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  • bhdevault

    • Lead Moderator

    • Blogger of the Month

    Saturday, 1/11
    4:35 PM EST : Minnesota ( 6.5 ) at San Francisco ( -6.5 ) —- T: 45
    8:15 PM EST : Tennessee ( 8 ) at Baltimore ( -8 ) —- T: 47

    Sunday, 1//12
    3:05 PM EST : Houston ( 10 ) at Kansas City ( -10 ) —- T: 49
    6:40 PM EST : Seattle ( 4 ) at Green Bay ( -4 ) —- T: 46

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts, troll posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted. While the use of GIF’s are acceptable, content must be posted along with them.

  • DC2380

    KC ALL DAY???

  • JH822547

    8.4K Lamar Jackson

    It’s a new world boys.

  • JH822547

    I like AJ Brown 6K to bounce back, I think this is a brilliant spot, may well be eating in garbage time if nothing else.

    As long as he doesn’t get hyped up throughout the week with people on internet forums going on and on about it, he should be a great play.

  • Dunzor

    It feels like every team left in the playoffs except maybe the Titans have a better pass defense than rush defense, so my early looks at both slates (especially saturday) has me wanting to load up on RBs, but nearly every RB is priced up across the board so it’s gonna be a really weird week to build teams.

  • bigez952

    @Dunzor said...

    It feels like every team left in the playoffs except maybe the Titans have a better pass defense than rush defense, so my early looks at both slates (especially saturday) has me wanting to load up on RBs, but nearly every RB is priced up across the board so it’s gonna be a really weird week to build teams.

    I would say the Vikings as well would be a team with a better rush defense than pass defense since they are down 2 CB’s and Xavier Rhodes isn’t who he used to be.

  • Dunzor

    @bigez952 said...

    I would say the Vikings as well would be a team with a better rush defense than pass defense since they are down 2 CB’s and Xavier Rhodes isn’t who he used to be.

    That’s true, though they are just an all around solid defense, and while their secondary is garbage, their pass rush is actually pretty good so it’ll really depend on how well the SF O-line can hold up to know whether Jimmy G will have time to pick apart that secondary

  • bcandrws

    @Dunzor said...

    It feels like every team left in the playoffs except maybe the Titans have a better pass defense than rush defense, so my early looks at both slates (especially saturday) has me wanting to load up on RBs, but nearly every RB is priced up across the board so it’s gonna be a really weird week to build teams.

    I agree with this. Except for the Texans. They have a bad pass defense

  • DC2380

    @Dunzor said...

    It feels like every team left in the playoffs except maybe the Titans have a better pass defense than rush defense, so my early looks at both slates (especially saturday) has me wanting to load up on RBs, but nearly every RB is priced up across the board so it’s gonna be a really weird week to build teams.

    thanks for sharing…how did you do Dunzor?

  • Dunzor

    @DC2380 said...

    thanks for sharing…how did you do Dunzor?

    Made some cash on the Sunday only slate as I was heavy Sea stacks and only really played Cook, MT, Vikes D in most of entries from the early game. Unfortunately I had too much Travis Homer and not enough Kamara or Lynch to do any real damage.

    So far I’m liking the builds I can put together for Sunday much better than Saturday for the Divisional round games but we’ll see how things look as we get more injury info and stuff during the week

  • DC2380

    @Dunzor said...

    Made some cash on the Sunday only slate as I was heavy Sea stacks and only really played Cook, MT, Vikes D in most of entries from the early game. Unfortunately I had too much Travis Homer and not enough Kamara or Lynch to do any real damage.

    So far I’m liking the builds I can put together for Sunday much better than Saturday for the Divisional round games but we’ll see how things look as we get more injury info and stuff during the week

    Good to hear….I did alot better on the 1 day builds myself….Yours, squid, and Mike’s insights are very valuable…

  • bhdevault

    • Lead Moderator

    • Blogger of the Month

    Mod Note

    Deleted any posts in here that were off topic. Please check the forum and stay on topic. Thanks.

  • 33BeRad

    @Dunzor said...

    It feels like every team left in the playoffs except maybe the Titans have a better pass defense than rush defense, so my early looks at both slates (especially saturday) has me wanting to load up on RBs, but nearly every RB is priced up across the board so it’s gonna be a really weird week to build teams.

    Plus a lot of these offenses are run first. Vikings, 49ers, Titans, Ravens, Seattle and Packers are run heavy. The Texans would like to be a run first team but I see them falling behind to the Chiefs.
    So the obvious build is Chiefs/Texans stacks
    The obvious dog people will be backing is Seattle.

  • yisman

    DK playoff achievements so bad

    in a flash: can’t do because it’s not in my state
    enter every milly maker: Play 1 lineup against people playing 300 or 450? No thanks.
    showdown ironman: I’m going to be 10/11 and get nothing because I’m playing every timeslot but I only had time for classic Saturday afternoon, not showdown

  • squidkill

    Weather should be more of a factor this week. No domes and only 1 west coast game.

