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iam going allin today! 1500$ in play, wish me luck guys
Wow. That’s quite a bit. Good luck.
Very nice slate today. Some quick thoughts. Going right back to Brogdan today. Also like Lowry. Both Browns are still cheap I’m done fading Drummond. With Kat and Embid back maybe his ownership will be below 20%. Like TJ Warren. Going fade. ABC which might be a mistake. That game seems like it has good fantasy appeal. Also, thinking about fading WB and Harden. Not sure you need them on this slate. Always risky to fade. Like D Brooks for cash at 4.4k and Bejlica for GPP at 5k. Luca (11k yikes) and Trae in great spots but not cheap. With Embid back and tough match up I’m off Hirtford and Harris. Is Paschell going to cone down to earth? Sorry for ramble. Good luck everyone.
I must be the only who doesn’t like this slate. All the picks that were value the last few days are above $6,000 on FD, like Bowman, Jabari, Paschall, Holmes, etc.
Short of Bruce Brown, I haven’t found much in the value territory and the options are slim at Less than $5,000.
I think there is some real good mid range value. Don’t see any super cheap punts that aren’t very risky. Lots of studs here. I think the key is finding the right stud or two with the mid ranged guys. I still like the slate.
One cheap guy that peaks my interest in Divencenzo at 3.8k. Tmarhl or anyone else any thoughts?
GSW a 17 pt dog in Hou after surprisingly drubbing Por?
the accuracy of early season vegas lines is highly questionable
the spread matters in DFS because it sets the team total/ expectations
I agree on DiVincenzo. As long as he sees 20 minutes he should hit value.
Liking some of clippers value green, zubac, maybe shamet
Good Luck
I like it better when there are no obvious values. Puts everyone on a more level playing field.
He is a guy that I have some interest in as well if I need a cheap guard. Him and George Hill have been the first two guards off the bench the last few games.
20 minutes is a big if for him. He could play 5 minutes or 20. He is pretty game script dependent.
One thing I noted the other day when I was playing Shamet is that he doesn’t close games as Lou Williams typically takes his spot. . Maybe he will tonight with Kawhi sitting as Lou may be starting in Kawhi’s spot. .
There will be some value today with the B2B games. I noticed Jeremy Lamb didnt look to great towards the end of that game yesterday.
Why is GS getting 16.5 points?
What about Wood for value?
Could be a decent dart throw in a lineup or 2 but minutes are too all over the place to have too much
I guess we need to wait on the Sabonis and Turner news again.
I don’t have time later so if someone can answer this I would really appreciate it.
Does anyone have an idea of how to predict TJ Warren vs Jeremy Lamb when the Indiana bigs are out? Why is Lamb considered better and how has Warren done so well?
Do you expect more or less?
Not sure if anyone likes when I post my player props here but here are a few I like:
Doncic over 7.5 rebounds
Trey Young over 2.5 3’s made
Drummond under 19.5 rebounds
Terrence Ross under 11.5 points
Brogdon over 29.5 points + assists
Harden under 4.5 3’s
Ja Morant over 17.5 points
Less. I think they can beat them. Houston is a mess. Obviously Houston should be favorite. I would say 8.5 points, but what do I know?
I like it and I like all of those prop bets.
TJ Warren can play the 4 so when Sabonis and Turner are out, they move him over to the 4 quite a bit, since his only competition is really Jakarr Sampson in that case. He’s played a ton of minutes over the past two games while both Sabonis and Turner were out.
Lamb is also good because he’s a SG who can fill it up stat wise, however, he was rated highly because of the revenge game and potential usage increase yesterday.