It was suggested I start a new thread so here we go,
New to DFS, dabbled in it a few years ago, and now, I’m back, focusing on it, focusing on MLB because right now, that’s the game.
Here is my research pattern, I say pattern, but it’s been 3 days, so it is what it is, I map out the slate I want, log the pitchers, how they perform vs LHH, vs RHH, based on if they are home or away, then log the vegas odds against them for team runs, their K/9, ERA, XFIP, flyball % ground ball %, I then map out the OFFENSE against them, by seeing how that offense performs, LHH and RHH separated based on home or way, then log as a TEAM, k&, ISO, WOBA, WRC+, flyball, and flyball vs homerun, so for tonight, one of the games looks like this,
K/9 ERA XFIP Hand Home/Away FB % GB % Batters Offense Faced K% ISO OBA FB% HR/FB % WRC+
A. Sanchez 8.1 0 5.27 R Home 33 33 RHH Minnesota 19 0.298 0.396 43 18 149
A. Sanchez 10.8 0 5.12 R Home 50 50 LHH Minnesota 17 0.211 0.322 41 15 102
4.5 O/U 1.97 Odds
A bit nearer on the spread sheet, but this, tells me Minnesota again, is an offense I want a part of tonight, regardless of Sanchez’s K/9 and actual ERA, I think Minny’s gonna do what they did last night,
So then, I will take Minnesota’s players, and break them down based on the same, numbers as the team, to target individual players etc,
Is there anything I am missing? Granted, I am only using 2019 numbers, because well I’m an idiot and new, the 2019 numbers led me to Arizona etc,
Tips, pointers, etc?
Appreciate it guys, Thanks