NASCAR FORUM

  • bhdevault

    • Lead Moderator

    • Blogger of the Month

    Sun, Feb 18
    2:30 PM ET

    DAYTONA 500
    Daytona International Speedway

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these weekly threads more on topic – Nascar strategy talk for this week’s contest. Post referring to last week’s contest will be moved to the correct thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

  • malickiville

    @wormworth said...

    If you are new to Nascar and listened to advice on this board today, do the opposite next week at Atlanta….also pick Truex he dominated 1.5 tracks last year.

    Thanks man. Total Newb. What I’m seeing is next week less crashes, faster cars, try to get front runners not the guys from the back unless they have a chance to win it.

    Appreciate all advice

  • wormworth

    @malickiville said...

    Thanks man. Total Newb. What I’m seeing is next week less crashes, faster cars, try to get front runners not the guys from the back unless they have a chance to win it.

    Appreciate all advice

    I will say this the new aero packages they put in for Daytona I completely enjoyed today, best racing I’ve seen in awhile, even the duels and clash. I would love to know the odds on Almirola’s chance of winning because he almost did. Malick, once you figure out plate races, 1.5’s and short tracks they throw you road courses in the summer. Also don’t forget Charlotte will be 1/2 oval and 1/2 road course in the fall, I can’t wait, I will be there, first ROVAL ever iirc.

  • JimKronlund

    Don’t get why gripe about other DFS players success’s.
    Your own team and the race and if you feel inclined, congratulations to those that won.
    Degrading winners? Not a good look.

  • wormworth

    I hear ya Jim.

  • unageo09

    My best lineup was Almirola, Dillon, Gilliland, Johnson, Larson, McDowell. 287 points. Had Johnson not wrecked or I went somewhere else with that pick could have finished near the top of the $3 Slingshot. Anyway, congrats to those who won and thanks Stevie for the info. On to the ATL!

  • elmore0631

    Almirola & Dibendetto (sp) late crash hurt same thing happened last Daytona with a bunch of crashes last lap right..?

  • Thechamp1995

    • 705

      RG Overall Ranking

    @elmore0631 said...

    Almirola & Dibendetto (sp) late crash hurt same thing happened last Daytona with a bunch of crashes last lap right..?

    Yep there’s usually always a big crash right at the end of these plate races

  • dbullsfan

    450K 100K to first $10 and 100K 10K to first $3 next week really hoping a lot of the people who cashed at the top of GPP’s this week bring their money right back

  • depalma13

    @wormworth said...

    I will say this the new aero packages they put in for Daytona I completely enjoyed today, best racing I’ve seen in awhile, even the duels and clash. I would love to know the odds on Almirola’s chance of winning because he almost did. Malick, once you figure out plate races, 1.5’s and short tracks they throw you road courses in the summer. Also don’t forget Charlotte will be 1/2 oval and 1/2 road course in the fall, I can’t wait, I will be there, first ROVAL ever iirc.

    Almirola was in a Ford. The Fords were very fast. He was starting in the back. I was 80% on him, Blaney and Kes and still finished 524 in the $3 with all three being involved in crashes.

  • upgradetoquestionable

    Suarez crash killed me then Almirola crash finished me off. First venture into NASCAR it was pretty fun. Thanks to all the vets for the advice.

  • yellowdart24

    I probably took it too far with getting angry at the winners yesterday. Point still remains that it took no skill to win yesterday. My guess is those who did well most likely didn’t know what they were doing. Like dbulls said, hopefully they bring all that money right back next race.

  • yellowdart24

    The plays yesterday, IMO, were as follows… Brad, JJ, Larson, Aric, DiB, Gilliland, Patrick, Byron, Kahne, Truex, Ty, McMurray, Menard, Kyle B. and LaJoie. That was my driver pool focusing heavily with 75% Brad and Larson, 70% JJ, 65% Aric and Byron and down from there (only took 10% stabs with McMurray, Menard, Kyle Busch, Ty). I built 140 lineups and just focused on rotating them in and out. If I went with one of those 10% guys, then the rest of my lineup was all the back drivers. My cash team was Brad, JJ, Larson, Aric, Byron, DiB. Then I subbed in Gilliland over DiB. Subbed in Truex over Brad, then JJ, then Larson. That’s how I went about building lineups yesterday. Maybe this will help the new guys going forward. I use this basic strategy to build lineups every race. I take the lineup I like the most, then sub out one driver with another who could easily do just as good but who I like slightly less. The main thing to is develop your core then create your driver pool. Build around your core with other drivers you like. If your core hits, you really increase your odds at winning a gpp if you build a lot of lineups. Most of the time, it’s that one driver who is 10% owned that you happened to pair with your core than wins you the money.

  • joephoto

    I had both Blaney and Kurt Busch 1-2 with 2 laps left. I was finally gonna cash a Nascar lineup.
    Only 2 laps to go.

    Can’t wait for MLB + NFL. My only profitable sports.

  • dbullsfan

    @yellowdart24 said...

