• Centrin21

    It turns out that if you are using a free bet, you can increase the EV (expected value) of your bet by making higher odds plays. If you’ve been using your drakings NBA live bets on odds near 2.0 (+100), you’re leaving a lot of potential value on the table. For instance, a neutral EV $100 free bet at 2.0:1 (+100) at 50% chance yields, $50 of ev. But a neutral EV $100 free bet at 5.0:1 (+400) yields $400 at 20%, $80 of ev. You just made $30 more from your free bet on average by increasing the odds you played it at. Pretty neat. Ideally you’re looking for +EV very long odds bets, so you should look for futures that have shortened in price on sharp books to target with your free bets. The document below shows how the math works.

    Link to Googlesheet:

  • Wastua

    Thank you for the information. It could be quite helpful for beginners who has no experience. Personally for me it seemed quite confusing to understand all these numbers and chances to win because mathematics is not my strength. But as always I found a way to enjoy this and make some incredible profit while watching and supporting my favorite players. I read most of the popular informative pages, expert comments, blogs with reviews such as and step by step I improve my skills. Everyone has certain doubts before spending so much money and I am grateful that information is shared for free. Does anyone have experience of more than 5 years? Maybe you would like to tell us about your winning techniques and tips. I am glad for every idea.

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