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  • JonBales

    RotoAcademy Lead Instructor

    • 602

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2019 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    • x3

      2015 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    I wanted to let everyone know that I just published my latest fantasy football book. This one is called “The Ultimate In-Season Weekly Guide” and it’s an extension of the “Fantasy Football for Smart People” series.

    The book is available on Amazon (e-book and paperback):

    http://www.amazon.com/Fantasy-Football-Smart-People-In-Season/dp/1503055558/ref=tmm_pap_title_0?ie=UTF8&qid=1415027377&sr=1-10

    It’s also cheaper as a PDF on my site:

    http://fantasyfootballdrafting.com/shop/the-ultimate-in-season-weekly-guide/

    As always, I have a code for Grinders. Use the coupon RG10 at checkout to get 10% off everything you purchase on my site.

    This book is a mix of my previous styles in that it’s applicable to both season-long and DFS players. It’s composed of a bunch of shorter chapters that analyze and either confirm or debunk specific fantasy football narratives. Here’s a look at the Table of Contents.

    1 How much do matchups matter?
    2 Why Some Rookies Might Have Hidden Value
    3 How many more plays do passing teams run?
    4 Eleven Tips for Winning at Daily Fantasy Sports
    5 The Fourth Quarter, Vegas Lines, and Passing Stats
    6 More on Quarterback Matchups
    7 How to Treat Backup Running Backs Who Become Starters
    8 Does playing in a dome help an offense?
    9 Daily Fantasy Football, Game Theory, and Antonio Cromartie’s Kids
    10 How do quarterbacks perform without their No. 1 running back?
    11 The Consistency of Mobile vs Pocket Passers
    12 Consistency and Cash Games in DFS
    13 How to Project Players Based on Game Location (Home vs. Road)
    14 How to Handle the Flex Position to Win Tournaments on DraftKings
    15 Do quarterbacks feel the pain?
    16 Are offenses worse in Thursday night games?
    17 Do players score more fantasy points on Monday Night Football?
    18 Do hot streaks really exist?
    19 Fantasy Contributions from Players Listed as ‘Questionable’
    20 Should I structure my bye weeks in a particular way?
    21 The Numbers on Quarterbacks Returning from Injuries
    22 Are road teams too conservative?
    23 How to Spot a Tight End Who Will Score a Lot of Touchdowns
    24 How much does facing a shitty offense help your D/ST?
    25 Streamlining the Daily Fantasy Lineup Process
    26 The Prototypical Defense and Kicker
    27 Demaryius Thomas, Andre Johnson, and Opportunities to Score
    28 How many lineups should I play?
    29 Do big-time players play better in big-time games?
    30 Emphasizing the Little Things in Daily Fantasy Sports
    31 A Bunch of Fantasy Football Data
    Bonus 1: Brett Favre, Quarterback Hand Size, and Cold Temperatures
    Bonus 2: The Numbers Behind a Contrarian Daily Fantasy GPP Strategy
    Bonus 3: How to Pull Off the Perfect Trade
    Bonus 4: Is GPP success all about seeking upside?
    Bonus 5: How much worse are quarterbacks without their top wide receiver?
    Bonus 6: Selecting Players, Gut vs Numbers
    Bonus 7: How to Overcome a Slow Start in Fantasy Football
    Bonus 8: Advanced Lineup Setting Strategies
    Bonus 9: The Importance of Goal-Line Opportunities
    Sample Chapter from Fantasy Football (and Baseball) for Smart People
    Sample Chapter from Daily Fantasy Pros Reveal Their Money Making Secrets

    ———————————————————————————————-

    After this NFL season, I will be working on an MLB-specific DFS book. DraftKings has been amazing in providing data for my books on what’s actually winning DFS leagues, so I will work with them again to collect a whole bunch of awesome info for the upcoming MLB season. I’m personally very interested in usage rates (predicting them and their effect on GPP win probability), especially in MLB with the popularity of stacking in tourneys.

    I’d love if the RG community would contribute ideas for what you’d like to see in this book. What are some questions (overarching DFS or MLB-specific) that you’ve always wondered? What “truisms” do you think might be false or overrated? Which strategies (simple or complex) do you want to see analyzed? The goal is to create an amazing data-driven guide to help everyone crush MLB on DK next year.

    Shoot me some ideas and I’ll do my best to make sure everything is covered in the next book!

    Jonathan Bales

  • deactivated24336

    @Jon Bales said...

    I don’t see any reason why we can’t do that. When I have collected a list of topics, I will likely post something in here and then finalize what everyone wants to see. As it stands now, I post data over at DraftKings in their Playbook blog. Again, I don’t have access to anything you don’t and I’ve never received a single stat that hasn’t been published for free outside of my books. I think publishing the data for the next book and posting it here should be fine.

    _

  • CruzinToVictory

    RG Product Coordinator

    • Blogger of the Month

    @onestrawhat said...

