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  • ifthethunder

    The first race is an invitation-only contest with just 24 drivers, but DK is counting it. Thus am I.

    Tuesday, Feb. 9: 43rd Annual Busch Clash At DAYTONA (DAYTONA Road Course under the lights)
    Wednesday, Feb. 10: DAYTONA 500 Qualifying Presented By Kroger
    Thursday, Feb. 11: Duel At DAYTONA qualifying races
    Friday, Feb. 12: NextEra Energy 250 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series race
    Saturday, Feb. 13: Beef. It’s What’s for Dinner. 300 (NASCAR Xfinity Series) and Lucas Oil 200
    Sunday, Feb. 14: DAYTONA 500, The Great American Race.
    ~

  • BigRay

    well. Kyle steals the race.

  • depalma13

    I just lost a ton of money because of that Blaney wreck.

    NASCAR bingo is back!

  • BigRay

    My line-up was done when Truex wrecked. It was a slow bleed from then until the end. I did have Kyle but everyone else was wrecko

  • someclevername

    lol Kyle Busch right place, right time.

    *Also, props to Ricky – he did well.

  • ifthethunder

    @homers1226 said...

    wrecky right on que

    lmao

    Nothing like starting a new season with the classics.
    ~

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TvQWBXJOgAI

  • ifthethunder

    DK promo: ENTER ANY PAID SUNDAY CUP CONTEST TODAY.

    If an odd-numbered car wins the race on Sunday, you’ll score 750 Crowns.
    —————————————-
    I have tickets I need to use by Sunday, so I can take advantage of the NASCAR promo each day. Just have to remember to hit the landing page first.
    ~

  • Moszman

    @depalma13 said...

    I just lost a ton of money because of that Blaney wreck.

    NASCAR bingo is back!

    Wasn’t a ton but I was entered into 2 $1 tournaments and winning $3 in each until that happened. Truex didn’t help either, on to Thursday.

  • joephoto

    Got 29- $15 tickets to the Americas Race that I won in the fall.
    Never used the lineup optimizer thingy. Might have to learn.

    Edit: I guess you got to pay to use it anyway. So- 29 different lineups by hand as usual.

  • depalma13

    It’s going to rain all weekend in Daytona.

  • gje627

    FYI 1: Assuming everyone knows this, but if you want any of the information I put in tabular format you simply need to “copy” the table and “paste special” —> “values” in Excel to retain formatting

    FYI 2: If interested and as of this writing, Daytona front row only qualifying is currently on FS1 (02/10/2021 – 7:00 PM EST)

    FYI 3: In the first table below, there are 10 columns. If necessary, please zoom-out to see all 10.

