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  • bhdevault

    • Lead Moderator

    • Blogger of the Month

    Saturday, January 16th
    4:35 PM EST : LA Rams ( 7 ) at Green Bay ( -7 ) —- T: 45.5
    8:15 PM EST : Baltimore ( 3 ) at Buffalo ( -3 ) —- T: 50.5

    Sunday, January 17th
    3:05 PM EST : Cleveland ( 10 ) at Kansas City ( -10 ) —- T: 55.5
    6:40 PM EST : Tampa Bay ( 3 ) at New Orleans ( -3 ) —- T: 51.5

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts, troll posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted. While the use of GIF’s are acceptable, content must be posted along with them.

  • 33BeRad

    @BIF said...

    I don’t care if he is 60% owned, I’ll be 100% !

    An interesting way to play Kelce is double TE with Andrews. Buffalo also gives it up to the middle of the field and Andrews is Lamar’s favorite target.

  • 33BeRad

    I think I like more TE’s than WR’s this week. HAHA! I think Hooper and Tonyan are in good spots as well.

  • theIrrigator

    • Ranked #56

      RG Tiered Ranking

    I had to stop in and Lol at the Eagles wanting to interview Kellen Moore for the head coaching position. As a Cowboys I wouldn’t want him to be our head coach. Not yet at least. Maybe after another 3-5 years of coaching experience

  • TopDawgs07

    Looking at each of the slates individually, on the Saturday only I think QB looks much easier than the Sunday only. The opposite can be said for RB’s between the two slates. Saturday only seems much easier at WR than the Sunday only, with so many options on Sunday. Really TE seems much easier on Saturday than Sunday, although I do love Kelce. Essentially I think the Saturday slate might have more dupes compared to Sunday only. It may also drive how I do my full slate builds seeing where you’ll get your pool of players from each individual slate.

    I expect both of the Saturday games to go Under. Obviously the LAR defense can limit GB and keep the scoring down. I like Baltimore over Buffalo. I think the Ravens control the pace of that game and slow it down more than Buffalo would like. To me, the Sunday games both look like shootouts. I think all four teams will put up points in competitive games.

  • HoodsFromTheWood

    Ricolasvegas 09 hours ago
    @HoodsFromTheWood said…

    From Kamara?… Never, If he catches 5 vs the Bucs odds are there’s a lot more than 8 yds

    Sorry, last time these two teams played it was 5 catch for 9 yards not 8 my mad lol. In a Saints blow out weird

    Yeah I just think it’s a “lightning doesn’t strikes twice” scenario.

  • fitz2k2

    Anyone have ownership projections?

  • squidkill

    I like the under in GB and Rams also also the under in TB/NO-

    How are people predicting a TB/ NO shootout? 2 old goat QB- Both defenses are improved- Third time facing another/divisional rivalry….etc… I just see a 24-21 game-

  • superjon

    Saw some stats on Mahomes against playoff teams this year

    4-0
    1,326 yards
    12 touchdowns
    0 interceptions

  • TopDawgs07

    @squid, You could be right on the third time facing a division rival. I see a 30-24 type of score. It may depend on how fast they start, and who starts fastest. If you get someone out in front quick, the other playing catch up, there’s the potential for a high scoring affair.

  • realphipps

    Im playing the “two great defenses relatively intact” narrative for TB/NO. I’ll be way under on Kamara, but like some WR pieces on each side.

    To be different than Squid, I’ll say 24-20. NO. Someone misses an early PAT. Wide right. Kicker shakes head in disbelief. We can’t hear coach, but can read his lips. It’s a bad word.

  • HoodsFromTheWood

    @realphipps said...

    Im playing the “two great defenses relatively intact” narrative for TB/NO. I’ll be way under on Kamara, but like some WR pieces on each side.

    To be different than Squid, I’ll say 24-20. NO. Someone misses an early PAT. Wide right. Kicker shakes head in disbelief. We can’t hear coach, but can read his lips. It’s a bad word.

    Murray/Hill have yet to practice this week setting up Kamara for a bigger than usual workload. In 8 career games vs Tampa, Alvin’s averaging almost 25.5 DKpts with a high of 46.1 and a low of 15.7. He’s had 5 or more catches in every one of those games. 22 carries/2 tgts last week, he’s a home favorite late slate hammer RB. And if his 2 biggest vultures are out, damn the 50% ownership. On a small slate, some chalk has to be owned

  • squidkill

    if Murray and Hill are OUT-?? Yeah Im in on AK but still on the UNDER

  • TopDawgs07

    While we’re talking that game, who are your favorite pieces? Possibly DSTs? I actually like Godwin quite a bit.

  • bigwillie20

    @TopDawgs07 said...

    While we’re talking that game, who are your favorite pieces? Possibly DSTs? I actually like Godwin quite a bit.