    If this is true, then you should very easily be able to provide a link to where we can access every piece of data that you have received. If it’s not true, then you should feel the need to continue dodging this with vague answers about how all the data you receive is already public, without actually showing where this public data can be accessed by… well the public.

  • deactivated24336

    @CruzinToVictory said...

    _

  • JohnnyTsunami

    Just stack the royals every game and you will be +ev at years end.

  • wikingfan

    Ballpark factors – as was already mentioned it is surprising when you look at the numbers some ballparks statistics don’t fit with what people think.
    -Miami is a pitchers park but giancarlo stanton is still a good home-run hitter right?
    -I think Colorado also is a good home run hitting team away from home, how much is it a function of the park and how much a function of the players attributes?

    Are you going to tackle these? lol
    -Don’t stack/play the visiting team on the first game @ Coors?
    -BvP or wOBA?

  • JonBales

    RotoAcademy Lead Instructor

    • 602

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2019 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    • x3

      2015 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    1) I have never had access to any DK data (nor do any DK Pros). I have zero access to any area of the site or company that you don’t.

    2) I have worked with DK on ONE occasion. I sent them a bunch of questions I wanted to see answered in my book Fantasy Football (and Baseball) for Smart People. They sent me ONE PowerPoint slide with that data.

    3) I uploaded that PowerPoint to SlideShare: http://www.slideshare.net/Jongb35/draft-kings-data

    It’s sad that I even have to do that, but quite frankly it would be a much larger waste of my time to be forced to respond to these questions on a consistent basis.

    4) If you run through the PowerPoint (which I’m sure a DK employee can confirm is the ONLY data I received, in its entirety) and match it up with what is in my book, you’ll find that every piece of data I was given was published. Not most of it. Not 90%. Every single thing.

    5) I think the insinuations that I would withhold information or that I’ve given vague answers are a needless attack on my character. I don’t respond to everything in here because I spend all day researching and writing to make cool products and help DFS players. It’s the same reason I’m not overly active on Twitter; I’m just working.

    6) The majority of the RG community is comprised of outstanding people and players – the reason I work hard to provide information and advice. A few of you (truly the vast minority) are setting back the site and industry by turning everything into a witch hunt. If you spent half as much time researching as you do bitching, you’d probably be among the most profitable players in the world.

    7) Thank you to everyone who has given ideas for my next book. I think most of them are outstanding and could be really useful and actionable.

    8) I have a bunch of books published – only one of which has DK data from the PowerPoint I uploaded – and I’ll take this fantastic opportunity to sell some of those: http://www.amazon.com/Jonathan-Bales/e/B008519HHI/ref=sr_tc_2_0?qid=1417750959&sr=8-2-ent

    9) This will be my last response to this subject. That’s not because I don’t care or because I think the subject is worthless, but because I’ve given all of the info I can provide on the matter and I’d rather spend my time working on something productive.

    10) Thanks to the 99% of RG users and DFS players who make the industry so incredible. It’s a great time to be a DFS player and I’m really happy and fortunate that I can be a small part of it!

  • JohnnyTsunami

    I think there should be some sort of contest for a chance to win one of your books. That’d be pretty cool I think.

    I haven’t read any of them yet, but am thinking about going out and buying one.
    Jon, is there any of yours out there currently that deals with dfs baseball mainly?

  • CNTDFS

    @Jon Bales said...

    2) I have worked with DK on ONE occasion. I sent them a bunch of questions I wanted to see answered in my book Fantasy Football (and Baseball) for Smart People. They sent me ONE PowerPoint slide with that data.

    3) I uploaded that PowerPoint to SlideShare: http://www.slideshare.net/Jongb35/draft-kings-data

    It’s sad that I even have to do that, but quite frankly it would be a much larger waste of my time to be forced to respond to these questions on a consistent basis.

    4) If you run through the PowerPoint (which I’m sure a DK employee can confirm is the ONLY data I received, in its entirety) and match it up with what is in my book, you’ll find that every piece of data I was given was published. Not most of it. Not 90%. Every single thing.

    5) I think the insinuations that I would withhold information or that I’ve given vague answers are a needless attack on my character. I don’t respond to everything in here because I spend all day researching and writing to make cool products and help DFS players. It’s the same reason I’m not overly active on Twitter; I’m just working.

    6) The majority of the RG community is comprised of outstanding people and players – the reason I work hard to provide information and advice. A few of you (truly the vast minority) are setting back the site and industry by turning everything into a witch hunt. If you spent half as much time researching as you do bitching, you’d probably be among the most profitable players in the world.

    2. All anyone ever asked you was where was this info made public and you had no response till today other than its available to everyone which it was not.

    3. Finally its public now, outside of your book. Usually public information that is readily available isnt something you have to purchase from a singular source (your book). LOL at a waste of your time to answer simple questions of how/where this info is public when you are the one that stated these things.