    DAYTONA 500 – PRACTICE #1

    DRIVER RANK CAR MAKE TIME MPH LAP NO. LAPS FASTEST NEXT
    ——————————- ———— ———- —————- ———- ———— ——— ———- —————— ————
    Bubba Wallace 01 23 Toyota 45.057 199.747 4 20 na na
    Martin Truex Jr 02 19 Toyota 45.069 199.694 4 19 -0.012 -0.012
    Denny Hamlin 03 11 Toyota 45.070 199.689 4 20 -0.013 -0.001
    Kyle Busch 04 18 Toyota 45.084 199.627 4 19 -0.027 -0.014
    Christopher Bell 05 20 Toyota 45.085 199.623 4 22 -0.028 -0.001
    Jamie McMurray 06 77 Chevrolet 45.145 199.358 8 13 -0.088 -0.060
    Corey Lajoie 07 7 Chevrolet 45.190 199.159 8 12 -0.133 -0.045
    Michael McDowell 08 34 Ford 45.236 198.957 8 14 -0.179 -0.046
    Ryan Newman 09 6 Ford 45.307 198.645 4 11 -0.250 -0.071
    Cole Custer 10 41 Ford 45.387 198.295 5 15 -0.330 -0.080
    Erik Jones 11 43 Chevrolet 45.413 198.181 3 8 -0.356 -0.026
    Matt DiBenedetto 12 21 Ford 45.427 198.120 5 11 -0.370 -0.014
    Aric Almirola 13 10 Ford 45.489 197.850 5 13 -0.432 -0.062
    Chris Buescher 14 17 Ford 45.498 197.811 5 9 -0.441 -0.009
    Kevin Harvick 15 4 Ford 45.500 197.802 5 13 -0.443 -0.002
    Chase Briscoe 16 14 Ford 45.516 197.733 5 15 -0.459 -0.016
    Joey Logano 17 22 Ford 45.580 197.455 4 9 -0.523 -0.064
    Austin Dillon 18 3 Chevrolet 46.237 194.649 4 12 -1.180 -0.657
    Ryan Preece 19 37 Chevrolet 46.256 194.569 2 11 -1.199 -0.019
    Anthony Alfredo 20 38 Ford 46.373 194.078 5 10 -1.316 -0.117
    Ricky Stenhouse Jr 21 47 Chevrolet 46.897 191.910 1 6 -1.840 -0.524
    Kyle Larson 22 5 Chevrolet 47.279 190.359 5 13 -2.222 -0.382
    Alex Bowman 23 48 Chevrolet 47.465 189.613 6 8 -2.408 -0.186
    Brad Keselowski 24 2 Ford 47.489 189.518 1 5 -2.432 -0.024
    Daniel Suarez 25 99 Chevrolet 47.575 189.175 2 11 -2.518 -0.086
    William Byron 26 24 Chevrolet 47.599 189.080 8 8 -2.542 -0.024
    Kurt Busch 27 1 Chevrolet 47.602 189.068 2 12 -2.545 -0.003
    Ty Dillon 28 96 Toyota 47.611 189.032 1 6 -2.554 -0.009
    Chase Elliott 29 9 Chevrolet 47.680 188.758 3 11 -2.623 -0.069
    Kaz Grala 30 16 Chevrolet 47.781 188.359 1 1 -2.724 -0.101
    David Ragan 31 36 Ford 47.803 188.273 2 5 -2.746 -0.022
    Austin Cindric 32 33 Ford 47.828 188.174 7 7 -2.771 -0.025
    Tyler Reddick 33 8 Chevrolet 47.944 187.719 12 12 -2.887 -0.116
    Ross Chastain 34 42 Chevrolet 47.981 187.574 2 10 -2.924 -0.037
    Ryan Blaney 35 12 Ford 48.010 187.461 1 8 -2.953 -0.029
    Noah Gragson 36 62 Chevrolet 48.318 186.266 4 4 -3.261 -0.308
    Garrett Smithley 37 13 Ford 48.350 186.143 2 4 -3.293 -0.032
    Timmy Hill 38 66 Ford 48.352 186.135 2 5 -3.295 -0.002
    Quin Houff 39 0 Chevrolet 48.370 186.066 2 4 -3.313 -0.018
    Derrike Cope 40 15 Chevrolet 48.817 184.362 7 9 -3.760 -0.447
    BJ McLeod 41 78 Ford 50.160 179.426 5 5 -5.103 -1.343
    Joey Gase 42 53 Ford 50.201 179.279 5 5 -5.144 -0.041
    Josh Bilicki 43 52 Ford 50.736 177.389 3 3 -5.679 -0.535
    Cody Ware 44 51 Chevrolet 50.821 177.092 2 2 -5.764 -0.085

