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  • bhdevault

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  • Stangs13

    I don’t see how you can play Scherzer in large field GPP. He is going to be high owned and really limits what you can get.

  • telestraightshooter

    @Sleazygreazy said...

    If I was playing for .25 I would probably be taking some outlandish gambles too.

    I seldom go deep in DFS…. because that 15% rake makes 85% of the players… da mark

  • telestraightshooter

    @Stangs13 said...

    I don’t see how you can play Scherzer in large field GPP. He is going to be high owned and really limits what you can get.

    I figure chances are:
    7% he smashes
    25% he’s in winning LU
    45% he’s in a good chunk of cashing GPP’s

  • Sleazygreazy

    • 720

      RG Overall Ranking

    @telestraightshooter said...

    I seldom go deep in DFS…. because that 15% rake makes 85% of the players… da mark

    Unless of course you’re playing enough that they give you most of the rake back each week

  • telestraightshooter

    @telestraightshooter said...

    is there a link to last years DK contest of the Rockies/ Cubs 2-1 WC game?

    Winning LU

    Position
    Player . . . Team . . . Salary . . . Fpts . . . $/Point
    FLEX Jon Lester CHC . . . $13.9k . . .26.50 . . . $524.53
    FLEX Kyle Freeland COL . . $12,4k . . . 24.00 . . . $516.67
    FLEX Javier Baez CHC . . . $10,2k . . . 14.00 . . . $728.57
    FLEX Albert Almora CHC . $6,6k . . . 7.25 . . . $910.34
    FLEX Wade Davis COL . . . $2,7k . . . 13.60 . . . $198.53
    FLEX Scott Oberg COL . . . $2,0k . . . 21.20 . . . $94.34

    USER BomberFD . . . . . . $47,800 . . . . . . 106.55

  • telestraightshooter

    @Sleazygreazy said...

    Unless of course you’re playing enough that they give you most of the rake back each week

    cool – whats the $ threshold to get how much back % rake back?

  • telestraightshooter

    @telestraightshooter said...

    Winning LU

    and then the AL WC game – more traditional LU won

    FLEX Luis Severino NYY 60.05% $16,000 19.4
    FLEX Aaron Judge NYY 39.55% $10,500 25
    FLEX Giancarlo Stanton NYY 40.75% $9,800 23
    FLEX Luke Voit NYY 36.67% $8,300 14
    FLEX Dellin Betances NYY 8.32% $2,900 20.8
    FLEX Lou Trivino OAK 4.92% $2,300 22.5

  • Sleazygreazy

    • 720

      RG Overall Ranking

    @telestraightshooter said...

    cool – whats the $ threshold to get how much back % rake back?

    I can’t remember exactly what it is, maybe $20k/month.
    Every Monday 10% back

  • awilson45

    @Deltfish said...

    Omg I would bet the under so hard on that if I was able to. Never even heard of foxbet. Line for Woodruff on DK sportsbook is 3.5 k’s

    Haha as would I. They just offer the player prop, no under, but it’s Fox Sports betting app. I think it’s only available in NJ and PA right now

  • awilson45

    @telestraightshooter said...

    notice how many innings he opened last 2 games?

    2.0
    that’s an opener, not a starter
    and the Mgr a OP/ PLR believer

    I wasn’t making a hard statement there, just sharing that a legitimate book is offering that prop

  • monkeymadman

    Just looking for opinions in the pitching props for tonight.
    Scherzer 9.5 Woodruff 3.5

  • monkeymadman

    I’m thinking the under for both.

  • yisman

    @Deltfish said...

    Omg I would bet the under so hard on that if I was able to. Never even heard of foxbet. Line for Woodruff on DK sportsbook is 3.5 k’s

    foxbet is betstars/pokerstars

    they changed the name about a month ago

    I cannot find a prop for Woodruff on this page: https://nj.foxbet.com/#/baseball/competitions/event/8304427

    I see the Scherzer over/under is being offered (9.5)

    As for Woodruff, I suspect he won’t pitch more than 3 innings. I’m taking a flier on Hader, although there are several Milwaukee pitchers in play if they’re cheap.

    I would not pay for Woodruff.

    Note: for DK postseason achievements Ironman, 2 paid lineups a day are required.