    Think I’ll take a RB that sits on the bench all game just like last week

  • NDNole

    @squidkill said...

    I like the under in GB and Rams also also the under in TB/NO-

    How are people predicting a TB/ NO shootout? 2 old goat QB- Both defenses are improved- Third time facing another/divisional rivalry….etc… I just see a 24-21 game-

    It can possibly be a shootout but I would probably go with the under as well but not by much.

  • Falconsfly

    Hey guys. I’m struggling with research on this so looking for some of your insight b/c i read some helpful things on here. I’m in a league where there is no salary. Can pick anyone for your roster for the weekend. Would you go option 1. Kamara, Akers, Chubb, Adams, Hill or 2. Kamara, Chubb, Hill, Diggs, Adams? It’s full ppr with a couple bonuses for over 10 catches. What ya think? And am I a fool for not considering Jones? Appreciate the talk through.

  • Ricolasvegas

    @HoodsFromTheWood said...

    Murray/Hill have yet to practice this week setting up Kamara for a bigger than usual workload. In 8 career games vs Tampa, Alvin’s averaging almost 25.5 DKpts with a high of 46.1 and a low of 15.7. He’s had 5 or more catches in every one of those games. 22 carries/2 tgts last week, he’s a home favorite late slate hammer RB. And if his 2 biggest vultures are out, damn the 50% ownership. On a small slate, some chalk has to be owned

    I think he will be closer to 35% with the other value on the board. If Murray and HIll dont suit up tho… I may have to change my stance on AK

  • Ricolasvegas

    @NDNole said...

    It can possibly be a shootout but I would probably go with the under as well but not by much.

    I’m beating the drum for the Packers defense this week and would be on the Under if I was gonna bet it. Saturday the temp high in Green Bay is currently showing 35 with a low of 26 degrees. Snow showers in the morning, 10-15 mph winds so windchill in the 20’s.

    Goff in games below freezing temperature: comp/att 34-72, 381 yards, 0 touchdowns, 5 INTs. Oh and if Goff cant finish the game his back up is going to be Blake Bortles.

    The Packers have held their opponents lead RB the last 5 games to an avg 56 yds rushing a game and only allowed 2 rushing TDS. Some of those games were vs D. Henry, D. Montgomery, Swift.

  • odanny

    I don’t know what one of the below freezing games that Goff played in was, but I know one of them was in 2018 against a Bears defense that was, at that time, perhaps the best defense in the entire NFL. I don’t have confidence in Goff because, Goff, but most QB’s would have struggled at Soldier Field on Monday night against that Bears D.

  • TopDawgs07

    @Ricolasvegas said...

    I’m beating the drum for the Packers defense this week and would be on the Under if I was gonna bet it. Saturday the temp high in Green Bay is currently showing 35 with a low of 26 degrees. Snow showers in the morning, 10-15 mph winds so windchill in the 20’s.

    Goff in games below freezing temperature: comp/att 34-72, 381 yards, 0 touchdowns, 5 INTs. Oh and if Goff cant finish the game his back up is going to be Blake Bortles.

    The Packers have held their opponents lead RB the last 5 games to an avg 56 yds rushing a game and only allowed 2 rushing TDS. Some of those games were vs D. Henry, D. Montgomery, Swift.

    The one thing that scares me for the Packers is how they’ve been bullied and pushed around at times. Thinking back to the Niners twice last season, and also the Bucs this season. If that Rams defense can get after Rodgers, Ramsey should limit Adams, and then run the ball physically with Akers, it could be interesting. DFS wise, I find myself staying away from much of that game outside of possibly the LAR DST or Akers. Last season when the Niners beat the Packers, Jimmy G only threw 8 passes and completed only 6. That’s it. So in theory, if the Rams play how they would like, the game won’t fall on Goff’s shoulders.

  • Getty33

    @33BeRad said...

    I think I like more TE’s than WR’s this week. HAHA! I think Hooper and Tonyan are in good spots as well.

    You’re actually right. Half the TEs this weekend have better matchups than their wideouts. Even Brate as a low owned salary saver is viable.

  • Ricolasvegas

    The Ravens blitzed their opponents more frequently than any other NFL team this season at 41% of opponent dropbacks.

    Josh Allen, facing a blitz led the NFL in passing touchdowns with 17.

  • Rickytango13

    MVS is probably going to get a few deep balls thrown his way. The question remains will he catch them? Huge upside for a 3800 flyer.

  • emnj69

    a few wrs with tough match ups-I usually dont let a corner scare me away and lots of folks laugh when people bring up match ups but
    Ramsey and Lattimore are no joke-adams is close to match up proof but I dont see him smashing-lattimore owns evans-I am fading him 100%-will go with god and brown and even some gronk but gronk definitely can bust too

  • squidkill

    @Falcons- Can you use the players again going forward?

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