    ——
    NOTE: The Daytona 500 will have a field of 40 drivers.
    ——

    DAYTONA 500 – PRACTICE #1 — 10-LAP AVERAGES

    —-

    RANK CAR NO. DRIVER FROM LAP TO LAP AVG MPH
    ——— ——— ——————————- ——————- ——————- ——————-
    01 23 Bubba Wallace 2 11 198.131
    02 19 Martin Truex Jr 2 11 198.117
    03 11 Denny Hamlin 2 11 198.105
    04 18 Kyle Busch 2 11 197.919
    05 20 Christopher Bell 2 11 197.912
    06 34 Michael McDowell 2 11 196.446
    07 41 Cole Custer 2 11 196.309
    08 10 Aric Almirola 2 11 195.785
    09 14 Chase Briscoe 1 10 195.657
    10 4 Kevin Harvick 1 10 195.648
    11 77 Jamie McMurray 2 11 194.732

    —-
    NOTE: To see how practice speeds correlate with finishing position and DK/FD fantasy points, please see correlation table in previous thread.
    —-

    DAYTONA 500 FRONT ROW – aka TWO DRIVERS TO FADE IN FANTASY

    1. Alex Bowman (pole)
    2. William Byron

    —-

    NON-CHARTERS GUARANTEED TO MAKE THE DAYTONA 500 FIELD

    1. Ryan Preece
    2. David Ragan
    —-
    NOTE: All 36 chartered cars are guaranteed to make the field in every race. Ryan Preece and David Ragan are guaranteed starts because they were the two fastest non-charter qualifiers.

  • gje627

    FYI: Decided on a new post so as not to make the prior post too long. This will be my last post tonght. “Qualify” refers to tonight’s front-row qualifying which also sets the starting positions for the duel races. There are 22 drivers in each duel. As of this posting, DK salaries have not been posted and no contests are listed on FD.

    —-

    DAYTONA DUEL 1 START POSITIONS

    —-

    NAME QUALIFY START
    ———————————— —————— ————-
    Alex Bowman 01 01
    Aric Almirola 03 02
    Ricky Stenhouse Jr 05 03
    Christopher Bell 07 04
    Ryan Preece 08 05
    Daniel Suarez 10 06
    Denny Hamlin 12 07
    Kyle Larson 15 08
    Matt DiBenedetto 17 09
    Austin Cindric 19 10
    Joey Logano 21 11
    Ryan Newman 23 12
    Cole Custer 25 13
    Michael McDowell 27 14
    Erik Jones 29 15
    Tyler Reddick 31 16
    Ty Dillon 33 17
    Jamie McMurray 34 18
    Quin Houff 36 19
    Timmy Hill 39 20
    Cody Ware 40 21
    Josh Bilicki 42 22

    ——-

    DAYTONA DUEL 2 START POSITIONS

    —-

    NAME QUALIFY START
    ———————————— —————— ————-
    William Byron 02 01
    Bubba Wallace 04 02
    Kevin Harvick 06 03
    Austin Dillon 09 04
    Chase Elliott 11 05
    David Ragan 13 06
    Kurt Busch 14 07
    Kyle Busch 16 08
    Ryan Blaney 18 09
    Kaz Grala 20 10
    Chase Briscoe 22 11
    Ross Chastain 24 12
    Brad Keselowski 26 13
    Martin Truex Jr 28 14
    Chris Buescher 30 15
    Anthony Alfredo 32 16
    Corey LaJoie 35 17
    Garrett Smithley 37 18
    BJ McLeod 38 19
    Joey Gase 41 20
    Derrike Cope 43 22
    Noah Gragson 44 22

    —-

  • Dookie

    Does fanduel only score the first duel or will drivers who are in the second duel get points too?

  • Stangs13

    Gje you do some awesome work on here and your info is extremely helpful. Do you have any historical data in the duels? Looking at the last few years it looks like you would want 3 guys starting 10-20 and 3 starting top 10. But that’s just by me eyeballing it. Also it seems the back marker cars never do well in the duels.

  • gje627

    @Stangs13 said...

    Gje you do some awesome work on here and your info is extremely helpful. Do you have any historical data in the duels? Looking at the last few years it looks like you would want 3 guys starting 10-20 and 3 starting top 10. But that’s just by me eyeballing it. Also it seems the back marker cars never do well in the duels.