    4. Awesome, again tho if this was always public knowledge we shouldnt have to make a purchase from you to get it so that you can then profit from it. CWIDT?

    5. I know I havent insinuated that you are withholding information and I dont think the vast majority of people are insinuating that. You are a stand up guy and every one knows how much work you do for the industry and trust me, I along with a lot of people appreciate your selflessness in doing that and appreciate your work, it is top top. People just like to have complete transparency and know things are even keeled especially since most of us come from an industry where one day everything is fine and the next day I have to wait 2.5 years to receive tens of thousands of dollars that I earned because of bad management and shady dealings between the companies that I trusted 100% outright. (mistake on my part) So lots of us question things now if we see even the slightest thing out of the norm.

    6. Some people just hate to hate, but again some people question to protect themselves.

  • yaleg34

    @Jon Bales said...

    1) I have never had access to any DK data (nor do any DK Pros). I have zero access to any area of the site or company that you don’t.

    2) I have worked with DK on ONE occasion. I sent them a bunch of questions I wanted to see answered in my book Fantasy Football (and Baseball) for Smart People. They sent me ONE PowerPoint slide with that data.

    3) I uploaded that PowerPoint to SlideShare: http://www.slideshare.net/Jongb35/draft-kings-data

    It’s sad that I even have to do that, but quite frankly it would be a much larger waste of my time to be forced to respond to these questions on a consistent basis.

    4) If you run through the PowerPoint (which I’m sure a DK employee can confirm is the ONLY data I received, in its entirety) and match it up with what is in my book, you’ll find that every piece of data I was given was published. Not most of it. Not 90%. Every single thing.

    5) I think the insinuations that I would withhold information or that I’ve given vague answers are a needless attack on my character. I don’t respond to everything in here because I spend all day researching and writing to make cool products and help DFS players. It’s the same reason I’m not overly active on Twitter; I’m just working.

    6) The majority of the RG community is comprised of outstanding people and players – the reason I work hard to provide information and advice. A few of you (truly the vast minority) are setting back the site and industry by turning everything into a witch hunt. If you spent half as much time researching as you do bitching, you’d probably be among the most profitable players in the world.

    7) Thank you to everyone who has given ideas for my next book. I think most of them are outstanding and could be really useful and actionable.

    8) I have a bunch of books published – only one of which has DK data from the PowerPoint I uploaded – and I’ll take this fantastic opportunity to sell some of those: http://www.amazon.com/Jonathan-Bales/e/B008519HHI/ref=sr_tc_2_0?qid=1417750959&sr=8-2-ent

    9) This will be my last response to this subject. That’s not because I don’t care or because I think the subject is worthless, but because I’ve given all of the info I can provide on the matter and I’d rather spend my time working on something productive.

    10) Thanks to the 99% of RG users and DFS players who make the industry so incredible. It’s a great time to be a DFS player and I’m really happy and fortunate that I can be a small part of it!

    if you put yourself in the public eye, call yourself an expert, sell materials for profit, you are going to be under scrutiny. That is the facts of the world. If you don’t want the scrutiny don’t publish and sell materials. There are tons of people in DFS who are much better and more successful than you in the game (condia,rayofhope,salcaps,1ucror,mbomb,bretfavre,danwahoo,lovesbases) just to name a few. Last time I checked none of those guys are selling information as it pertains to DFS, they take their knowledge,info,research or whatever you choose to call it and put there money in play win/lose or draw.

    You sir are doing something vastly different.

    I would like to add that this is your prerogative and I have no problem with you exploiting the free market. Fish gonna fish and you stand to gain off that. I actually think your niche is pretty brilliant, but don’t expect to not be scrutinized or questioned along the way. Its more than fair that people ask questions. That said, I do think the majority of people mean well and of course some don’t.

    One beautiful thing about RG that seems to constantly get lost in the shuffle by the mods and the owners is that in essence while RG is many things, its also an industry watchdog. People on this site have a lot of knowledge and the members of this site have been very successful in their own right on a variety of fronts. I am not trying to derail this thread away from Jon Bales, but whether its a technological failure, cheating, sites colluding with certain people/pros to give them info that others aren’t getting, I think its great that reasonable people with reasonable hypothesis can bring these concerns to a forum like RG (not saying this is happening, but if people have concerns RG is #1 forum and best place to voice those potential issues in a reasonable manner).

    The industry is brand new, lacking true oversight and transparency. People have every right to be skeptical and keep things transparent as long as they are acting reasonably. What one might define as a witch hunt, another person might simply see as doing diligence.

    To me it would be really great if the notable names/faces of the industry would step up and own some of these realities rather than hide behind/act or behave intellectually dishonest for the almighty dollar. Some of the things that have been posted recently in these forums are disheartening because a lot of newbs are being lied to on these forums about reality.

  • deactivated24336

    @Jon Bales said...

    I uploaded that PowerPoint to SlideShare: http://www.slideshare.net/Jongb35/draft-kings-data

    _

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