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2020 DraftKings FHWC Champion
2018 DraftKings FHWC Finalist
So DK tweeted out millionaire maker ownership here http://playbook.draftkings.com/nfl/millionaire-maker-percent-owned-week-3/ which as of 230pm still includes ownership data for games that have not yet started. IMO this is a big leak and should never happen. It also seems like something that your average analyst should probably not have access too, and able to tell his buddies who is owned and who the best players have. Hey did you know that CSURAM has Randall Cobb going late? Given that they can access the macro results it seems probable they can access specific users during and/or before contests start.
They definitely should no be sharing it publicly, if they’re going to do it just list the full rosters in the contest and call it a day.
Pretty simple minded outlook.
Going with option 1B instead of 1A in every position with lower ownership is a massive GPP advantage in baseball. Especially on FD, when you can figure out pitcher ownership.
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2014 StarStreet MLB Playboy Mansion Finalist
RG Season Champion: NBA
I know Ethan and I absolutely don’t think he would do anything to cheat or be dishonest.
That being said the perception is what is in question here and the perception of anyone working in the DFS industry on one site and winning on another site is really bad for the industry as a whole.
Knowing Sunday’s %s on the Thurs lock is helpful, but it’s not like knowing %s an hour before lock (not saying any one is doing this).
Karlos 30% on Thursday, 42% on Sun. Forte 9 and 15. Cooper and green low 20s to high 20s, etc.
I’m sure the Black Unicorns % was much different from Thursday to Sun. As I’m sure you know, a lot changes in the NFL from Thurs to Sun.
Plus this is just NFL, what about MLB and NBA?
2013 DD BLB Finalist (x2)
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A better question would be why anyone at dk is able to access ownership data before every game had locked
dc is the gadfly on the horse that is dfs lol. always willing to speak his mind.
this needs to quoted over and over again, ownership % IS A HUGE ADVANTAGE,
now to these big name players shouting at me in their podcasts and on these forums telling everyone it is not an advantage, you need to get a dose of reality, it would be a monster advantage in daily MLB contests where there is no such thing as Thursday ownership reports
So was “scripting”, until it wasn’t.
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2016 DraftKings FFWC Finalist
2016 FanDuel WFFC Finalist
+1
When big name syndicates circumventing entry limits by sharing lineups and millionaire’s bombarding quarter games with mass entries wasn’t killing the golden goose fast enough: The true story about how the super chummy frat boys running DFS blew the whole thing up in record time.
Agreed. Dont know Ethan but perception is reality. I hope these issues are addressed in a timely manner because the longer this goes on the worse it looks (even if it ends up being much ado about nothing) because of how much money is on the line.
You are missing the point. It’s not going to work every time but fading the highly owned guys for another solid player in a good matchup will shoot you up the leader board if the 30% owned guy has a crappy game. Using this knowledge you can put yourself in a better position than the rest.
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2016 DraftKings FFWC Finalist
2016 FanDuel WFFC Finalist
its 4pm and its been a week, still crickets. how am i supposed to do my real job when the thing i care about most in this world is crumbling before my eyes. sites need to step up and protect the integrity of the best sports game created for fans ever. if anyone has millions and wants to start a site with me please PM
2012 FanDuel WFBC Finalist
Well I would expect to bump up almost every fairly high owned player on Thursday a little bit come Sunday simply because Thursday players will be over-owned and no longer available on Sunday.
And even IF Ethan knew the percentages before lock, that is for DK. DK is going to differ from FD in many instances (Karlos Williams for instance was much cheaper on DK). To me, it’s similar to knowing the percentages from Thursday night.
I could see a greater advantage in MLB. I was mostly speaking to NFL and what caused this uproar. I don’t see the huge advantage in NFL over what is already available.
2013 DD BLB Finalist (x2)
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Shouldn’t people be more concerned with who supplied Ethan the info rather than Ethan. That’s the person that not only has access to this info but also not enough sense to know it shouldn’t be released to anyone prior to every game being locked
Every one of your posts regarding the industry direction spot on. This one is no different.