    Hey Stangs … Thanks for saying nice things about me !!! :)

    I have data for the duels, but I haven’t done anything with it. While I have all historical Cup DK/FD salaries for regular season/playoff races, I don’t have the same for exhibition races (duels, clash, all-star races) so I can’t run optimal lineups. Since salary cap considerations are not of much concern at Daytona, I can probably disregard or even use starting position as a proxy (or not).

    I can put a bunch of numbers together and post later. I’m in Colorado and have some things to do this morning, but I imagine I can post sometime early afternoon my time … maybe around 1:00 PM MT … or just a little later.

    The one truism I imagine I’ll find is avoid playing charter drivers already locked into their Daytona 500 starting positions (Alex Bowman and William Byron) and avoid playing non-charter drivers who are already guaranteed a spot in the 500 field (Ryan Preece and David Ragan) … as these drivers will want to keep their cars clean for the 500 and will likely drop-back or even park their cars early in the races tonight.

    Again … I’ll post some numbers later today.

  • ifthethunder

    @gje627 said...

    Hey Stangs … Thanks for saying nice things about me !!! :)

    I have data for the duels, but I haven’t done anything with it. While I have all historical Cup DK/FD salaries for regular season/playoff races, I don’t have the same for exhibition races (duels, clash, all-star races) so I can’t run optimal lineups. Since salary cap consideration don’t matter much, if at all, at Daytona I can put a bunch of numbers together and post later. I’m in Colorado and have some things to do this morning, but I imagine I can post sometime early afternoon my time … maybe around 1:00 PM MT … or just a little later.

    The one truism I imagine I’ll find is avoid playing charter drivers already locked into their Daytona 500 starting positions (Alex Bowman and William Byron) and avoid playing non-charter drivers who are already guaranteed a spot in the 500 field (Ryan Preece and David Ragan) … as these drivers will want to keep their cars clean for the 500 and will likely drop-back or even park their cars early in the races tonight.

    Again … I’ll post some numbers later today.

    Thanks, gje627!

    I also think you do not want more than two ‘dominators’ in your duel lineups, because the races are short and positional point gains are much more important.
    ~

  • gje627

    @ifthethunder said...

    Thanks, gje627!

    I also think you do not want more than two ‘dominators’ in your duel lineups, because the races are short and positional point gains are much more important.
    ~

    Agree … mostly (sorry).

    1) I agree with only 60 laps, there are fewer domnator points when compared with the 200 laps that will be run on Sunday (weather permitting) in the Daytona 500.

    2) With a field roughly one-half the size of the 500 … there are fewer place differential points available for drivers starting in the back and successfully making their way to the front.

    So in some respects it might be a wash … i.e. fewer dominator points and fewer place differential points available,

    Given this, finishing position points will obviously be at least slightly more important than they would be in a typical race. With that said, at drafting (formerly “plate”) tracks … you generally need at least four or five of the top six (or five) drivers by finish position to win a GPP anyways.

    When I run the numbers today I’ll take special note to compare/contrast the base and dominator points between regular races and the duels.

  • gje627

    Per above … below is the combined DK fantasy scoring by scoring category for the Top 6 drivers in each Daytona speedway race since 2005. These numbers will be used as our “rough” comparison with the numbers for historical duel races to determine which scoring categories are most important for tonight’s races.

    Again, since we will be comparing these numbers with past duel races, I am using “Top 6” drivers to stand-in for a DK lineup, as opposed to actual optimal lineups since I do not have past duel race salaries for comparison (an added advantage to using Top 6 is that we can calculate and compare fantasy points for races prior to the first DK fantasy contests which only started in 2015).

    Thus, the table roughly approximates the % of total points needed by category in a DK Daytona speedway lineup to rank #1 in a GPP contest.

    Remember ….

