PGA FORUM

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  • whodat2

    When: July 11-14

    Where: Silvis, IL

    Course: TPC Deer Run | A par 71 playing at 7268 yards

    Last Year’s Winner: Michael Kim at -27

    Last Year’s Cut: -3

    Coverage: PGALive | Golf Channel | CBS

    Google Doc

    RG Golf Forum League

    Happy Meal Standings

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – Golf strategy talk for this week’s contest. Post referring to last week’s contest will be moved to the correct thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

  • Dunzor

    @Money0227 said...

    If I said there was a player who has been very good with his approaches from 100-150, excellent with his putter, a top-30 birdie maker, with two top-25’s in his only two appearances here, and a price tag of $6700 on DK (with

    Bozzelli?

    personally his recent form is just too garbage for me to play, there were a couple other guys down there I liked more

  • mason3132

    The link on page 3 isn’t working. Trying to put a couple in just not having any luck yet.

  • Money0227

    @Dunzor said...

    Bozzelli?

    personally his recent form is just too garbage for me to play, there were a couple other guys down there I liked more

    It’s about the same as last year coming in here. I certainly won’t be overweight with him.

  • al0e_neill

    Why does DK still have Streelman listed? They don’t even have the glaring O next to his name… yet have him listed as WD in the commentary

    EDIT: I hit refresh and now it shows WD

  • mason3132

    https://www.draftkings.com/draft/contest/74142037

  • mason3132

    Got it off his Facebook page.

  • whodat2

    @BIF said...

    https://www.draftkings.com/draft/contest/74142037

  • Jgarver345

    @Brandon6385 said...

    ZJ trending toward under 15% ownership w/ this course history? Thoughts?

    Cuz he’s been playing for shit???

    CH is great but last year his T5 was in the middle of 6 straight top 20’s and the year before he had 4 top 10’s. He used to be really steady. He only has 3 top 25’s out of 16 events…not very good for him. He might top 20 here but I don’t like him much…..

    *The preceding opinion is given by a donkey and should lead to contrarian plays to said opinion.

  • nicholasmarsh

    I’ve been playing PGA DFS for a few years now and there’s one thing I know… ZJ always start playing well beginning with the John Deere Classic. While I’ll admit that he’s been particularly off recently and that he was playing better last year coming in, we can look to 2017 to see where ZJ MC The Travelers. He went on to T5 (JDC), T14 (Open), 2nd (WGC Bridgestone).

    I’ll have some ZJ for sure. I have ‘play ZJ at JDC’ in my notes so I have to roll with it, right? All of this being said, I’ve been ICE COLD so my “notes” must blow.

  • nicholasmarsh

    …on a different note, how chalky is Brian Harman going to be and why is this worrying me? Course? Check! Form? Check! Stats? Meh! Though I’m sure his SG:APP and BoB% are much better of late.

    Is this a trap?

  • nicholasmarsh

    @Jgarver345 said...

    CH is great but last year his T5 was in the middle of 6 straight top 20’s and the year before he had 4 top 10’s. He used to be really steady. He only has 3 top 25’s out of 16 events…not very good for him. He might top 20 here but I don’t like him much…..

    *The preceding opinion is given by a donkey and should lead to contrarian plays to said opinion.

    Conflicting views by two donkeys. Ha-ha… We shall see I guess!

  • hautalak

    @nicholasmarsh said...

    Is this a trap?

    Could be but damn that guy can putt!

  • nicholasmarsh

    @nicholasmarsh said...

    we can look to 2017 to see where ZJ MC The Travelers. He went on to T5 (JDC), T14 (Open), 2nd (WGC Bridgestone).

    This is lacking a bit as he did go T9, MC, MC, T18, T48, T63, T40, T27, MC heading in to the 2017 JDC.

  • nicholasmarsh

    @hautalak said...

    Could be but damn that guy can putt!

    I’ve been waiting for B-Harm to come around, but as soon as I jump on, things are sure to go south. As you can see, my confidence is at an all-time high. Ha-ha

  • Pbasniper

    ZJ H2H for anyone interested, you start ZJ and I don’t just let me know.

  • mtdurham

    @eruthruff said...

    Plus his course history, while good, isn’t amazing (not as good as Scott Brown or Johnson Wagner) when you consider his ranking and the weak’ish fields. And he’s not the greatest DK point scorer. I’ll be fading him at that price.