  • deadphish

    • 416

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    • Ranked #60

      RG Tiered Ranking

    @awilson45 said...

    Haha as would I. They just offer the player prop, no under, but it’s Fox Sports betting app. I think it’s only available in NJ and PA right now

    Woodruff could easily get 4 Ks in 2 innings. i think he could get 3 innings…maybe 4 if dominant enough to keep pitch count down.

  • SteeloCity

    I’m happy with my lineup so far on FD for tonight. Going with the Nats onslaught. I don’t think Woodruff can shut the Nats’ bats down.

  • deadphish

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    • Ranked #60

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    @yisman said...

    foxbet is betstars/pokerstars

    they changed the name about a month ago

    I cannot find a prop for Woodruff on this page: https://nj.foxbet.com/#/baseball/competitions/event/8304427

    I see the Scherzer over/under is being offered (9.5)

    As for Woodruff, I suspect he won’t pitch more than 3 innings. I’m taking a flier on Hader, although there are several Milwaukee pitchers in play if they’re cheap.

    I would not pay for Woodruff.

    Note: for DK postseason achievements Ironman, 2 paid lineups a day are required.

    27 total days (potentially) to get there…only need 17

  • telestraightshooter

    @monkeymadman said...

    Just looking for opinions in the pitching props for tonight.
    Scherzer 9.5 Woodruff 3.5

    I like woodruff over

    The ump has a 1.16% k rate

  • Pandamonious

    • 494

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    • Moderator

    • 2019 Blogger of the Month

    @telestraightshooter said...

    I figure chances are:
    7% he smashes
    25% he’s in winning LU
    45% he’s in a good chunk of cashing GPP’s

    Those percentages seem incredibly low for a single game. I know he’s been getting hit around a bit, but I really don’t think he’s getting a quick hook. He’ll get K’s like always. He’ll pitch 5 or 6 innings and battle and get his 6-8 K’s, get his 15+ fantasy points and still be in the majority of cashing line ups and likely winning line ups.

    Are you imagining he just gets shelled or lots of runs in general?

    Aren’t most wild card games played tight and relatively low scoring?

  • telestraightshooter

    Based on his last five outings he would leave his team in a tight spot in three of them…. if they let him go 6 innings.

    IMHO this is an injury issue
    Not at Kevin Durant snap the achilles
    but he can’t reliably
    throw a safe slider to lefties last month

  • Pandamonious

    • 494

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    • Ranked #69

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    • Moderator

    • 2019 Blogger of the Month

    @telestraightshooter said...

    Based on his last five outings he would leave his team in a tight spot in three of them…. if they let him go 6 innings.

    IMHO this is an injury issue
    Not at Kevin Durant snap the achilles
    but he can’t reliably
    throw a safe slider to lefties last month

    Right, but he’s still their ace. There’s not a dominant bullpen ready to back him up. Strasburg is there obviously, but I’m sure they don’t want to stretch him too far unless they absolutely have too.

    I get it’s win or go home, but if Max gives up 3 runs in 2 innings they aren’t just going to yank him.

  • ASitar

    Haven’t played MLB in a while. How is Turner © w Hader + both catchers? DK

  • Sleazygreazy

    • 720

      RG Overall Ranking

    The real question is who other than hader is the $3k reliever that’s a lock, or closest to it to pitch tonight?

  • qatman

    The thing with Scherzer is that if he looks so-so early they might pinch-hit for him in a promising spot, moreso than just yanking him due to ineffectiveness. Let’s say it’s 2-2 bottom 4th and WAS gets a couple guys on base, or even RISP with 2 outs. You have to think they would strongly considering PHing there, possibly even earlier. Anything goes in these 1 game seasons.

  • bfwl3434

    12/12 hader. He SHOULD be the highest owned player tonight with 10+ upside for 3k.

  • Pandamonious

    • 494

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    • Ranked #69

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    • Moderator

    • 2019 Blogger of the Month

    @Sleazygreazy said...

    The real question is who other than hader is the $3k reliever that’s a lock, or closest to it to pitch tonight?

    Really hard to pinpoint. Don’r know if that player exists.

    Doolittle makes some sense. I’m leaning towards Max for 6, Strasburg for 2 and Doolittle.

    No idea what the Brewers will do. Gio has been pitching after Woodruff. Not sure why they’d change that since he’s been effective.

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