PGA FORUM

Comments

  • whistexpert

    Hey guys,

    There isnt a GRINDERSU on PGA so I was wondering what statistics you guys consider when making a PGA model? I was bored and wanted to have a side project that I could spend a few weeks on. I have built some eh models before, but golf sounds fun…

    :D

    Thx for your time, I know it’s a broad question but I want to get into the game and not really sure where to begin

  • colinwdrew

    • 403

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2020 DraftKings FHWC Champion

    • 2018 DraftKings FHWC Finalist

    I would start with a base rate x the # of rounds you project a golfer to play + expected finishing points. From there you can adjust up / down based on different matchup ratings (course difficulty, player history, current form, whatever you see fit).

  • jdtrey22

    Golf is mostly about watching if u put in the time of watching you will do well. I prob watch 6 hours a day of golf and that’s how I have become really solid. I really use stats as a last thing to determine who i want but when u watch u know what each person is good at.

  • theoddsmaker

    100% honest response is it takes a whole lot longer than messing around a couple of weeks to create a legit pga model. It’s not just creating good attribute projections but how it meshes for that weeks course for every golfer.

  • PJGuin23

    DFS Tax Guru

    I’m building an algo now. Some of it’s piggybacking off Vegas. Some of it is relation to the course that week. Some of it is recent performance. And I’m cooking up some math and relationships for all the above. Hint: One formula involves Cubed Root.

  • gibbathy

    2014 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year

    • Blogger of the Month

    Creating a PGA model…. hmmm I’d start with Jason Day’s wife. I kid, I kid.

  • huitcinq

    I built a really slick PGA projection model. It’s very nice.

    That being said, I have not made any money playing PGA yet so lol

  • gordmania

    i don’t use a model and i’m a profitable pga player. i don’t believe the pga can be modelled.

  • schmitto

    • 312

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    @gordmania said...

    i don’t use a model and i’m a profitable pga player. i don’t believe the pga can be modelled.

    ^ Agreed.

  • vonxn

    I’m a total noob at excel and im trying to start a stat sheet on player stats (GIR/SG ect ect) can anyone point me to a tutotrial or video that will assist me? I can’t find one anywhere. Thanks!

  • huitcinq

    @huitcinq said...

    I built a really slick PGA projection model. It’s very nice.

    That being said, I have not made any money playing PGA yet so lol

    Update: I have won on three consecutive weeks since this post!

  • whistexpert

    @huitcinq said...

    Update: I have won on three consecutive weeks since this post!

    You’re welcome!

  • Z06Fanatic

    @gordmania said...

    i don’t use a model and i’m a profitable pga player. i don’t believe the pga can be modelled.

    How could it not be modeled?

  • PJGuin23

    DFS Tax Guru

    @Z06Fanatic said...

    How could it not be modeled?

    I think it can. But basing projections on odds aren’t a good idea. Already factored into price. I’m going more with current form and the course. Doing better with that route.

  • rtiedemann6

    What is exactly is doing better?

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