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  • bhdevault

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    Monday, September 28th
    8:15 PM EST : Kansas City ( 3 ) at Baltimore ( -3 ) —- T: 52.5

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts, troll posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted. While the use of GIF’s are acceptable, content must be posted along with them.

  • joephoto

    @Brendan239 said...

    Primetime Sammy? 5 catches, 88 yards, 2 TDs tonight. He practiced in full Saturday.

    Faded Sammy too. He’s my pick for “most likely to get injured” at Baltimore tonight.
    ( I really like Sammy, but this is looking like a real tough game).

  • superjon

    Watkisn in

  • yisman

    FD:

    “If the Chiefs and Ravens combine for 75+ points we will refund your entry fees plus you get to keep your winnings!” (for milly contest)

    155 times in NFL history out of 16,589 games listed had 75+. Less than 1%.

    now this game does have a higher point expectancy than average, but this is very unlikely

    FD certainly not expecting to have to give away millions.

  • Brendan239

    @joephoto said...

    Faded Sammy too. He’s my pick for “most likely to get injured” at Baltimore tonight.
    ( I really like Sammy, but this is looking like a real tough game).

    I understand, but he’ll prob be 8% owned, no?

  • marker0357

    @yisman said...

    FD:

    “If the Chiefs and Ravens combine for 75+ points we will refund your entry fees plus you get to keep your winnings!” (for milly contest)

    155 times in NFL history out of 16,589 games listed had 75+. Less than 1%.

    now this game does have a higher point expectancy than average, but this is very unlikely

    FD certainly not expecting to have to give away millions.

    It’s a stupid promo that only applies to those who were already playing the Milly. It certainly won’t drive more penetration. FD needs to get with the program on their promos. They are getting left in the dust by DK.

  • Pandamonious

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    Dang. The milly on DK already filled. Everyone wants that million. Maybe they could have added 20,000 more entries and not had like 45% to 1st.

    I reserved my 50, then had to run out, and the whole time I was out I was thinking, I should add a few more. Like, 10 more. It’s only 100 bucks. Come home and it’s filled.

  • depalma13

    @NDNole said...

    One thing is for sure. Someone is going to score tonight noone thought of.

    This is the guy P. Ricard

  • monarch

    I have way too much Bus Edwards and Nick Boyle. Recipe for disaster

  • Pandamonious

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    @monarch said...

    I have way too much Bus Edwards and Nick Boyle. Recipe for disaster

    You thinking garbage time gus? Or you think he’s earned the #2 back spot?

  • monarch

    @Pandamonious said...

    You thinking garbage time gus? Or you think he’s earned the #2 back spot?

    Kinda the same idea you mentioned earlier. If the Ravens get the game script it is going to be a lot of Lamar, Ingram and Gus and I don’t think people will be wanting to play them together.

  • paulrobert1989

    With Madubuike and Washington inactive, Ravens have only 4 DL active (Campbell, Wolfe, Williams, Ellis). Shows you that they expect to be in sub packages most of game. Ward and McPhee can also both play inside.

  • Getty33

    @monarch said...

    Kinda the same idea you mentioned earlier. If the Ravens get the game script it is going to be a lot of Lamar, Ingram and Gus and I don’t think people will be wanting to play them together.

    Gus the Bus is 2nd in the NFL in yards gained after contact this year as a RB. Despite a small sample size, I don’t think that knowledge will get past Harbaugh. But anyway you cut it, the Ravens rushing attempts and success is a 4 headed monster including the QB. Good for the team, bad for fantasy purposes.

  • JSteele

    @paulrobert1989 said...

    With Madubuike and Washington inactive, Ravens have only 4 DL active (Campbell, Wolfe, Williams, Ellis). Shows you that they expect to be in sub packages most of game. Ward and McPhee can also both play inside.

    Sorry I’m not the best with football lingo. Are you expecting them to rush 4 and play a cover 3 similar to the chargers last week? If so that should limit the deep ball and force Mahomes to throw short

  • JSteele

    @yisman said...

    FD:

    “If the Chiefs and Ravens combine for 75+ points we will refund your entry fees plus you get to keep your winnings!” (for milly contest)

    155 times in NFL history out of 16,589 games listed had 75+. Less than 1%.

    now this game does have a higher point expectancy than average, but this is very unlikely

    FD certainly not expecting to have to give away millions.

    How sick would it be if the final score was 38-35 because someone missed a final kick to send the game to OT

  • monarch

    @JSteele said...

    Sorry I’m not the best with football lingo. Are you expecting them to rush 4 and play a cover 3 similar to the chargers last week? If so that should limit the deep ball and force Mahomes to throw short

    3-4 base. Expecting more speed, exotic looks. I read where they will probably blitz Mahomes on just about every passing down tonight. Get the ball out of his hands quickly. He killed them when they didn’t blitz last year.

  • JSteele

    @monarch said...

    3-4 base. Expecting more speed, exotic looks. I read where they will probably blitz Mahomes on just about every passing down tonight. Get the ball out of his hands quickly. He killed them when they didn’t blitz last year.

    Ah makes sense that will be a bump for CEH, Kelce and probably a guy like Demarcus Robinson

  • Pandamonious

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    @monarch said...

    3-4 base. Expecting more speed, exotic looks. I read where they will probably blitz Mahomes on just about every passing down tonight. Get the ball out of his hands quickly. He killed them when they didn’t blitz last year.

    Or….They sit back, blitz a lot less then usual, give up the underneath, and it’s drop offs to CEH, and Watkins underneath all day, then stalling and Butker FG’s over and over.

  • monarch

    @Pandamonious said...

    Or….They sit back, blitz a lot less then usual, give up the underneath, and it’s drop offs to CEH, and Watkins underneath all day, then stalling and Butker FG’s over and over.

    I’ve been moving to a lot more CEH as we’ve gotten closer to lock.

  • monarch

    Panda…you like Butker over Tucker and do you find Butker to be correlated with say CEH and Kelce?

  • yisman

    FD sportsbook

    Super Boost – 75+ Total Points Scored in Chiefs v Ravens

    75+ Total Points Scored in Chiefs v Ravens – Max Bet $25
    +1000
    SUPER BOOST – 75+ TOTAL POINTS SCORED IN CHIEFS V RAVENS (MAX BET $50)

    Seems like this should be more like +2000

  • JSteele

    I like Butker too. Especially if Baltimore is gonna let the Chiefs move the chains at will and then stop them when it matters

  • homers1226

    single bullet

    3 studs 3 hail marys

    not really much tinkering to do

    showdowns are hard ,but this one is really hard

  • zeeshan2

    @monarch said...

    I’ve been moving to a lot more CEH as we’ve gotten closer to lock.

    If you believe in touchdown props, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is -143 to find the end-zone tonight which is the highest outside of the two QBs

  • Pandamonious

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    @monarch said...

    Panda…you like Butker over Tucker and do you find Butker to be correlated with say CEH and Kelce?

    You’re supposed to like the home kicker with the higher total more, but I foresee more Chief stalled drives than Ravens stalled drives, so a slight edge to Butker for me. I’m pretty split in my exposure between the two though. He does correlate with Kelce. Not sure with CEH.

  • choppadown

    Taking Both QB’s in most lineups and a bunch of punts. Like Bus Edwards a ton.

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