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  • Duck911

    I can’t wait until opening day. I will be at Coors Field for my 9th straight opening day – for my friends and I it is tradition, and a right of passage to spring and summer. And…………. a great time!!!!

    That said, from a DFS and bankroll perspective… Do you ease into the season for the first days and weeks? How do you adjust strategy and research based on lack of current play and statistics?

    Do you employ a ramp-up period through the first month or two of the season?

    I am interested in hearing everyone’s plans!

    3 weeks from this Sunday it is GO TIME!

  • Syko

    Ramping up over time is a terrible idea if you are a solid player. Winning gets harder over time in the season.

  • walkoff9

    • 613

      RG Overall Ranking

    @Syko said...

    Ramping up over time is a terrible idea if you are a solid player. Winning gets harder over time in the season.

    This

    Early on you will have new players just starting out as well as people still heavily focused on NBA.

  • dakimbell

    @Syko said...

    Ramping up over time is a terrible idea if you are a solid player. Winning gets harder over time in the season.

    Not really. He said ramp up over first two months..@duck911 yes, ease into it, but soak it all in the first couple weeks on trends and where and how players are fitting in to new systems. By week 2 or 3 know more about every team’s tendencies and the pitchers to target, and when to take calculated risks to be contrarian, know more than 99% of your competition and win yourself a couple MLB GPP’s before Steph Curry raises his Final’s MVP trophy.

  • Tpcslj47

    I have never liked or followed baseball at all, but I am diving in this year! Enjoy my free monies boys!!! Gonna degen it up!!!

  • rdogg63

    I’m diving right in, but I won’t be putting up a lot of money until the numbers have stabilized.

  • Thedude2741

    jump in feet first. I did so much better at the start of the season. towards the end i was begging for NBA to start lol

  • DntSwtDaTcnq

    @rdogg63 said...

    I’m diving right in, but I won’t be putting up a lot of money until the numbers have stabilized.

    what numbers to stabilize? You can always just use 12-month or 3-year running averages.

    i understand what you’re saying, but you’re going to be waiting quite a while for stabilization. platoon splits, for example, require ~1000 PAs for batters (2000 for RHB), and at least 500-700 PAs for pitchers for the data to stabilize

  • OneShotKill17

    Opening day is hard because everyone has their ace on the bump but I always allow myself some extra money to play with due to the excitement of baseball being back and the possibility of bigger contests etc

  • rdogg63

    @DntSwtDaTcnq said...

    what numbers to stabilize? You can always just use 12-month or 3-year running averages.

    i understand what you’re saying, but you’re going to be waiting quite a while for stabilization. platoon splits, for example, require ~1000 PAs for batters (2000 for RHB), and at least 500-700 PAs for pitchers for the data to stabilize

    Right, I’m aware of how long it takes until the sample size is large enough to make conclusions on, but after the first month, I’ll feel more confident laying money on certain guys, mostly older players and rookies.

  • crazypaul

    @DntSwtDaTcnq said...

    what numbers to stabilize? You can always just use 12-month or 3-year running averages.

    i understand what you’re saying, but you’re going to be waiting quite a while for stabilization. platoon splits, for example, require ~1000 PAs for batters (2000 for RHB), and at least 500-700 PAs for pitchers for the data to stabilize

    I disagree with this. Last season, you could get a good feel on a players performance after about 200 PA. Just because a player was good vs RHP 3 years ago does not mean he will still be equally as good. There is regression in baseball with age as well as hot/cold streaks. You cant just judge a player based on a 3 year average, it has to be a combination of previous history and current year trends.

  • slcseas

    The competition is softest on day 1 and gets progressively less soft every day after. Don’t go nuts and blow your bankroll, but don’t miss the opportunity.

    Also, the sites get progessively more accurate with player pricing as time goes by. Taking advantage of inaccurate player pricing early is a huge part of where your edge comes from.

  • Olhausen

    I had planned on going big to start the season but with the rule changes I’m going to start way slower until I get a feel on how things play out.

  • jregger

    Just the tip.

  • Ajbistheman04

    Lol…I think we all know how that ends up.

  • sharksbay

    @Olhausen said...

    I had planned on going big to start the season but with the rule changes I’m going to start way slower until I get a feel on how things play out.

    What changes?

  • BigRay

    yes. what changes???

  • meerkatmreow

    @BigRay said...

    yes. what changes???

    Multiplying the scores by 3 and removing the negative for hitter outs. Pretty minor tbh

  • qatman

    @meerkatmreow said...

    Multiplying the scores by 3 and removing the negative for hitter outs. Pretty minor tbh

    Removing negative for outs is pretty significant. The 3x factor for all values is obviously irrelevant but removing negatives for outs will increase hitter scores by 15-25%, making hitters worth relatively more and pitchers less. Plus it increases the value of top of the order hitters and low OBP guys.

  • Olhausen

    @meerkatmreow said...

    Multiplying the scores by 3 and removing the negative for hitter outs. Pretty minor tbh

    I’m not talking about fan duel. Dk made major changes and that’s the site I had most of my success on. Being able to stack 4/4 now has made them a lot like fan duel.

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