    DK Base FPTs = Finish Position FPTs + Place Differential FPTs
    DK Dominator FPTs = Fast Laps FPTs + Laps Led FPTs
    ____

    Daytona International Speedway: DK Fantasy Scoring by Category % (Sum of Top 6 Drivers Only)

    YR-RACE FINISH POS PLACE DIFF FAST LAPS LAPS LED BASE DOM
    —————— ———————- ———————- ———————- ——————- ——————- ——————-
    2005-01 57.30% 30.65% 3.00% 9.06% 87.94% 12.06%
    2005-17 52.42% 37.98% 2.14% 7.47% 90.40% 9.60%
    2006-01 63.73% 27.39% 3.08% 5.79% 91.12% 8.88%
    2006-17 59.76% 29.35% 4.56% 6.34% 89.10% 10.90%
    2007-01 56.68% 39.56% 1.95% 1.81% 96.24% 3.76%
    2007-18 66.72% 23.01% 1.42% 8.84% 89.73% 10.27%
    2008-01 56.29% 33.38% 3.51% 6.82% 89.67% 10.33%
    2008-18 60.06% 35.34% 2.56% 2.04% 95.40% 4.60%
    2009-01 56.31% 39.37% 2.47% 1.85% 95.68% 4.32%
    2009-18 64.11% 21.37% 3.77% 10.76% 85.48% 14.52%
    2010-01 64.93% 27.43% 3.02% 4.62% 92.36% 7.64%
    2010-18 64.04% 31.00% 2.76% 2.19% 95.04% 4.96%
    2011-01 55.34% 39.85% 3.76% 1.05% 95.19% 4.81%
    2011-17 56.18% 37.37% 3.50% 2.95% 93.55% 6.45%
    2012-01 59.75% 28.12% 1.58% 10.54% 87.87% 12.13%
    2012-18 58.31% 32.64% 2.13% 6.92% 90.95% 9.05%
    2013-01 56.79% 37.53% 4.62% 1.06% 94.32% 5.68%
    2013-18 64.32% 26.50% 1.86% 7.32% 90.82% 9.18%
    2014-01 57.43% 34.90% 2.58% 5.08% 92.33% 7.67%
    2014-18 55.78% 39.84% 1.30% 3.08% 95.62% 4.38%
    2015-01 62.60% 29.58% 3.33% 4.49% 92.18% 7.82%
    2015-17 61.68% 28.20% 1.25% 8.87% 89.88% 10.12%
    2016-01 55.92% 33.45% 4.23% 6.40% 89.37% 10.63%
    2016-17 59.46% 30.29% 2.13% 8.13% 89.75% 10.25%
    2017-01 54.45% 39.82% 5.07% 0.66% 94.27% 5.73%
    2017-17 63.08% 32.21% 3.29% 1.42% 95.29% 4.71%
    2018-01 62.10% 24.28% 5.08% 8.54% 86.38% 13.62%
    2018-18 61.66% 32.35% 3.53% 2.46% 94.01% 5.99%
    2019-01 58.40% 33.62% 3.75% 4.23% 92.01% 7.99%
    2019-18 60.41% 37.59% 1.93% 0.07% 98.00% 2.00%
    2020-01 56.10% 36.30% 2.65% 4.95% 92.40% 7.60%
    2020-26 64.87% 28.64% 4.17% 2.32% 93.51% 6.49%

    ___

    NOTE 1: Adding all percentages across rows will not equal 100% since both the “Dom” and “Base” fantasy point categories are partially redundant with previous categories in the table (i.e. skipping the first column and adding the next four columns will equal 100% and adding together the final two columns will also equal 100% but adding all six percentage columns will not equal 100%).

    NOTE 2: New DK scoring rules applied.
    ___

  • draftkings5464

    DraftKings NASCAR Achievements:

    Fantasy Cup Series Ironman – Play $1+ in NAS entries for 35 Cup Series races from 2/14/21 and 11/7/21.

    NOTE: Total of $1+ in NAS entry fees per day

    Milestone 1: 35 Races – 5,000 Crowns

    All Series Ironman – Play $1+ in NAS entries for 86 Cup Series races from 2/14/21 and 11/7/21.

