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  • mew201490

    Does anyone know around what day DK will release Week One contests for NFL?

    I always thought it was around the beginning of August

  • JH822547

    WFT gave Tampa Bay a better game in the play-offs than KC managed.

  • Smallchimp

    @billythekidcowboysheat said...

    Really like the jets for dfs early in the year. On both sides of it

    Wilson should improve their offense so it competes and doesn’t get blown out every game. And i luv Carter in there backfield.

    There secondary should remain awful on the other side.

    Darnold Revenge Week 1…SIGN ME UP😁.

    My only concern with the Wilson is there oline.

    Maybe I’m a homer, but I agree. I don’t think there’s oodles of fantasy goodness, but there’s definitely some inefficiency with the prices. The top 6 WRs are $4900, $4600, $3500, $3200, and two at $3000. Then the backfield looks like it’s $4900, $4400, $4200, and $4000. If there’s any concentration of volume, it’d be hard not to get really nice value on at least one. I don’t think this is the same offense as last season where there wasn’t enough fantasy points generated to matter.

  • siddom

    love a-rod/adams stack to run back with kamara

  • BIF

    @JH822547 said...

    WFT gave Tampa Bay a better game in the play-offs than KC managed.

    True but it was in Washington and not much tape on QB Henicke who had a good game – the Skins defense is good but WFT still a bit away on offense as they need a lot of improved parts on that offense before you can talk Super Bowl and I’m not sure an aging Fitzmagic was the answer.

  • factorial89

    question-are there times with a team stack that we do or even should not bring it back with someone from the other team.

  • marker0357

    @siddom said...

    love a-rod/adams stack to run back with kamara

    this

  • marker0357

    went to an early practice session for Colts. I really liked what I saw with JT and Pittman jr. (though the latter could be really impacted if Wentz isn’t ready).

  • odanny

    @marker0357 said...

    went to an early practice session for Colts. I really liked what I saw with JT and Pittman jr. (though the latter could be really impacted if Wentz isn’t ready).

    What’s the deal with Wentz? There was talk of some serious injury to his ankle. Don’t even know who his back-up is.

  • Smallchimp

    Just realized you can have an Allen, Diggs, Beasley stack for $19.4K. Seems like an easy cash foundation to lock up some 3X value. We’ll see if that ends up chalky (probably does?)

    Also seems like the Burrow + 3 WR stack is super, super easy to fit in. Don’t know if I love the idea of betting that the offense can support three targets when you have players like AJB, K. Allen, and Diggs at relative discounts (not including other players at cheaper salary ranges).

  • TomBradyBlueMamba

    @Smallchimp said...

    Just realized you can have an Allen, Diggs, Beasley stack for $19.4K. Seems like an easy cash foundation to lock up some 3X value. We’ll see if that ends up chalky (probably does?)

    Also seems like the Burrow + 3 WR stack is super, super easy to fit in. Don’t know if I love the idea of betting that the offense can support three targets when you have players like AJB, K. Allen, and Diggs at relative discounts (not including other players at cheaper salary ranges).

    The first thing that comes to your mind is to find the best defense in the league and allocate 40% of your salary against it? I guess you’ll have a fairly contrarian lineup.

  • Smallchimp

    @TomBradyBlueMamba said...

    The first thing that comes to your mind is to find the best defense in the league and allocate 40% of your salary against it? I guess you’ll have a fairly contrarian lineup.

    I trust volume from competent offenses with minimal turnover from the previous season more than I sweat the previous year’s defensive matchup early in the season. Especially when that offense was able to beat the other by double-digit scores and the involved parties combined for 238/2/1 passing, 6/28/0 rushing, and 15/174/1 receiving in a late-season match-up.

    There’s a chance the Bills regress, but I don’t think that the outcome where they beat the Steelers fairly convincingly is out of question in the slightest

  • TomBradyBlueMamba

    I believe that’s about 65 points in 1ppr if my 4am math is correct. 40% salary for 65 points is a bit rough. That’s a pace for 162 points. Eh.

    Edit: Oops. Allen fumbled once but luckily recovered it and he threw a pick, against the league leading D with its primary skill at secondary and safety targeting your players it’s not surprising to maybe see it again. So that’s 63 points, on pace for 157.

  • TomBradyBlueMamba

    I guess a better way to put it is that’s 3x. But dang I don’t hate it with what the Diggs/Allen duo are capable of. If Allen throws an extra 100 yards and a TD and it goes to Diggs and Beasley then you’re looking at 85-90 points 4-4.5x.

  • monarch

    Just quickly looking at it the scores will be huge. DK doesnt and cant have a great handle on what will happen six weeks out. IMO stacks and bring backs will be what you want for the 35-24 type game you see now and will be less likely to see in week 12 of the season. And some of them are really cheap like a Jimmy G, Deebo, Aiyuk with a Perriman bring back. Then you can grab anyone else you want literally. Those are way too easy to make. Super soft. I do agree Tennessee will be throwing and AJB is the superior option but for week 1 I do think Juilo gets peppered with targets….just feels right while he is healthy, less expensive and the shiny new option.

