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  • bhdevault

    • Lead Moderator

    • Blogger of the Month

    Saturday, 1/12
    4:35 PM EST : Indianapolis ( 6 ) at Kansas City ( -6 ) —- T: 57
    8:15 PM EST : Dallas ( 7 ) at LA Rams ( -7 ) —- T: 49

    Sunday, 1/13
    1:05 PM EST : LA Chargers ( 4.5 ) at New England ( -4.5 ) —- T: 47
    4:40 PM EST : Philadelphia ( 10 ) at New Orleans ( -10 ) —- T: 51

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

  • keephustlincuz

    @infantryboys said...

    He’ll be at the game, you’re correct.

    If only we got dfs points for number of routes ran and crispness of routes ran. I would be all in.

  • AVivier

    @keephustlincuz said...

    If only we got dfs points for number of routes ran and crispness of routes ran. I would be all in.

    I don’t think it’s the craziest punt. He had a 6-128-1 game last playoffs and a 9-180-2 game the year before. Pbly only need to take him in 1 of 10 lineups to be double the field.

  • keephustlincuz

    @AVivier said...

    I don’t think it’s the craziest punt. He had a 6-128-1 game last playoffs and a 9-180-2 game the year before. Pbly only need to take him in 1 of 10 lineups to be double the field.

    I like a ne stack but I may just go with the circle of trust minus the surf board.

  • Georgesteele

    I got Indy at 150-1 for 2 bills. One time!

  • 33BeRad

    @squidkill said...

    2 underdogs who will win str8 up this week are?

    Cowboys and Eagles. BDN magic is real! And Dak to Cooper all day against rams, with some Zeke mixed in

  • hautalak

    • x2

      2021 Blogger of the Month

    @Brian7479 said...

    I was surprised when I looked at it but James White only had 1 good playoff game and that was in the Super Bowl 2 years ago. I swore he had atleast 1 more

    Well that was the exact game I was thinking about and it won me money, so that’s why it’s in the back of my head tbh.

    And as far as my points, yardage, and receptions comment it was more about narrowing down the player pool without trying to miss out. I guess that’s DFS every week. I guess my point was there will be a lot more offense this week so if somebody duds you won’t even hit the cash line this week. I could be overthinking things though because of last week’s “defensive” games.

  • Gtzerphy

    @BIF said...

    You moved it well between the 20’s which usually means nothing and that’s why 1 TD is worth more than 2 FGs. You guys had poor red zone offense (3 FGs in 3 trips inside 20) and didn’t sustain drives bc of poor 3rd down efficiency.

    I don’t blame Parkey, they should have never been in that spot at the end and a guy did get a finger on it so who knows if he kicks it 2 inches higher or your guy holds his block there a fraction longer.

    For sure, you guys have a good core and everyone in your division is in a questionable or rebuilding state now too. You should go back to the playoffs next year and host a game.

    Both of Foles picks were thrown with Philly in FG range, so you could argue that they left at least 6 points out there which would have made the ending irrelevant.

  • hautalak

    • x2

      2021 Blogger of the Month

    Finally looked at pricing and do we possibly go back to the Sproles well? I see Philly playing from behind and IMO he’s “priced up” so should be low owned and good for 3-4 receptions with 30 yards and just possibly finds his way into the endzone. Add maybe 20 rushing yards or so. Not a revenge narrative or anything but Sproles used to play there so I think he plays well and I feel like they’re going to need him.

    But does he outscore a flex in his price range? I’m not so sure but willing to take a couple shares of Sproles again.

  • pjbyrne707

    like Sproles a lot especially in full PPR on DK, playing in a dome, against his former team, high scoring game and likely playing from behind.

  • hautalak

    • x2

      2021 Blogger of the Month

    @pjbyrne707 said...

    like Sproles a lot especially in full PPR on DK, playing in a dome, against his former team, high scoring game and likely playing from behind.

