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  • bhdevault

    • Lead Moderator

    • Blogger of the Month

    Saturday, January 9th
    1:05 PM EST : Indianapolis ( 6.5 ) at Buffalo ( -6.5 ) —- T: 51.5
    4:40 PM EST : LA Rams ( 4.5 ) at Seattle ( -4.5 ) —- T: 42.5
    8:15 PM EST : Tampa Bay ( -7.5 ) at Washington ( 7.5 ) —- T: 46.5

    Sunday, January 10th
    1:05 PM EST : Baltimore ( -3.5 ) at Tennessee ( 3.5 ) —- T: 54.5
    4:40 PM EST : Chicago ( 9.5 ) at New Orleans ( -9.5 ) —- T: 47.5
    8:15 PM EST : Cleveland ( 3.5 ) at Pittsburgh ( -3.5 ) —- T: 46.5

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts, troll posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted. While the use of GIF’s are acceptable, content must be posted along with them.

  • Southie777

    I haven’t been paying SUPER close attention to this week, just checking in here from time to time and trying to keep up on any big news, figured I’d get down to brass tacks more tonight. (I’ve been under strict orders from Landa to not even THINK about this slate until 11 AM tomorrow, at the earliest.) But it seems like everyone is a Q. Goff and Evans, as you mentioned, but AJ Brown, Kamara (I know he’s fine, as long as he doesn’t get another positive), Michael Thomas, Beasley, Diggs, Gibson, McLaurin, etc.

  • squidkill

    Kamara and Thomas are all set- Beat writer Underhill confirmed- AK-
    stated “”““See ya’ll sunday”“” after a zoom call

    Q tags very little to some…………….- Most u listed are good too go….. Beaseley, Evans, Goff seem to be the unknowns

  • squidkill

    Gibson and McLaurin should pay as well. They might not be 100 but this is the playoffs, so most will be a go just because its the playoffs.

  • Southie777

    Okay, thanks. That’s preeeeetty much how I was leaning, that most are more probable than questionable, they’ll gut it out, just up in the air what they’ll have.

  • realphipps

    I think the biggest injury news of the weekend is the true health of Deforest Buckner. Word is he’ll play, but if he’s limited or lost, that’s a completely different defense.

  • jdtrey

    @marker0357 said...

    do we know about Kamara yet?

    Alvin Kamara (COVID-19) tweeted Thursday “see y’all Sunday.”

    Kamara is ineligible to rejoin the team in person before Sunday morning — the Saints play the Bears at 4:40 PM ET — but he has been practicing digitally. This is not a joke. Per ESPN’s Adam Schefter, Kamara is participating “remotely via TVU networks technology.” Kamara has a “transceiver,” a “live video decoder.” Coach Sean Payton is even mic’d up so he can “guide Kamara through his plays and prep him as if he were actually practicing.” All of this, of course, is contingent on Kamara remaining negative for the coronavirus, but every sign points toward him returning after missing Week 17.

  • JoCo

    Mooney is who I’m wondering about.

  • realphipps

    Has the matchup sheet been posted?

  • odanny

    @squidkill said...

    another tidbit to catch my eye this week is probably pretty obvious to most but the Rams are the worst draw Seattle can imagine. Rams defense matches up so well with what seattle wants to do on offense. I like the Rams def and especially an underpriced Akers in this one. No matter who is at QB.

    Solid take, there.

  • odanny

    @Alvy76 said...

    I have Tampa bay, saints, and Steelers left in my survivor pool. I think I am taking Tampa this week and saving the other two. Thoughts??..

    Of the three, TB the most likely to get upset, then Steelers, then Saints. Brady has not shined in primetime this year, and he’ll be on the road against a young and fired up defense. Tompa likes day games, not night games. .

  • jdtrey

    @realphipps said...

    Has the matchup sheet been posted?

    As far as I can tell Mike Clay hasn’t put anything out for ESPN this week..
    Did a little digging and found one that BIF posted before that I really liked:
    https://www.actionnetwork.com/fantasy-football/nfl-playoffs-wild-card-weekend-wr-cb-matchups

    Not a quick reference like the ESPN one, this one is like Mike Clay’s main ESPN+ article where that other matchup sheet comes from – more in depth breakdowns.

  • odanny

    It’s too bad Alex Smith is not healthy, cause I would lay some cash on the Washington ML. However, without a healthy QB, I don’t think Washington wins, unless their defense can score a couple TD’s, which is in the realm of what’s possible.

    Since 1970, these are the 4 largest road favorites in the playoffs.:

    2000: St. Louis (-6.5) at New Orleans: Result: LOST
    2010: New Orleans (-10) at Seattle: Result: LOST
    2011: Pittsburgh (-8) at Denver: Result: LOST
    2020 T.B. (-8) at Washington

  • superjon

    @odanny said...

    It’s too bad Alex Smith is not healthy, cause I would lay some cash on the Washington ML. However, without a healthy QB, I don’t think Washington wins, unless their defense can score a couple TD’s, which is in the realm of what’s possible.

    Since 1970, these are the 4 largest road favorites in the playoffs.:

    2000: St. Louis (-6.5) at New Orleans: Result: LOST
    2010: New Orleans (-10) at Seattle: Result: LOST
    2011: Pittsburgh (-8) at Denver: Result: LOST
    2020 T.B. (-8) at Washington

    Which of those 3 previous teams did Brady play for?

  • odanny

    @superjon said...

    Which of those 3 previous teams did Brady play for?

    What’s his playoff record against the NFC East?

  • 33BeRad

    @odanny said...

    What’s his playoff record against the NFC East?

    It’s not good.