    Ownership will be siphoned to sub optimal plays like Trevor Lawrence or some of the high priced guys up against both good defenses and ball control offenses. What you want is a stack that has both continuity and going up against a team that doesnt. Hopefully catch a team that will blow the doors off an opponent that is three weeks away.

  • Smallchimp

    @monarch said...

    Ownership will be siphoned to sub optimal plays like Trevor Lawrence

    I really hope too many people aren’t convinced that playing Lawrence at $6200 is a smart call when pricing for most QBs is loose enough where you can make anyone fit. Feels like a weird FOMO call

  • infantryboys

    Mike Davis at $5400 feels way too cheap. I get that Atl has been talking up Qadree Ollison, but I’m having trouble buying that and Philly D wasn’t exactly a juggernaut against the run.

  • Smallchimp

    @infantryboys said...

    Mike Davis at $5400 feels way too cheap. I get that Atl has been talking up Qadree Ollison, but I’m having trouble buying that and Philly D wasn’t exactly a juggernaut against the run.

    Absolutely. If there’s a bellcow in ATL, they’re way too cheap.

  • marker0357

    @odanny said...

    What’s the deal with Wentz? There was talk of some serious injury to his ankle. Don’t even know who his back-up is.

    Right now, the first backup is Jacob Eason. They have Sam Ehlinger who is way too small and looked totally inept in the practice I watched. They just picked up Brett Hundley as well. I think it’s Eason’s to lose until Wentz comes back. I think Indy’s defense and running game can keep them in most games during the regular season but they have no chance in the playoffs, even if they could some how make it. They need Wentz back but he’s out indefinitely with a foot injury sustained during practice last week. They haven’t ruled out surgery at this point.

  • hautalak

    • x2

      2021 Blogger of the Month

    @infantryboys said...

    Mike Davis at $5400 feels way too cheap.

    Maybe it’s just b/c week 1 but I left him off my OG pool completely. I just don’t think ATL can run the ball either. So it seems to be a battle of the worst and I just like other backs better. I guess we’ll see.

  • monarch

    @Smallchimp said...

    I really hope too many people aren’t convinced that playing Lawrence at $6200 is a smart call when pricing for most QBs is loose enough where you can make anyone fit. Feels like a weird FOMO call

    I think people will play Lawrence-Etienne-Shenault. Thats potentially a lot of ppr volume vs the Texans. More I think about it…doesnt look too horrible lol.

  • Smallchimp

    @monarch said...

    I think people will play Lawrence-Etienne-Shenault. Thats potentially a lot of ppr volume vs the Texans. More I think about it…doesnt look too horrible lol.

    Not horrible, but I don’t think you really get to enjoy the pricing inefficiencies/cheapness if you go that route. Lawrence is too closely priced to players more likely to outscore him imo and the Etienne usage feels too questionable to spend an RB slot on him. Shenault isn’t bad on his own though.

    Edit: Honestly ETN at his current price isn’t that bad. I’m more worried about Robinson returning a value, but a handful of targets and a score makes the rookie have a fair shot at value.

  • BIF

    @infantryboys said...

    Mike Davis at $5400 feels way too cheap. I get that Atl has been talking up Qadree Ollison, but I’m having trouble buying that and Philly D wasn’t exactly a juggernaut against the run.

    Not sure I can get behind a bad ATL running game; they ranked 31st in Yards per Attempt and 27th in rushing yards. They were also bottom third in rushing attempts. Haven’t dug into them much but have they done anything to improve their run blocking ? Gurley and Hill didn’t seem to have many holes to run through last season.

    Mike Davis doesn’t feel like a saviour there to change that plus I’d be concerned about Cordarelle Patterson also getting situational snaps in addition to Ollison. I’m sure the preseason will shake this out a bit for us before Week 1.

    With the addition of Pitts (and losing Julio) plus still having Hurst, I can see a lot of 2TE/2WR sets and Ryan still slinging it around at an above NFL average frequency clip.

  • BIF

    @marker0357 said...

    Right now, the first backup is Jacob Eason. They have Sam Ehlinger who is way too small and looked totally inept in the practice I watched. They just picked up Brett Hundley as well. I think it’s Eason’s to lose until Wentz comes back. I think Indy’s defense and running game can keep them in most games during the regular season but they have no chance in the playoffs, even if they could some how make it. They need Wentz back but he’s out indefinitely with a foot injury sustained during practice last week. They haven’t ruled out surgery at this point.

    The Colts also have Jalen Morton on the roster and just signed Brett Hundley to go with Eason and Ehlinger.

    Hundley is the only one of the four to actually have thrown an NFL pass. Supposedly Eason the 2020 4th rounder will get the QB1 reps in practice but the rumour-mill is swirling that Nick Foles is heading there via trade with Bears.

  • 808state

    Is it me or is there more hype around these rookies than in years past? Seems like it will be contrarian to just build a lineup without any rookies.

  • Smallchimp

    @808state said...

    Is it me or is there more hype around these rookies than in years past? Seems like it will be contrarian to just build a lineup without any rookies.

    Decent class for skill position guys. I think you can easily fade rookies, but there’s enough talent where it seems worthwhile to take on some uncertainty at a discount

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