Who the heck is that?
you must be a really lonely person. have a kid or two theyll love you and this will be way down on the ladder
2016 DraftKings FBWC Finalist
Stew… Yes I could! I’m not taking about using guesstimate ownership levels from one site to the other. That would be and is helpful and yes I use the FD public info already. I’m talking about people that work at DK seeing my lu and everyone else’s. This information can not and should not be seen by anyone.
Maybe your right Stew maybe it wouldn’t give me an advantage … But I disagree since I’ve taken down and placed high this year multiple times in big MLB Gpp’s with out any help. Give me the ownership numbers and I would dominate.
Not to brag but my rank and recents wins should speak for them self. Ownership%=domination!!
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2016 DraftKings FFWC Finalist
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i like sports, money, bars, friends, girls and DFS. DFS has contributed to my happiness and success for 3 years now. think ill stick with it but thanks for the advice. if i ever grow up ill take it
hit forbes: http://www.forbes.com/sites/darrenheitner/2015/10/05/fanduel-and-draftkings-have-some-explaining-to-do/?utm_source=followingimmediate&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=20151005
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It isn’t just this either. It isn’t like swapping out Bryce Harper for Johnny Strikeout. It is like trading a 2.5% owned Johnny Strikeout for his 0.5% owned, and similarly talented bother Jimmy Strikeout with the exact same stats/matchup on the same team.
Both will be low owned, and everyone knows it. Both have the same chances of scoring the same points, and there is no disputing that information is available to everyone. What does matter in this case is the ownership percentages, and knowing those ownership percentages beforehand means it matters more then lower owned the players are because that’s the only thing which really distinguishes the two.
Sometimes Johnny will be better in a premium matchup, and sometimes Jimmy will be better in a premium matchup, but knowing their exact ownership will most certainly affect the effectiveness of playing them over time.
I really don’t see how the pros are missing that point, especially when being contrarian, and separating yourself from the herd is such a large part of their GPP plays.
exactly.
I don’t know Ethan at all but am just assuming he did nothing wrong, because I have no evidence that he did and many are speaking well of him. fine, whatever. the meat of this discussion barely concerns him.
what I’m worried about is the potential that other FD/DK employees may have in having access to data like ownership or top players’ lineup cores.
if someone is working in DK’s tech dept and making $80k per year, and is offered $40k by a high roller to just tell him what players maxdalury has over 25% exposure to this week, then… I mean, considering there are no laws against it since the industry is unregulated, it’s going to be pretty damn hard for them to turn down half their yearly salary for copying and pasting some player names.
this is the problem. I have no clue what sort of access the typical DK employee has to this data, but I know that at least several employees do that aren’t making massive salaries that would make them scoff at the prospect of $40k for a few player names.
2015 DraftKings FCFWC Finalist
There really is no debate ownership percentage matters a lot. The first thing I do when lineups lock is look to see what percentage my players are owned. The other day Trout was 78% owned on DK and I was pissed when I saw that and wish I had not taken him. He put up a goose egg. If I had known he was that high (I was thinking he would be more in the 50% range) no doubt I would have faded him. Huge edge knowing this in advance.
Secondly I can’t believe this has gone this long and all we have is a bunch of accusations and similarly ill-informed defenses while all we have received is a tepid response from the sites. I try to be very measured and patient in reacting to things like this but this has officially gone too far.
Boom!
Until FD or DK makes changes I think all future comments are going to go in circles around this same point.
Really could just wipe the thread and sticky this and call it a day! ;-)
Literally couldn’t have said it better myself. /thread
You’re right. Forte, etc were bad examples on my part. Black Unicorn was a good one though. I really had no idea what his % would be once Cutler was announced as starting early Sun morning vs the worst team at covering a TE. For example, if I knew he shot over 30% I wouldn’t have had him on as many teams as I did. If I knew he was only going to be 14.5% like he was, I would have put him in more Lus. I thought he’d be At least in the 20s.
MLB and NBA it is probably a bigger issue. How many times do we have to decide lebron or durant thoughout the season?