    NOTE: Total of $1+ in NAS entry fees per day

    Milestone 1: 86 Races – 7,500 Crowns

    Track Veteran – Total Cup Series races playing $1+ in NAS entries from 2/14/21 and 11/7/21.

    NOTE: Total of $1+ in NAS entry fees per day

    Milestone 1: 10 Races – 10 Crowns

    Milestone 2: 15 Races – 30 Crowns

    Milestone 3: 20 Races – 40 Crowns

    Milestone 4: 25 Races – 50 Crowns

    Milestone 5: 30 Races – 75 Crowns

    Milestone 6: 33 Races – 100 Crowns

    Gearhead – Total NASCAR races (Cup Series, Truck Series, and Xfinity Series) playing $1+ in NAS entries from 2/14/21 and 11/7/21.

    NOTE: Total of $1+ in NAS entry fees per day

    Milestone 1: 10 Races – 10 Crowns

    Milestone 2: 15 Races – 20 Crowns

    Milestone 3: 20 Races – 30 Crowns

    Milestone 4: 30 Races – 40 Crowns

    Milestone 5: 45 Races – 50 Crowns

    Milestone 6: 60 Races – 75 Crowns

    Milestone 7: 75 Races – 80 Crowns

    Milestone 6: 80 Races – 100 Crowns

    Pack Leader – Total number of laps led in paid Cup Series entries from 2/14/21 and 11/7/21.

    Milestone 1: 100 Laps Led – 10 Crowns

    Milestone 2: 1,000 Laps Led – 20 Crowns

    Milestone 3: 2,500 Laps Led – 30 Crowns

    Milestone 4: 5,000 Laps Led – 40 Crowns

    Milestone 5: 10,000 Laps Led – 50 Crowns

    Milestone 6: 15,000 Laps Led – 60 Crowns

    Milestone 7: 25,000 Laps Led – 75 Crowns

    Milestone 8: 50,000 Laps Led – 100 Crowns

    Milestone 9: 100,000 Laps Led – 150 Crowns

    Milestone 10: 250,000 Laps Led – 250 Crowns

    Milestone 11: 500,000 Laps Led – 1,000 Crowns

    Milestone 12: 1,000,000 Laps Led – 5,000 Crowns

    Six-Car Tango – Draft a paid Cup Series entry where all six drivers finish in the top 15 from 2/14/21 and 11/7/21.

    Milestone 1: 1 Entry – 500 Crowns

    Champagne Popper – Total races drafting the 1st place finisher in a paid Cup Series entry from 2/14/21 and 11/7/21.

    Milestone 1: 3 Races – 10 Crowns

    Milestone 2: 5 Races – 20 Crowns

    Milestone 3: 10 Races – 30 Crowns

    Milestone 4: 15 Races – 50 Crowns

    Milestone 5: 20 Races – 100 Crowns

    Milestone 6: 25 Races – 200 Crowns

    Milestone 6: 30 Races – 500 Crowns

    Milestone 6: 33 Races – 1,000 Crowns

    Milestone 6: 36 Races – 2,500 Crowns

    Scrap Star – Draft a driver in a paid Cup Series entry between 2/14/21 and 11/7/21 who costs $5,500 or less and finishes in the top-ten positions in that day’s race.

    Milestone 1: 1 Driver – 100 Crowns

  • factorial89

    the 500 -restrictor plate race. hamlin and stenhouse are good at handling this condition.my top 10 finishe-blaney hamlin stenhouse buescher byron.. winner is blaney.

  • homers1226

    is this auto, or do have to enter some where ?

  • gje627

    Same table as before, except this table is for prior year duel races.