  • squidkill

    As first glance. D Williams stand out a bit for me. I like him as a pass catching RB and should have game script in his favor.

  • squidkill

    How healthy is SF defense ? I saw a report Keon Alexander May be back?

  • 33BeRad

    @squidkill said...

    How healthy is SF defense ? I saw a report Keon Alexander May be back?

    Kwon was practicing last week and so was Ford. Probably get word later in the week, depending how practice goes for them. Not sure how Tartt is looking, if he’s out it could open up the middle for Rudolph.

  • infantryboys

    @33BeRad said...

    Kwon was practicing last week and so was Ford. Probably get word later in the week, depending how practice goes for them. Not sure how Tartt is looking, if he’s out it could open up the middle for Rudolph.

    Tartt will probably play. They cut a safety to make room for Alexander.

  • squidkill

    Lamar Almost 2k more than Russ ? 3k more that Jimmy g. 900 more than Mahome

    Fascinating

  • mike42

    @bcandrws said...

    I agree with this. Except for the Texans. They have a bad pass defense

    So, except for the Texans, Minny, and the Titans, the other 5 teams have a better pass D than rush D? What about SEA? I think their rush D is better than their pass D. Balt is pretty good at both these days with a full team. Basically, 4 teams that you would attack easier through the air than on the ground and 1 team that you can’t attack either way. I’d say it’s kind of a waste of time to throw an umbrella statement on the whole slate and use that to guide your decisons.

    I also think SF with Kwon back is going to be hard to run against with a zone blocking scheme. They “feel” like the Bears front 7 that’s full of athletes and might have problems Vs power run schemes but not zone. I already bet SF 6, unless Jimmy G throws 2 picks, they are a much better team than Minny.

    This is my favorite weekend to bet on games because everyone watches the wild card teams play and thinks they are better or comparable to the teams that earned a bye. Minny beat a NO’s team that really screwed itself. They outplayed a below-average version of NO’s. I think on a short week they are going to get their ass kicked Vs one of the 3 best teams in football that happens to be coached very well. Houston is just not a good team but they have a clutch QB and that’s about it. I just don’t think that’s a formula to stay with a KC team that should be able to score at will and who’s D has almost secretly become a plus unit. I’m trying to find ways to bet on TEN but I’m not getting there. Lamar choked last year and I don’t think he chokes this year. You know the saying “speed never slumps.” Pretty sure it applies here. They should be able to contain Henry and Brown outside of a play or 2. GB is the team everyone thinks sucks but is still better than SEA and is playing at home.

    WIldcard weekend favors the underdogs and under. The under is 8-0 I believe the last 2 years and underdogs are 7-0-1, winning outright 6x. I’ll post the exact numbers when I come acrross them again but the theme is true. I’m pretty sure this round favors the favorites and the over because they are the better teams with the more prolific offenses. It feels like all year long whatever the theme was one week, it was different the next. All the best teams in the NFL are playing this weekend and in most cases, if not all, they are the MUCH better team. Just something to think about.

  • Dunzor

    @mike42 said...

    So, except for the Texans, Minny, and the Titans, the other 5 teams have a better pass D than rush D? What about SEA? I think their rush D is better than their pass D. Balt is pretty good at both these days with a full team. Basically, 4 teams that you would attack easier through the air than on the ground and 1 team that you can’t attack either way. I’d say it’s kind of a waste of time to throw an umbrella statement on the whole slate and use that to guide your decisons.

    I also think SF with Kwon back is going to be hard to run against with a zone blocking scheme. They “feel” like the Bears front 7 that’s full of athletes and might have problems Vs power run schemes but not zone. I already bet SF 6, unless Jimmy G throws 2 picks, they are a much better team than Minny.

    This is my favorite weekend to bet on games because everyone watches the wild card teams play and thinks they are better or comparable to the teams that earned a bye. Minny beat a NO’s team that really screwed itself. They outplayed a below-average version of NO’s. I think on a short week they are going to get their ass kicked Vs one of the 3 best teams in football that happens to be coached very well. Houston is just not a good team but they have a clutch QB and that’s about it. I just don’t think that’s a formula to stay with a KC team that should be able to score at will and who’s D has almost secretly become a plus unit. I’m trying to find ways to bet on TEN but I’m not getting there. Lamar choked last year and I don’t think he chokes this year. You know the saying “speed never slumps.” Pretty sure it applies here. They should be able to contain Henry and Brown outside of a play or 2. GB is the team everyone thinks sucks but is still better than SEA and is playing at home.

    WIldcard weekend favors the underdogs and under. The under is 8-0 I believe the last 2 years and underdogs are 7-0-1, winning outright 6x. I’ll post the exact numbers when I come acrross them again but the theme is true. I’m pretty sure this round favors the favorites and the over because they are the better teams with the more prolific offenses. It feels like all year long whatever the theme was one week, it was different the next. All the best teams in the NFL are playing this weekend and in most cases, if not all, they are the MUCH better team. Just something to think about.

