So I’m mainly a GPP player (at least in NFL and NBA I was) but have been trying to broaden my horizons (and reduce variance some) and have been putting in some moderate volume in H2H’s and DU’s in MLB. I know it’s not the largest sample size but I am 159.5W-172.5L in $1 H2H matches for a loss of $44.90. Those same exact lineups have brought me a 148W-115L in $2 DU’s for a profit of $66. I’ve also played 8 $1 50-50’s (I like the DU’s better so haven’t played many of these) and have gone 7-1 for a $4.60 profit.
My question for those of you who are primarily cash game players is this – is this the norm? Are H2H’s routinely this much tougher or am I going through one of these variance swings. For example tonight, I had two lineups in cash. First one scored 32.75 and went 5-3 in HU matches and 3-0 in DU. The second scored 29.5 and went 3-5 in HU matches and 4-0 in DU. Just looking at the results from the first 6 weeks makes me want to stop playing H2H for cash and just go with DU and 50/50’s.
And before you ask, yes I know about opponent selection and I’ve primarily been picking opponents with as few wins as possible with the occasional “I want to see their lineup” selection to try and learn with my $1 lol. I also track each game and look to target those who I think have been playing less than optimally. Just looking for some guidance from the cash game vets out there – thanks in advance!