  • 33BeRad

    Does anyone see anything funky happening tomorrow or will these games be how they are suppose to be? Bills scoring the most points in the highest scoring game. Rams/Seattle in a slow game scoring in the low 40’s and Tampa winning a lower scoring game, may or may not cover the spread. I think with WFT offense very suspect it will be hard for the upset. Of course, their shortcomings will be credited to Brady when Tampa wins.

  • TopDawgs07

    To be fair, the home field advantage at NO, Seattle, and Denver is massive with their crowds. That won’t be the case for the WFT.

  • zovyn

    @TopDawgs07 said...

    To be fair, the home field advantage at NO, Seattle, and Denver is massive with their crowds. That won’t be the case for the WFT.

    Nobody’s home field advantage this season is significant due to crowds, though.

    EDIT: I realize now that that was likely your point. :P

  • wesdaco

    I don’t know, Tampa (and most importantly, their passing game) seems to be the hottest team entering these playoffs not named Buffalo.

    I know how good Washington’s D is and I’ve been a fan all year, but I’d be shocked if this game was close

  • rjschick92

    Based on what I saw in the regular season, Buffalo is going to win the Super Bowl.

    Defense doesn’t matter, they shredded everyone.

  • HoodsFromTheWood

    @33BeRad said...

    Does anyone see anything funky happening tomorrow or will these games be how they are suppose to be? Bills scoring the most points in the highest scoring game. Rams/Seattle in a slow game scoring in the low 40’s and Tampa winning a lower scoring game, may or may not cover the spread. I think with WFT offense very suspect it will be hard for the upset. Of course, their shortcomings will be credited to Brady when Tampa wins.

    It’s NFL DFS, what could possibly be funky? Lol. With apologies to realphipps, I know Buckner is an impact player, one of the best interior pass rusher in the league. I just think the Bills are gonna score matter how DeForest is feeling. The Bills O is firing on all cylinders now. It’s just that I can see paths to the Colts at least keeping close if not winning. Their offensive strengths match up well with the “weakness” of the Bills D. The Colts finished the year with the lowest three-and-out percentage in the NFL and second in the most 10-play drives. A lot of that comes from their running game. Which is the soft spot in Buffalo’s D. I don’t think Indy’s D will limit the Bills scoring, but if they limit the amount of possessions via a strong run game maybe it’s the last team with the ball kind of game.

    Rams are another road team that might surprise people. I believe they have an advantage in the trenches on both sides of the ball. Russ has been sacked the 5th most times in the NFL and in case you didn’t know, Russ stopped cooking in week 10 vs the Rams and the kitchens been closed ever since. With possibly the best (healthy) secondary in football and the best pass rusher in the NFL, looking at you Mr. Donald, Carroll better call for takeout. And with 8+ more DKpts/game on the road, RoadGoff (if he plays) can only benefit from the return of left tackle Andrew Whitworth, as would Wolford. With difference maker Jamal Adams banged up on the Seahawks D, paths to a Rams upset are there.

    I think the only way the WFT has a chance is if they start a more mobile Heinicke. Kudos to the warrior in Alex Smith. But even with an OL that’s, per PFF the 6th best in end of season rankings, https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-final-2020-offensive-line-rankings , no mobility/ability to plant and throw doesn’t give the offense their best chance to succeed vs a tough Buc D. I just saw Heinicke’s been taking the 1st team reps in practice so maybe Riverboat Ron agrees with me. Tampa’s offense vs the WFT defense is gonna be a strength vs strength matchup. WFT D has the 6th highest pressure rate while Tampa’s OL has allowed the 4th least amount of pressure on Brady’s dropbacks. Brady leads the league in in deep-ball attempts, completions, yards, TDs, and is top-five in deep-ball adjusted completion rate and passer rating over the last six weeks. Washington ranks third in explosive pass play percentage allowed (9.4%) and No. 1 in fewest yards per attempt allowed (5.5) over the same period. Like I said, strength vs strength

  • Ether

    @Alvy76 said...

    I have Tampa bay, saints, and Steelers left in my survivor pool. I think I am taking Tampa this week and saving the other two. Thoughts??..

    I wouldn’t be asking for advice on that. Go with your gut.. if u made it this far on your own it would not feel good to lose and feel like u picked based off what some random person on the internet said.

  • Ether

    @33BeRad said...

    Does anyone see anything funky happening tomorrow or will these games be how they are suppose to be? Bills scoring the most points in the highest scoring game. Rams/Seattle in a slow game scoring in the low 40’s and Tampa winning a lower scoring game, may or may not cover the spread. I think with WFT offense very suspect it will be hard for the upset. Of course, their shortcomings will be credited to Brady when Tampa wins.

    The only weird thing I see happening is the colts winning. I could be way off but I think people are underrating the colts right now

  • 33BeRad

    @Ether said...

    The only weird thing I see happening is the colts winning. I could be way off but I think people are underrating the colts right now

    I see a lot of people thinking the Colts can at least hang with the Bills. Colts had one of the easiest schedules in the league, they were favored in every game this season(I think there was 1 game they opened as a dog but it closed as them favored).
    I don’t think they are getting underrated, I think people just think Bills are better. I think the line is about right
    I think Tampa is going underrated. Everyone wants to point out Brady’s primetime record and record vs the NFC east in the playoffs. Too many people are taking Washington for me to like it. Their offense is too crappy to win, IMO. I think they can keep it lower scoring but that’s about it.
    Rams vs Seahawks, who the F knows what’s gonna happen there. HAHA! But I do like Akers for what should be top 2 or 3 usage for rb’s but not priced for.

  • 33BeRad

    @HoodsFromTheWood said...

    It’s NFL DFS, what could possibly be funky?

    Not as good as your poems or songs but good stuff. HA!
    Edit: meant for your whole post, just didn’t want to quote the whole thing

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