• txdave41

    Ok, I know that sounds crazy, but it’s really the only thing that makes sense anymore. Every night, no matter who I pick, no matter what the data says, that player will bomb and bomb badly for me. It is driving me nuts and just feels like they personally want to burn me. Case in point, Frank Kaminsky. I play this prick on 2/23 and he gives me 23 pts. I skip him the next game and he goes off for 47 pts. I play him on 2/26 and he gives me 26 pts. No thanks Tank. I skip him last night and he’s another 40 pt burger. Reggie Jackson is another. 29 pts if I don’t play him. Lucky to get 10 pts if I do. Otto is the same way. Add Millsap, Rose and Tobias Harris to the list.

    Other than ranting, I guess my question is how in the hell can you have confidence in your lineup with so many up and down players? I feel like it’s a game of wack a mole and while I do get some right like Marcus Morris giving me 55 pts, it is nearly impossible to have all other eight slots catch all these boom or bust players on their boom nights. I started creating a daily list of all the bust players and will blacklist them if they burn me more than one within a week. Then they have to put up 3 good scores in the future before I will try them again. That’s the only way I know to saddle this extreme frustration.

  • Joshmstar

    Jackson, Porter, Rose, Millsap, Harris and Marcus Morris. All pretty volatile players. I don’t think its a good idea to ever blacklist anyone, you just need to pick your spots with guys like these. If you are playing cash games I would very rarely pick any of these guys unless they are in a really great spot (ex. Kaminsky the past couple weeks with his guaranteed minutes). Playing tournaments maybe put one of these guys in your lineup if he’s in a good spot and you feel really good about them.

  • KindGuy

    It’s recency bias. You’re playing guys just because they had a good game last time out. Common beginners mistake. You’ll learn.

  • MikeMineo

    @Joshmstar said...

    I don’t think its a good idea to ever blacklist anyone

    being a GPP-only player and blacklisting Marvin Williams is fine, though lol

  • njsum

    eh, there are some guys you can predict and some guys you cant…stick with the ones you can. If any of those guys ever fall into the “players you can predict category,” give em another chance. I’d practice predicting them before i put them in another lineup, if you still can’t get a handle on them, no harm in never playing them.

  • Joshmstar

    @MikeMineo said...

    being a GPP-only player and blacklisting Marvin Williams is fine, though lol

    Well, if you do you will miss out when he comes down to 4.7k and goes for 7x against the Lakers (happened last night)! The reason I’d never blacklist anyone in any format.

  • mellofellowsu

    Only advice that I’d give is stop trying to think that because a particular player disappoints in any given night that there was a clear, specific reason for it that you should’ve been able to identify. Sometimes players, even in great spots, just don’t produce. Obviously, review your LUs and look for things that maybe you overlooked, but often times those reasons just aren’t there to be found. Maybe someone else was feeling it. Maybe they’re beefing with teammates that night. Maybe they’re a little under the weather. There could be any number of reasons for a performance that you just can’t predict.

    Only thing you can do is play the guy when it appears he’ll benefit the most. You don’t necessarily have to make sense of it when it doesn’t work out. Same goes for when a player overperforms in a bad or mediocre spot. Julius Randle goes for 62 fps last night. Big whup. Just make the right plays and hopefully one day they all pan out and in the same LU. Easier said than done, but you just have to shake these types of things off because otherwise they’ll have an influence on your decisions that they shouldn’t have.

    You do this long enough, the misses won’t even have an effect on you anymore.

  • ballslaughter

    Some of this is might sound a bit hokey-pokey; my apologies.
    Just recently I was looking through the Google play store for a new game. Personally, I like to have to think; these “pop-the-bubbles” games….. (sigh).
    I stumbled upon one called “That level again”, or “this level again”, I forget which. Its a puzzle game where u move a little stick-figureish person around, trying to advance to each next level. Quite often, you’re looking at the screen, with your VERY limited abilities, thinking “What do I need to do? I can do this, that, & that—& none of them work…sooooo…”
    What the game is great at is getting you to think “outside the box”. Outside the realm of the obvious.
    It was refreshing. I played the first game all the way through, then it’s sequel, then the third…. just ate it up. Can’t wait for the next.
    Then the other day, my friend & I are out playing disc golf, & Im realizing that Im not going to get back home in time to do my “normal” research. So, im fiddling around on my phone between throws, looking at stats…&, I don’t know if it was the fact that I was in a completely different environment than normal, or having played that game recently got my brain muscles activated, or both…but, I saw a different angle, or approach, to how I make my picks. I had been in a rut for a bit, so…that helped motivate the change as well, for sure. Anyways, it’s not been very long since, but it appears as though my new strategy is at the very least ten times better than what I WAS doing, & profitability looks do-able all of a sudden.
    So yeah. I’d say keep working on ur approach/process. This might be about sports, & there might be a lot of jocks IN sports…but this is a thinking man’s game. Through & through. Like I heard Saahill say: “Don’t be results-oriented, be process-oriented.” Think about what you do, how you make ur picks, & what you could try that’s different.
    And don’t quote me, but I believe that in dfs..if you don’t have an “angle”, you’re just donating.

  • Mindofigor

    Next time just play those players after they had a bad game. Ownership % will be low and you already know they bounce back after a bad game.

    I’d avoid if they are “chalk”.

  • noddy

    I beiieve this also. And then I listen to the shows on here and they say so and so is a good play and I look at they have been doing well. Then I roster them and they suck. Happens all the f’n time and I don’t know what to do

  • neogamer

    • x2

      2013 FanDuel WFBBC Finalist

    • 2015 FanDuel NBA Playboy Mansion Finalist

    There is a simple solution here guys. Play the same guys every night. : – P

  • tmarohl

    @neogamer said...

    There is a simple solution here guys. Play the same guys every night. : – P

    That is a fine strategy if you play good players every night. If you play guys like Bazemore, PJ Tucker, Gary Harris, Fournier, Snell, etc. on a consistent basis you will lose. Those guys may exceed value two or three times per season, but if you are depending on them you will be burned more often than not.

  • awesemo

    • 2

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    • Ranked #2

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    • $1M Prize Winner

    • 2017 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    I’ve been having this problem too. For a complete list of players to avoid you can check this thread:

  • txdave41

    @neogamer said...

    There is a simple solution here guys. Play the same guys every night. : – P

    Lol then they would suck every night. Like Wesley Matthews. I’ve played that guy the last 4 times and he has bombed every time. He was putting up 30+ scores almost every game before then. It’s just so crazy. Maybe today is the day to target him since he has never gone past a 4 game slump this season.

  • jeridanj84

    Got burned by Anthony Davis again last night lmao SMH

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