    —-

    Daytona International Speedway (Daytona Duels): DK Fantasy Scoring by Category % (Sum of Top 6 Drivers Only)

    —-

    YR-RACE FINISH POS PLACE DIFF FAST LAPS LAPS LED BASE DOM
    —————— ———————- ———————- ———————- ——————- ——————- ——————-
    2005-01 73.18% 24.08% 1.00% 1.74% 97.26% 2.74%
    2005-02 74.09% 21.95% 2.06% 1.91% 96.04% 3.96%
    2006-01 71.02% 23.67% 1.58% 3.73% 94.70% 5.30%
    2006-02 78.46% 14.61% 1.83% 5.10% 93.07% 6.93%
    2007-01 68.24% 26.31% 1.69% 3.76% 94.55% 5.45%
    2007-02 71.77% 23.82% 1.51% 2.90% 95.59% 4.41%
    2008-01 75.16% 20.19% 1.40% 3.26% 95.34% 4.66%
    2008-02 76.54% 19.38% 2.47% 1.61% 95.91% 4.09%
    2009-01 80.84% 16.64% 1.07% 1.44% 97.49% 2.51%
    2009-02 78.90% 15.58% 1.79% 3.73% 94.48% 5.52%
    2010-01 80.95% 14.75% 2.16% 2.14% 95.70% 4.30%
    2010-02 81.11% 14.90% 1.34% 2.65% 96.01% 3.99%
    2011-01 76.79% 16.37% 2.83% 4.01% 93.15% 6.85%
    2011-02 77.12% 17.14% 3.28% 2.46% 94.26% 5.74%
    2012-01 79.49% 14.84% 3.12% 2.56% 94.33% 5.67%
    2012-02 80.78% 11.87% 2.82% 4.53% 92.65% 7.35%
    2013-01 77.84% 18.24% 2.05% 1.87% 96.08% 3.92%
    2013-02 84.51% 7.65% 6.10% 1.74% 92.16% 7.84%
    2014-01 78.07% 15.68% 2.50% 3.76% 93.74% 6.26%
    2014-02 81.74% 14.43% 1.85% 1.97% 96.17% 3.83%
    2015-01 71.81% 25.47% 1.10% 1.61% 97.28% 2.72%
    2015-02 80.52% 13.02% 1.23% 5.23% 93.54% 6.46%
    2016-01 83.25% 11.01% 0.93% 4.82% 94.26% 5.74%
    2016-02 81.11% 12.56% 3.36% 2.97% 93.67% 6.33%
    2017-02 83.04% 9.69% 2.34% 4.93% 92.73% 7.27%
    2018-01 78.77% 12.59% 3.63% 5.00% 91.36% 8.64%
    2018-02 87.38% 4.69% 4.22% 3.70% 92.07% 7.93%
    2019-01 78.53% 14.87% 3.05% 3.55% 93.39% 6.61%
    2019-02 83.46% 10.17% 2.68% 3.68% 93.63% 6.37%
    2020-01 82.06% 13.73% 2.11% 2.09% 95.80% 4.20%
    2020-02 88.48% 4.69% 2.76% 4.06% 93.17% 6.83%

    ___

    NOTE 1: For whatever reason, raw loop data for the 2017-01 race is unavailable. Based on data provided by NASCAR ® the data for this race was provided as “averages” for a number of critical categories. As such, numbers for this race are not included above.

    NOTE 2: New DK scoring rules applied.

    NOTE 3: Due to differences in field size from year-to-year (primarily earlier years), all data has been standardized to reflect a 22-driver field.
    ___

  • gje627

    @Stangs13 said...

    Gje you do some awesome work on here and your info is extremely helpful. Do you have any historical data in the duels? Looking at the last few years it looks like you would want 3 guys starting 10-20 and 3 starting top 10. But that’s just by me eyeballing it. Also it seems the back marker cars never do well in the duels.

    Hope this answers your question …. eight (8) columns. Probably easier to understand if you copy-and-paste into your spreadsheet program.

    —-

    The table below summarizes past Daytona duel races by start position and rank. SUM START equals the summed start positions for all drivers in a particular race. The range of summed start positions equal 34 to 95. For lineup construction purposes, this can be applied to make sure the summed start positions in your lineup(s) equal not less than 34 and not greater than 95.