    Well hopefully people are scared off him a little…

  • kdsdawg

    @pjbyrne707 said...

    high scoring game and likely playing from behind.

    what do we see that makes it a high scoring game for Philly…week 11 they get beat 48-7 with a better QB at the helm..yes I know Foles won a Super Bowl last year but Wentz is a more talented QB..so what makes us think that Philly will score with Foles at the helm at New Orleans. NO defense very underrated at home. Would not surprise me to see another beat down.
    But for DFS purposes on PPR sites, beat down or not Sproles might still be viable

  • FunkMac

    @kdsdawg said...

    what do we see that makes it a high scoring game for Philly…week 11 they get beat 48-7 with a better QB at the helm..yes I know Foles won a Super Bowl last year but Wentz is a more talented QB..so what makes us think that Philly will score with Foles at the helm at New Orleans. NO defense very underrated at home. Would not surprise me to see another beat down.
    But for DFS purposes on PPR sites, beat down or not Sproles might still be viable

    I could certainly see a 31-21 type Saints win…I would consider that high scoring, and definitely could make the Eagles skill players DFS worthy this week.

    I like Sproles, Nelson, and Tate to varying degrees.

  • FunkMac

    And I honestly think there is a better chance of another Foles miracle upset than a Saints blowout. Never say never, but I don’t think there is any way we see anything close to a repeat of the game earlier this season. For whatever reason this Philly team rallies around Nick. But the real key will be the Eagles defensive line. If they can get pressure from the front four, the awful (but young and slowly improving) secondary won’t be as exposed. Either way I think Michael Thomas is a lock this week. I just see a repeat of what ARob did last week. I understand the love for Ginn and Smith as well. But I had too much Gabriel last week and not enough Robinson, and I surely don’t wanna make that mistake again.

  • HoodsFromTheWood

    Indy travels to what might seem like a difficult MU at Arrowhead, traditionally a “regular season” tough place for road teams to play. However in the playoffs roles are strangely reversed. They’ve lost their last 6 playoff games there(2-7 all time), you have to go back to 1993 for their last victory there, and they needed OT for that. With apologies to the Chargers, this is the best O KC’s faced this year at home. And they’re clicking on all facets right now 10-1/last 11. And even tho KC D’s home/road splits are incredibly tilted towards home(almost 15 pts 100 tot yds less/game at home) most of that came at the expense of Oak, Ari, Cin and Jac. Not a who’s who of offensive production. And wth Indy’s O-line making “pancakes” every game that negates the strength of the KC pass rush. Indy WILL score in this game. By pass and run I’m guessing. And there is no D playing better than Indy right now. Not gonna stop KC tho because no one can, they haven’t scored less than 26 and only 4 games less than 30 all year. If they can do what Bal did in week 14, “hold” them to 27 they can win. Big IF. Because with a cannon for an arm and lefty/no-look passes on his gun belt, Wyatt Mahomes comes full loaded and MU proof to this gunfight. Unlike Hou, the Chiefs should have no problem exploiting the weak link in the Colt D, TE. I think Kelce is gonna be the barometer for this game. If the Colts can semi-limit him I think they win. If Kelce smashes, bye bye Colts. And with Kelce’s H/R splits tilted to the road maybe there’s a more than a glimmer of hope. I think the difference between both O’s is less than the difference between both D’s. And Indy 35-31

  • infantryboys

    In the last game that matter for NO in week 16, Kirkwood ran 28 routes to Smith’s 16. And they were easing Gunn back in. I just don’t get the love for Smith.

  • gordylamb

    • 669

      RG Overall Ranking

    Andy Reid after a bye vs Andy Reid in the playoffs; an immovable object meets a stoppable force.

  • squidkill

    @Hoods From The Wood said...

    Indy travels to what might seem like a difficult MU at Arrowhead, traditionally a “regular season” tough place for road teams to play. However in the playoffs roles are strangely reversed. They’ve lost their last 6 playoff games there(2-7 all time), you have to go back to 1993 for their last victory there, and they needed OT for that. With apologies to the Chargers, this is the best O KC’s faced this year at home. And they’re clicking on all facets right now 10-1/last 11. And even tho KC D’s home/road splits are incredibly tilted towards home(almost 15 pts 100 tot yds less/game at home) most of that came at the expense of Oak, Ari, Cin and Jac. Not a who’s who of offensive production. And wth Indy’s O-line making “pancakes” every game that negates the strength of the KC pass rush. Indy WILL score in this game. By pass and run I’m guessing. And there is no D playing better than Indy right now. Not gonna stop KC tho because no one can, they haven’t scored less than 26 and only 4 games less than 30 all year. If they can do what Bal did in week 14, “hold” them to 27 they can win. Big IF. Because with a cannon for an arm and lefty/no-look passes on his gun belt, Wyatt Mahomes comes full loaded and MU proof to this gunfight. Unlike Hou, the Chiefs should have no problem exploiting the weak link in the Colt D, TE. I think Kelce is gonna be the barometer for this game. If the Colts can semi-limit him I think they win. If Kelce smashes, bye bye Colts. And with Kelce’s H/R splits tilted to the road maybe there’s a more than a glimmer of hope. I think the difference between both O’s is less than the difference between both D’s. And Indy 35-31

    If INdy wins the UNDER hits too. Just like vs Houston.

