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  • AVivier

    Thursday, 9/5
    8:20 PM EST : Green Bay ( 3.5 ) at Chicago ( -3.5 ) —- T: 46

    Sunday, 9/8
    1:00 PM EST : Atlanta ( 4.5 ) at Minnesota ( -4.5 ) —- T: 47
    1:00 PM EST : LA Rams ( -3 ) at Carolina ( 3 ) —- T: 51
    1:00 PM EST : Buffalo ( 3.5 ) at NY Jets ( -3.5 ) —- T: 38.5
    1:00 PM EST : Kansas City ( -4 ) at Jacksonville ( 4 ) —- T: 52.5
    1:00 PM EST : Tennessee ( 5.5 ) at Cleveland ( -5.5 ) —- T: 45.5
    1:00 PM EST : Washington ( 9 ) at Philadelphia ( -9 ) —- T: 46.5
    1:00 PM EST : Baltimore ( -4 ) at Miami ( 4 ) —- T: 37
    4:05 PM EST : Cincinnati ( 8.5 ) at Seattle ( -8.5 ) —- T: 43.5
    4:05 PM EST : Indianapolis ( 3 ) at LA Chargers ( -3 ) —- T: 47.5
    4:25 PM EST : NY Giants ( 7.5 ) at Dallas ( -7.5 ) —- T: 46.5
    4:25 PM EST : San Francisco ( (Pick) ) at Tampa Bay ( (Pick) ) —- T: 49
    4:25 PM EST : Detroit ( -2.5 ) at Arizona ( 2.5 ) —- T: 47
    8:20 PM EST : Pittsburgh ( 6 ) at New England ( -6 ) —- T: 51.5

    Monday, 9/9
    7:10 PM EST : Houston ( 7 ) at New Orleans ( -7 ) —- T: 53.5
    10:20 PM EST : Denver ( 2.5 ) at Oakland ( -2.5 ) —- T: 43

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

  • monarch

    @TomBradyBlueMamba said...

    Vegas has no idea how many points are going to be scored this game. They are simply setting a mark trying to balance the sides. Check on that Monday to see if the Bengals scored 16.

    If you have never researched to see how accurate Vegas is in their marks, which I yet have not, then you have no idea if that implied total of 17 means nothing at all.

    They set it at 17.5….the professional gamblers are driving that number down. I do take that into account more so than hunches.

  • TomBradyBlueMamba

    ^ That’s a good point yes I didn’t catch that

  • sanders_tj

    @ssilberman2012 said...

    Volume is king. Seattle is overrated and depleted on defense and at WR. With a brand new, offensive-minded HC and extremely low ownership, I fail to see how Mixon is a bad GPP play. How are we gonna win by playing Dalvin Cook if everyone else plays him?

    To be honest, week 1 will be won (or lost) by the RB position.

    There are 8-9 RB’s that are in line for big volume and 3-4 in my opinion with slate breaking potential.

    I certainly don’t include Mixon in any of those camps. He has poor game script (arguably the worst out of all #1 RB’s week 1).

    Vegas is usually pretty dang accurate. With the Bengals as a nearly double digit underdog, Mixon will be in precisely 0% of my lineups week 1.

  • ssilberman2012

    @monarch said...

    You might be on to something. I see myself just loading up on 6200 to 5600 type running backs instead or Saquon, Zeke and CMC who I think will carry distorted ownership. What I mean by that is I think some of the Mixon, Carson, Chubb etc…will come close to the studs this week and that allows me to get three of them and Julio Jones plus a QB/WR1 stack like Baker/OBJ or Jameis/Godwin.

    Yes and I am all about fading Zeke. You can’t just hold out then dominate week 1 – see previous years of RB holdouts. I want to play Julio Jones but I think roster construction will have everyone paying down at RB, which will allow Jones to be played and be chalkier. I also don’t like the away matchup at Xavier Rhodes and the Vikings D.

    I also think those two stacks will be too highly owned, but if Dee Ford and Nick Bosa are out, Jameis will be my cash QB on FD over guys like Wentz and Cam.

    Random but I hope White is out for the Bills week 1, although his injury appears to be no biggie. I would load up on Robby Anderson like crazy if he was out. Robby finished last season so strong and is in a contract year.

  • ssilberman2012

    @sanders_tj said...

    To be honest, week 1 will be won (or lost) by the RB position.

    There are 8-9 RB’s that are in line for big volume and 3-4 in my opinion with slate breaking potential.

    I certainly don’t include Mixon in any of those camps. He has poor game script (arguably the worst out of all #1 RB’s week 1).

    Vegas is usually pretty dang accurate. With the Bengals as a nearly double digit underdog, Mixon will be in precisely 0% of my lineups week 1.

    That’s just way too many RBs. And I will obviously hedge by playing Cook in cash.

    I know the RBs you are referring to but that is too many to get exposure to. You have to take a stand somewhere. Last on my list for those RBs was Mark Ingram against my Fins but I am a little worried about his volume now with literally 4 other capable runners behind center on that team.

  • sanders_tj

    @ssilberman2012 said...

    That’s just way too many RBs. And I will obviously hedge by playing Cook in cash.

    I know the RBs you are referring to but that is too many to get exposure to. You have to take a stand somewhere. Last on my list for those RBs was Mark Ingram against my Fins but I am a little worried about his volume now with literally 4 other capable runners behind center on that team.

