with it already in my 86 ranked season games of The Show. It’s not going to have a huge effect but I do think we’ll see many starters get an extra third or two thirds of an inning they otherwise would have been pulled for. This way managers can still institute the LOOGY since the end of the inning will reset the 3 batter clock.

    This also means more chances for batters to hit off tired starting pitchers or relievers thrown into the middle of an inning.

    It wouldn’t shock me to see scoring go even higher in games without aces on the mound while the Scherzer/DeGrom types become even more valuable.

    I guess that means I’ll be relying more on aces (not that I didn’t already) and going way more all offense on days with questionable starters going.

    Overall though … it’s still a big 🤷‍♂️ on how this one plays out. I simply know that it will change things. For better or worse, still unsure.

  • RudyPujols

    @thedkexperience said...

    One more thing to keep in mind this season is the pre-season change that instituted the 3 batter minimum for relievers. It seems to be flying under the radar a bit now with all of the other wackiness.

    I’ve had a bit of practice with it already in my 86 ranked season games of The Show. It’s not going to have a huge effect but I do think we’ll see many starters get an extra third or two thirds of an inning they otherwise would have been pulled for. This way managers can still institute the LOOGY since the end of the inning will reset the 3 batter clock.

    This also means more chances for batters to hit off tired starting pitchers or relievers thrown into the middle of an inning.

    It wouldn’t shock me to see scoring go even higher in games without aces on the mound while the Scherzer/DeGrom types become even more valuable.

    I guess that means I’ll be relying more on aces (not that I didn’t already) and going way more all offense on days with questionable starters going.

    Overall though … it’s still a big 🤷‍♂️ on how this one plays out. I simply know that it will change things. For better or worse, still unsure.

    Good point. My first reaction is that it is a slight bump to guys with drastic platoon splits who will/should see more favorable handedness matchups with relief pitchers. But that is somewhat contingent upon lineup construction. And it could be offset by increased intentional walks. And then there is the end of the half inning exception to the 3 batter minimum. So, it might not have more than a nominal impact.

  • homers1226

    woot for mlb

    just wonder if blue jays will be playing at a high school or parking lot

    1st couple of weeks will be a blood bath as for as dfs

  • HoodsFromTheWood

    Just waking up from an off-season nap
    I turn on the tube for a Met-Yankee scrap.

    My mind is still fuzzy, my eyes full of sleep
    the fans are at Citi, they’re fifteen rows deep!

    I asked “hey Mrs Hood was the COVID a dream?
    she said “don’t be a dick” yes, her answer’s extreme.

    I said,“economy’s so bad yet luxury seats they afford.”
    “where’s your glasses old man, they’re made of cardboard!”

    PLAY BALL!!!
    It’s GRINDING TIME

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