  • HoodsFromTheWood

    @squidkill said...

    If INdy wins the UNDER hits too. Just like vs Houston.

    I guess we can agree to disagree. I think if Indy wins there’s no way it’s under.

  • AVivier

    Doing some research on Cooper, Woods and Cooks for the Rams/Cowboys. One thing really stood out, Cooper has a really, really, really bad track record agaisnt Peters and Talib.

  • chatmar

    @infantryboys said...

    This is more of a feeling than anything, but I don’t think Gurley’s knee is right. I remember when Bo Jackson destroyed his hip and Oakland tried to play it off as week to week so their playoff opponents would keep game planning for it. This reminds me of that. I don’t think its as serious and I think he plays, but I don’t think he’s right.

    Agreed! I am not a die hard Rams fan but since I live in LA I watch all of their games. Gurley hasn’t look right for about half the season and it seems like the rams don’t use him like they did last year. It could be that teams have game planned him better this year but with losing one of their best WR’s early in the year I would figure Gurley’s usage would have wen’t up. On another note – Goff hasn’t looked that good for about 3-4 weeks also. I really want to play Woods (he is to cheap for his target share and point potential. But the Rams have been spreading the ball around (TE’s, Reynolds, Cooks) I just don’t know what to do with the Rams.

  • infantryboys

    @chatmar said...

    Agreed! I am not a die hard Rams fan but since I live in LA I watch all of their games. Gurley hasn’t look right for about half the season and it seems like the rams don’t use him like they did last year. It could be that teams have game planned him better this year but with losing one of their best WR’s early in the year I would figure Gurley’s usage would have wen’t up. On another note – Goff hasn’t looked that good for about 3-4 weeks also. I really want to play Woods (he is to cheap for his target share and point potential. But the Rams have been spreading the ball around (TE’s, Reynolds, Cooks) I just don’t know what to do with the Rams.

    Per Rotoworld’s John Daigle, “the Cowboys have quietly allowed 15 explosive passes (20-plus yards) in their last four games.” I think Cooks is the way forward here, as he’s their big play threat.

  • HoodsFromTheWood

  • HoodsFromTheWood

    @infantryboys said...

    Per Rotoworld’s John Daigle, “the Cowboys have quietly allowed 15 explosive passes (20-plus yards) in their last four games.” I think Cooks is the way forward here, as he’s their big play threat.

    Totally agree with Cooks. Same small speedy type of WR as Lockett on a team that throws more than Seattle

  • HoodsFromTheWood

    @AVivier said...

    Doing some research on Cooper, Woods and Cooks for the Rams/Cowboys. One thing really stood out, Cooper has a really, really, really bad track record agaisnt Peters and Talib.

    All that track record was from when Cooper was on Oak, Peters on KC and Talib on Den. Not to say the track record is meaningless but.. I worry more about Coopers/Daks H/R splits than those past MU’s. Cooper got dinged a few times last week. Worried about that more also. And Cooper had a past his prime Lynch and a never had a prime Lat Murray as his RB’s. D’s have to pay a lot more attention to Zeke than they ever did with those 2

  • AVivier

    @Hoods From The Wood said...

    All that track record was from when Cooper was on Oak, Peters on KC and Talib on Den. Not to say the track record is meaningless but.. I worry more about Coopers/Daks H/R splits than those past MU’s. Cooper got dinged a few times last week. Worried about that more also. And Cooper had a past his prime Lynch and a never had a prime Lat Murray as his RB’s. D’s have to pay a lot more attention to Zeke than they ever did with those 2

    Yeah, I don’t think we disagree much here, but it’s certainly still notable imo.

    This is one of the stats I came across: “”(player-popup #amari-cooper)Amari Cooper”:/players/amari-cooper-21757 in his career vs Broncos has 2 catches on 9 targets for 8 yards when guarded by Aqib Talib. He has 15 catches on 28 targets for 152 yards against everyone else”

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