    Too many to get exposure to? I guess it depends on how many contests you’re playing. I max enter GPP’s so my player pool might be larger than yours.

    I play on FanDuel where rostering 3 RB’s in every lineup is key. When you plug 3 RB’s into many lineups, there’s lots of combinations lol

  • monarch

    There’s also CJA and Justin Jackson around the 4k range that can return 6x that will be in my pool. And they go together nicely with their defenses against teams with questions at quarterback

  • ssilberman2012

    How accurate are these pOWN projections usually? I am seeing 8% for Kyler, 6% for Baker, 2% for Jimmy G? What???

  • ssilberman2012

    @sanders_tj said...

    Too many to get exposure to? I guess it depends on how many contests you’re playing. I max enter GPP’s so my player pool might be larger than yours.

    I play on FanDuel where rostering 3 RB’s in every lineup is key. When you plug 3 RB’s into many lineups, there’s lots of combinations lol

    I got ya. I play on FD too. I am not a good large field player. This year I will be doing slightly higher stakes and single entry. It’s just tough to justify guys like Damien Williams and Zeke in week 1 when the other guys on your list have a much greater chance to see that enormous volume we want.

  • ssilberman2012

    @monarch said...

    There’s also CJA and Justin Jackson around the 4k range that can return 6x that will be in my pool. And they go together nicely with their defenses against teams with questions at quarterback

    Those are gutsy. I don’t think they are bad plays but I won’t go there. Might play Ekeler in cash though.

  • sjs1890

    • 2013 DraftStreet DSBC Finalist

    Is 23 players on 20 lineups too small of a player pool for 20 max entry contests? 5 Qb’s 6 Rb’s, 9 Wr’s, 2 Te’s, and 1 defense.

  • squidkill

    @sjs1890 said...

    Is 23 players on 20 lineups too small of a player pool for 20 max entry contests? 5 Qb’s 6 Rb’s, 9 Wr’s, 2 Te’s, and 1 defense.

    U def want more defenses pal. Highest variance position

  • sjs1890

    • 2013 DraftStreet DSBC Finalist

    Seahawks seem pretty safe tho huge favorites bengals gonna have to throw all game at that defense.

  • sanders_tj

    @ssilberman2012 said...

    I got ya. I play on FD too. I am not a good large field player. This year I will be doing slightly higher stakes and single entry. It’s just tough to justify guys like Damien Williams and Zeke in week 1 when the other guys on your list have a much greater chance to see that enormous volume we want.

    I will have very low exposure to Damien Williams and a few sprinkles of Zeke if he plays week 1. Neither player is high on my priority list.

    Overall, it’s tough to say how my exposure for each player will be until 24-48 hours before kickoff. Too many things can happen between now and then.

  • monarch

    @ssilberman2012 said...

    Those are gutsy. I don’t think they are bad plays but I won’t go there. Might play Ekeler in cash though.

    I’m just talking MME plays based off game theory with DET and LAC controlling the game. They aren’t core plays

  • yisman

    Josh Gordon removed from the NFI list and eligible to play Week 1. I don’t know if he will play in Week 1, though.

  • pheffernan7

    @boilermakerbeef said...

    What % ownership will Duke Johnson be out now? Assuming he’s starting at RB, and his price tag is $3500 on DK.

    I can’t be the only one not buying into the idea of Duke Johnson playing 3 downs right? Go one more down the depth chart and it’s Buddy Howell Jr. That’s who i would be looking at if they don’t end up making a trade.

  • Hoods From The Wood

    @pheffernan7 said...

    I can’t be the only one not buying into the idea of Duke Johnson playing 3 downs right? Go one more down the depth chart and it’s Buddy Howell Jr. That’s who i would be looking at if they don’t end up making a trade.

    How many teams have 3 down RBs?

  • Luctyl99

    I really dont hate Josh Allen for week 1. Liking him either alone or paired with john brown

  • rourke441

    who are say 5 or 6 rookies that will be week1 starters

  • Logan7777

    @ssilberman2012 said...

    All of the uncertainty is why I love Mixon over someone like Fournette for GPPs. I’ll tell you what is certain – KC and JAX have improved Ds this season.

    A wise man once said…..week 1 is hype week. Week 2 is overreaction week where fish jump……. GL.

  • monarch

    Brissett too cheap at 4400? He is pretty good with his legs as well and the Colts have some decent weapons

  • BIF

    @Logan7777 said...

    A wise man once said…..week 1 is hype week. Week 2 is overreaction week where fish jump……. GL.

    👍

  • BIF

    @monarch said...

    Brissett too cheap at 4400? He is pretty good with his legs as well and the Colts have some decent weapons

    How ready is he to play as QB1 ?

    I’m guessing he is gonna play Preseason Week 4 to get some reps in.

    He didn’t play yesterday (had zero stats) and had only thrown 15 passes in first 2 games.

  • monarch

    Not sure. He is being hyped up around the league. He also has quite a bit of experience as a starter and the Colts have a top 5 OL, security blanket TEs and Hilton. The Chargers have a really good D but Derwin James will be out and they were not as good at home last season.

    I played bad QBs on bad teams for 4400 last season. Brissett is a decent QB on a good team but not in an ideal spot. Brissett+Ebron is just 8300 on DK.

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