    The plays yesterday, IMO, were as follows… Brad, JJ, Larson, Aric, DiB, Gilliland, Patrick, Byron, Kahne, Truex, Ty, McMurray, Menard, Kyle B. and LaJoie. That was my driver pool focusing heavily with 75% Brad and Larson, 70% JJ, 65% Aric and Byron and down from there (only took 10% stabs with McMurray, Menard, Kyle Busch, Ty). I built 140 lineups and just focused on rotating them in and out. If I went with one of those 10% guys, then the rest of my lineup was all the back drivers. My cash team was Brad, JJ, Larson, Aric, Byron, DiB. Then I subbed in Gilliland over DiB. Subbed in Truex over Brad, then JJ, then Larson. That’s how I went about building lineups yesterday. Maybe this will help the new guys going forward. I use this basic strategy to build lineups every race. I take the lineup I like the most, then sub out one driver with another who could easily do just as good but who I like slightly less. The main thing to is develop your core then create your driver pool. Build around your core with other drivers you like. If your core hits, you really increase your odds at winning a gpp if you build a lot of lineups. Most of the time, it’s that one driver who is 10% owned that you happened to pair with your core than wins you the money.

    yea that is pretty much my core except I had no Mcmurray or Kyle B and only 1-2 l/u with Menard. I was 60%+ on Gilliland, Almirola, Kes, and Larson and around 50% JJ and Byron. In hindsight probably too tight of a player pool but I only played 28 lineups and those 6 were such strong plays that I wanted to be able to mix and match around 4 or 5 of them with different combinations.

  • gje627

    Not to re-open old wounds, but… below please find fantasy points data for all drivers in yesterday’s Daytona 500.

    Interestingly, while place differential did in fact play a significant role in total fantasy scoring, it played a far smaller role than in recent races at Daytona.

    Including the last 27 Daytona cup series races, the race yesterday had the 5th fewest place differential fantasy points awarded to the top six (6) fantasy scorers, and the lowest place differential points for top six (6) scorers at Daytona since the Summer race in 2013.

    With so many strong drivers starting at or near the rear yesterday, who would’ve thunk? :)

    2018 Daytona 500 – Final Draftkings Fantasy Points Rank and Breakdown

    Driver DK FPts RANK Total DK FPts Start Pos Finish Pos Finish Pos DK FPts Place Diff DK FPts Fast Laps DK FPts Laps Led DK FPts
    —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —- —-
    Ryan Blaney 1 65 3 7 37 -4 2.5 29.5
    Austin Dillon 2 64.75 14 1 46 13 5.5 0.25
    Aric Almirola 3 62.25 37 11 33 26 3 0.25
    Chris Buescher 4 57 21 5 39 16 2 0
    David Gilliland 5 56.5 39 14 30 25 1.5 0
    Paul Menard 6 53.75 16 6 38 10 5.5 0.25
    Michael McDowell 7 53 22 9 35 13 5 0
    Justin Marks 8 50.75 29 12 32 17 1.5 0.25
    Darrell Wallace, Jr. 9 49.5 7 2 42 5 2.5 0
    Denny Hamlin 9 49.5 2 3 41 -1 4 5.5
    Kyle Larson 11 47 38 19 25 19 3 0
    A.J. Allmendinger 12 45.75 20 10 34 10 1.5 0.25
    Ryan Newman 13 45 13 8 36 5 4 0
    Joey Logano 14 44.25 5 4 40 1 2.5 0.75
    Trevor Bayne 15 40.5 18 13 31 5 4.5 0
    Mark Thompson 16 40 40 22 22 18 0 0
    Gray Gaulding 17 38 34 20 24 14 0 0
    Martin Truex, Jr. 18 35.5 24 18 26 6 2.5 1
    William Byron 19 33.5 33 23 21 10 2.5 0
    Jamie McMurray 20 32 19 16 28 3 1 0
    Jeffrey Earnhardt 21 29.5 27 21 23 6 0.5 0
    Matt DiBenedetto 22 28 36 27 17 9 2 0
    D.J. Kennington 23 26 30 24 20 6 0 0
    Clint Bowyer 24 25.5 10 15 29 -5 1.5 0
    Alex Bowman 25 16.25 1 17 27 -16 2 3.25
    Brendan Gaughan 26 15 25 28 16 -3 2 0
    Kurt Busch 27 12.5 11 26 18 -15 5.5 4
    Brad Keselowski 28 12 31 32 12 -1 1 0
    Kyle Busch 29 8.5 12 25 19 -13 2.5 0
    Danica Patrick 30 3.5 28 35 9 -7 1.5 0
    Jimmie Johnson 30 3.5 35 38 6 -3 0.5 0
    David Ragan 32 2.5 15 30 14 -15 3.5 0
    Kasey Kahne 33 2 26 34 10 -8 0 0
    Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. 34 -0.75 9 29 15 -20 1.5 2.75
    Corey LaJoie 35 -4 32 40 4 -8 0 0
    Ty Dillon 36 -10.5 23 39 5 -16 0.5 0
    Kevin Harvick 37 -12 6 31 13 -25 0 0
    Daniel Suarez 37 -12 17 37 7 -20 1 0
    Chase Elliott 39 -15.5 4 33 11 -29 1.5 1
    Erik Jones 40 -16.25 8 36 8 -28 1 2.75
  • wormworth

    Nice info. Where did you get it?

  • gje627

    @wormworth said...

    Nice info. Where did you get it?

    Thanks.I maintain my own databases for multiple sports. My NASCAR database is from 2005 to the present.

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