UPDATED at 5:30 Eastern
For the most part, the forecast looks better now than it did this morning… though it’s not perfect:
ARI @ WASH – Forecast models continue to advertise some storm potential at least near D.C., National Weather Service continues to dismiss that threat, and I’m inclined to agree with them. Play ball. GREEN / YELLOW
CHC @ PIT – Cluster of storms surrounding PIT as I write this, but it’s all clearing east. Those showers/storms should be cleared or clearing by first pitch, making a late start possible, but a mid-inning delay less likely. Back behind this initial batch of storms the overall storm coverage is very isolated, so while we could get unlucky and one storm could wander over the stadium later, that seems pretty unlikely. It’s not perfect, but your probability of getting in a clean game (not including a potential late start) looks pretty good, and if you like a pitching match-up here, the weather odds are in your favor. YELLOW / GREEN
SF @ ATL – Maybe a stray isolated storm within 50 miles of the stadium, even that looks pretty unlikely now. GREEN
SEA @ COL – A couple months ago this pattern was almost routine, scattered showers and storms through the evening hours in COL. Radar is currently unimpressive, but there’s still plenty of time to see storms pop/strengthen. The HRRR forecast model has this as a split system, one arriving early in the game (potentially causing a late start), then clearing out with, another batch much later in the night. I think trying to pinpoint timing on rain or clearing might be ambitious at this point. COL has shown good patience in the past with a similar set-up, so I’ll put this at YELLOW ) / ORANGE (that means leaning towards YELLOW . I think a delay is probable, with a PPD possible but not likely. This game will more than likely play, but your are definitely taking at least some risk if you roster players in this game.
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