    The columns beginning with RANK are simply the start positions for drivers by driver fantasy points rank in a lineup. For example, in the 2005-01 duel race, the highest scoring driver (RANK 1) started in position 18 and the second highest scoring driver started in position 21.

    At the bottom of the table are summary statistics for each column. Most are self-explanatory but for the uninitiated “Perc.” stands for “Percentile”. While these numbers may be slightly more complex to understand, the true value of the table can be found in those numbers.

    —-

    DAYTONA DUELS 2005 to 2020 – STANDARDIZED OPTIMAL LINEUPS BY RANK AND START POSITION

    YR-RACE SUM START RANK 1 RANK 2 RANK 3 RANK 4 RANK 5 RANK 6
    ———————- ———————- —————- —————- —————- —————- —————- —————-
    2005-01 87 18 21 16 8 22 2
    2005-02 95 13 20 22 15 7 18
    2006-01 71 20 3 14 10 18 6
    2006-02 65 1 19 4 12 14 15
    2007-01 58 9 20 11 7 10 1
    2007-02 79 18 6 4 21 13 17
    2008-01 86 18 5 15 9 19 20
    2008-02 70 18 21 8 5 12 6
    2009-01 77 22 5 19 10 6 15
    2009-02 75 18 8 1 13 21 14
    2010-01 72 15 17 4 6 18 12
    2010-02 66 14 19 11 17 3 2
    2011-01 74 16 17 14 6 9 12
    2011-02 65 4 22 13 11 3 12
    2012-01 57 6 21 13 2 3 12
    2012-02 57 18 7 16 1 6 9
    2013-01 82 13 14 17 11 7 20
    2013-02 45 4 14 8 9 3 7
    2014-01 75 9 22 10 14 4 16
    2014-02 70 11 14 13 12 4 16
    2015-01 82 20 15 10 22 14 1
    2015-02 49 1 20 2 17 6 3
    2016-01 56 22 2 7 6 4 15
    2016-02 64 2 22 10 11 5 14
    2017-02 54 11 14 3 13 1 12
    2018-01 61 6 8 13 20 5 9
    2018-02 37 5 4 8 3 7 10
    2019-01 69 8 16 10 17 6 12
    2019-02 57 4 3 9 10 14 17
    2020-01 62 6 17 12 8 15 4
    2020-02 34 6 4 10 2 7 5
    ————- ——- ——- ——- ——- ——- ——- ——-
    n 31 31 31 31 31 31 31
    Mean 66.16 11.48 13.55 10.55 10.58 9.23 10.77
    Median 66 11 15 10 10 7 12
    Range 61 21 20 21 21 21 19
    Min 34 1 2 1 1 1 1
    Max 95 22 22 22 22 22 20
    Std. dev. 14.1471 6.6577 6.9658 5.0322 5.5424 5.9928 5.7429
    Variance 200.1398 44.3247 48.5226 25.3226 30.7183 35.9140 32.9806
    Std. err. 2.5409 1.1958 1.2511 0.9038 0.9954 1.0763 1.0315
    10th Per. 49 4 4 4 3 3 2
    20th Per. 57 5 5 7 6 4 5
    30th Per. 58 6 8 8 8 5 7
    40th Per. 64 9 14 10 9 6 10
    50th Per. 66 11 15 10 10 7 12
    60th Per. 70 14 17 12 11 9 12
    70th Per. 74 18 19 13 13 13 15
    80th Per. 77 18 20 14 15 14 16
    90th Per. 82 20 21 16 17 18 17

    —-

  • homers1226

    you forgot include the wrecky factor

    really
    thanks for all your input gje

  • depalma13

    My favorite driver won the first duel and I won some money.

  • BigRay

    Me too. I really hope he wins this year. He has been all around winning the 500. Love to see the local boy take it down on Sunday.

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