    Totally agree with you on the public overreacting and I like a lot of the bye teams for stacks. Just to clarify I never said that the fact most of the defenses are better against the pass should dictate and control everything, I was just noting how I’m drawn to more RBs in the early going making it hard because that’s where the salary is concentrated.

    As to your questions though, I do think if you wanna beat Sea and Balt you do it on the ground and with short passes over the middle so RBs are a good way to go against them in DFS if you’re so inclined to stack against them, though personally I’m probably not going to be trying to attack the Bal much in my lineups since as you said they are a well rounded D

  • BIF

    @mike42 said...

    already bet SF 6, unless Jimmy G throws 2 picks, they are a much better team than Minny.

    #MeToo

    I bet SF -6 and then also teased SF to Seattle

  • bcandrws

    @mike42 said...

    So, except for the Texans, Minny, and the Titans, the other 5 teams have a better pass D than rush D? What about SEA? I think their rush D is better than their pass D. Balt is pretty good at both these days with a full team. Basically, 4 teams that you would attack easier through the air than on the ground and 1 team that you can’t attack either way. I’d say it’s kind of a waste of time to throw an umbrella statement on the whole slate and use that to guide your decisons.

    I also think SF with Kwon back is going to be hard to run against with a zone blocking scheme. They “feel” like the Bears front 7 that’s full of athletes and might have problems Vs power run schemes but not zone. I already bet SF 6, unless Jimmy G throws 2 picks, they are a much better team than Minny.

    This is my favorite weekend to bet on games because everyone watches the wild card teams play and thinks they are better or comparable to the teams that earned a bye. Minny beat a NO’s team that really screwed itself. They outplayed a below-average version of NO’s. I think on a short week they are going to get their ass kicked Vs one of the 3 best teams in football that happens to be coached very well. Houston is just not a good team but they have a clutch QB and that’s about it. I just don’t think that’s a formula to stay with a KC team that should be able to score at will and who’s D has almost secretly become a plus unit. I’m trying to find ways to bet on TEN but I’m not getting there. Lamar choked last year and I don’t think he chokes this year. You know the saying “speed never slumps.” Pretty sure it applies here. They should be able to contain Henry and Brown outside of a play or 2. GB is the team everyone thinks sucks but is still better than SEA and is playing at home.

    WIldcard weekend favors the underdogs and under. The under is 8-0 I believe the last 2 years and underdogs are 7-0-1, winning outright 6x. I’ll post the exact numbers when I come acrross them again but the theme is true. I’m pretty sure this round favors the favorites and the over because they are the better teams with the more prolific offenses. It feels like all year long whatever the theme was one week, it was different the next. All the best teams in the NFL are playing this weekend and in most cases, if not all, they are the MUCH better team. Just something to think about.

    In regards to Seattle I’m not so sure. I have seen them get eat up by alot of running backs. Mostered scored 2 TD on them, drake had 2 TD on them, McCaffrey scored 2 TD on them, todd gurley who hadn’t done much all year had 21 Dk points on them, chubb had 2 TDs on them even TB running backs had 2 TDs on them. Maybe something I’m missing but that’s not good.

  • BIF

    I think Seattle beats GB outright – Packers have been on the right side of a lot of good breaks and have the lowest point differential of any team that has gone 13-3 since the NFL went to a 16 game season. Seattle may have some issues and injuries but they are also battle tested and the NFL owes us a 3rd Seattle-San Fran matchup this year (they have split so far with road team winning each game and both games going down to the last play). The Pack already got blasted in SF once so we don’t need to see that again.

    The Pack should have lost both games to the Lions but iffy penalties allowed drives to continue and allow Pack to comeback and win both games. They also beat a Chiefs team by 7 with Matt Moore at QB during the brief time Mahomes was out. They could have easily been 10-6 and the 6 seed. As long as it isn’t windy, I think Russ can hit a couple deep balls and do enough to win another tight one.

  • Dunzor

    @BIF said...

    I think Seattle beats GB outright – Packers have been on the right side of a lot of good breaks and have the lowest point differential of any team that has gone 13-3 since the NFL went to a 16 game season. Seattle may have some issues and injuries but they are also battle tested and the NFL owes us a 3rd Seattle-San Fran matchup this year (they have split so far with road team winning each game and both games going down to the last play). The Pack already got blasted in SF once so we don’t need to see that again.

    I think Sea GB is my favorite stack so far as I agree that it will be a closer game than most of the other matchups and Russ/Rodgers have the most playoff experience so I think they keep the offenses moving

    The problem is it’s probably gonna be the most popular game to stack with the closest spread, but maybe too many people feel they have to stack Bal or KC and maybe it goes a bit underowned

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