    Ive played ZJ a fair amount this year and hes absolutely murdered me…. the recent form/course history debate is always an interesting dilemma but in this case i think recent form trumps… at that price/ownership i think you need basically a top ~5 finish from a guy who doesn’t have good BOB%…. hes really more of a “tough course” bogey avoidance guy imo (even though i know his CH is obv fantastic). If he was either ~10% or ~$8,300 id be a heck of a lot more interested. 20% at $9,600 i think its tough to argue that hes underpriced or underowned…

    I won’t be shocked or anything if he does fairly well here, but i think the chances of him not compiling a top ~20 DFS scoring performance represents a great fade opportunity here. Particularly since he’s got relatively significant missed cut equity here too…the guy has played really poorly this year and hometown pressure to perform could compound that if he struggles early. Lastly, hes got some really interesting, superior options in his price range both from a DFS scoring and ownership perspective.

    I dont think the guys at the top are worth anywhere near what you are paying for them and that $8-$9.5k range is really strong relatively speaking this week. I know that sounds counterintuitive but normally when you go down to that range you have to fade some really strong players like Rory, DJ, JT, koepka, rahm, bryson, etc along the way… this week im fading a bunch of guys id never heard of a few weeks & months ago who may just have been on the right side of variance lately.

    A lot of the younger players are great players off the tee and that advantage is muted this week. Id rather have veterans who have hung around due to elite iron and short games who have course experience and the opportunity to really attack the flags this week.

    Finally, im not a huge fan of the scrubs this week. Collectively, yea im sure someone will do well and probably top 5…certainly top 10.. but its hard to identify WHO in a tournament like this… and if those sub $7k guys are all 1-2% owned then you wont ultimately have to beat all that many 6/6 lineups with them in it…

    I find the low to mid 7k range very appealing with plenty of guys with top ~5 equity… and if a guy finishes top ~5 in scoring in that $7k to $7.5k range (or multiple guys below $8k finish top ~10) a lot of times the 12th place finish from a $6,600 guy who was 2% is basically rendered unnecessary to form an optimal or realistically optimal lineup….

    I think scraping the bottom of the barrel for a punt this week just so you can pay up for guys who are probably vastly overpriced at the top is suboptimal this week . I mean normally those prices at the top correspond with guys who are 7:1 odds to win the tournament… sometimes as low as 5:1…. this week they are 16:1… i think youd be better off fading them entirely and just throwing a tiny bet on them to top 10 or something as a form of portfolio insurance

  • Sleazygreazy

    @Pbasniper said...

    ZJ H2H for anyone interested, you start ZJ and I don’t just let me know.

    I’m game, I don’t even like ZJ this week but I’ll do it. Send the invite. $1K HU on DK?

  • yisman

    I haven’t looked at my achievements in a while.

    Seems I’ve now maxed out 3 categories. Birdies (2259), Hole in One (that was a while ago), and Weekly (16/16)

  • nicholasmarsh

    @Pbasniper said...

    ZJ H2H for anyone interested, you start ZJ and I don’t just let me know.

    SENT

  • Pbasniper

    @Sleazygreazy said...

    I’m game, I don’t even like ZJ this week but I’ll do it. Send the invite. $1K HU on DK?

    Yeah name is same on here shoot it over.

  • hautalak

    @Pbasniper said...

    Yeah name is same on here shoot it over.

    Oh put that one in the league lobby for us to watch! Lots of cheddar there and should be interesting.

  • Sleazygreazy

    @Pbasniper said...

    Yeah name is same on here shoot it over.

    Can I create on the app? I can’t figure out how

  • mr_papageorgio

    @hautalak said...

    Oh put that one in the league lobby for us to watch! Lots of cheddar there and should be interesting.

    Looking at Sleazy’s recent scores like:

  • nicholasmarsh

    @Sleazygreazy said...

    Can I create on the app? I can’t figure out how

    Create contest on the main DK app page(scroll down half way), or in the RG forum league. I should have put mine in the forum too so you all could enjoy watching me lose. Ha-ha… #TrustTheProcess

  • Sleazygreazy

    @nicholasmarsh said...

    Create contest on the main DK page, or in the RG forum league

    Ty – sent

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