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  • AVivier

    Thursday, 9/5
    8:20 PM EST : Green Bay ( 3.5 ) at Chicago ( -3.5 ) —- T: 46

    Sunday, 9/8
    1:00 PM EST : Atlanta ( 4.5 ) at Minnesota ( -4.5 ) —- T: 47
    1:00 PM EST : LA Rams ( -3 ) at Carolina ( 3 ) —- T: 51
    1:00 PM EST : Buffalo ( 3.5 ) at NY Jets ( -3.5 ) —- T: 38.5
    1:00 PM EST : Kansas City ( -4 ) at Jacksonville ( 4 ) —- T: 52.5
    1:00 PM EST : Tennessee ( 5.5 ) at Cleveland ( -5.5 ) —- T: 45.5
    1:00 PM EST : Washington ( 9 ) at Philadelphia ( -9 ) —- T: 46.5
    1:00 PM EST : Baltimore ( -4 ) at Miami ( 4 ) —- T: 37
    4:05 PM EST : Cincinnati ( 8.5 ) at Seattle ( -8.5 ) —- T: 43.5
    4:05 PM EST : Indianapolis ( 3 ) at LA Chargers ( -3 ) —- T: 47.5
    4:25 PM EST : NY Giants ( 7.5 ) at Dallas ( -7.5 ) —- T: 46.5
    4:25 PM EST : San Francisco ( (Pick) ) at Tampa Bay ( (Pick) ) —- T: 49
    4:25 PM EST : Detroit ( -2.5 ) at Arizona ( 2.5 ) —- T: 47
    8:20 PM EST : Pittsburgh ( 6 ) at New England ( -6 ) —- T: 51.5

    Monday, 9/9
    7:10 PM EST : Houston ( 7 ) at New Orleans ( -7 ) —- T: 53.5
    10:20 PM EST : Denver ( 2.5 ) at Oakland ( -2.5 ) —- T: 43

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

  • timusbr

    @Logan7777 said...

    Hey be ready. Don’t eat the first week hype and god forbid don’t chase the 2nd week fish. Wise men I listen to. You should too.

    So many people wants to compare DFS and poker. So if the old saying is true, that if you cant spot the fish at the table your it. Well I guess I am that fish. I just think first week, last week of the season, and any in between, You want the QB and receiver that hook up for 100+ yards 10 catch’s multiple TD’s. A 100 yrd rusher, a TD TE, and a point scoring defense. Then your in the hunt for some money. whats so hard about that?

  • sanders_tj

    @kdsdawg said...

    can’t believe you are comparing 2017 to this year with the Colts QB situation…I realize you won a GPP, as we are reminded every time you post, if that is the process you use , that doesn’t make you smarter, just luckier…

    Interesting. I’ve never taken down a GPP. Where did I say I won one? Stop making things up.

    Brissett is a major downgrade at QB. His numbers speak for themselves.

    The process I use is based upon historical data of actual winning lineups. There’s a clear pattern in winning lineups and of course there is variance, but for anyone to state that Brissett is a good play because he’s priced so cheap is literally grasping at straws. His price AS A STARTER in 2017 averaged $5.0k per week on DraftKings, so he seems to be properly priced. There’s nothing special about Brissett in week 1. You’re limiting the ceiling of your lineup if he’s your QB in week 1.

  • HoodsFromTheWood

    @timusbr said...

    You want the QB and receiver that hook up for 100+ yards 10 catch’s multiple TD’s. A 100 yrd rusher, a TD TE, and a point scoring defense. Then your in the hunt for some money. whats so hard about that?

    Sifting thru all the minutia and picking all the right ones?????? Did I get the right answer? Richard

  • HoodsFromTheWood

    @timusbr said...

    I cant believe you guys building teams now.. weeks ago.

    I can’t believe you’re not

  • mnstone14

    @Hoods From The Wood said...

    It might be at <5.5K

    if zeke is out its easy, pollard and move on. If he plays then i may not have any under under 5.5. Johnson, cook and barkley seem like where i would end up if zeke plays.

  • Hatchins

    @sanders_tj said...

    The same thing was said about Christian McCaffrey having a reduced workload at the start of last season by allowing CJ Anderson to get all the goal-line carries and 3rd down work. It never materialized and CMC had a monster year. Until the data says otherwise, Gurley is a workhorse back and should be treated as such.

    That is so off base comparing Gurley and his knee to cmc and also comparing cj anderson to Henderson.

  • AVivier

    @Hatchins said...

    That is so off base comparing Gurley and his knee to cmc and also comparing cj anderson to Henderson.

    How many touches does everyone think Gurley will get? That’s what it really comes down to when discussing Gurley’s pricing. Would everyone bet over or under on 15.5?

  • Hatchins

    @AVivier said...

    How many touches does everyone think Gurley will get? That’s what it really comes down to when discussing Gurley’s pricing. Would everyone bet over or under on 15.5?

    Honestly at 15.5 I dont know if I make that bet. I’d guess I would go over, but week 1 and having legit talent behind him at rb, you would think they would want to keep his usage manageable. But who knows. Makes for a good Gpp play for that reason alone I guess.

  • 33BeRad

    @AVivier said...

    How many touches does everyone think Gurley will get? That’s what it really comes down to when discussing Gurley’s pricing. Would everyone bet over or under on 15.5?

    I would bet the over. My worry with Gurley would be maybe he loses some goalline work. Why give him an extra hit from the 1 yd line if you’re trying to limit his touches. I will play some of him but not a ton

  • mtdurham

    I side in between.

    I think there will be enough value in week 1 that I won’t play much brissett in GPP.. If I do it won’t be in single entry or 3max. Probably would be In 20 or 150 max. Will be interested in small private games and would be interested in cash if I played it.

    I’m always looking to save money at QB, but not at the expense of FPS.

    I do agree the situation is much better this year than two years ago as hes had time to learn the system and grow as a player.

    Also helps to know he went to the greatest university in the history of humans when it comes to producing NFL QB’s.

  • mtdurham

    @timusbr said...

    Thank you for this, I have been thinking about Bell since he sat out. He is toast, career light flickering in the corner of his eye. I never thought he was all that good, Just one lucky son of a bitch who landed on the right team at the right time. Now he will get his 50 yards maybe an occasional TD and will lead the offense off the field on 4th and short.

    The advanced numbers show bell wasnt very good in his last full season. I’m curious to see if hes healed up but I probably won’t be using him much if at all this season and will just hope he busts each week.

    My feeling is that if he starts off well I’d rather fade and hope for regression.

    And if he starts off mediocre I’d rather fade and hope for continuance.

    I want guys with more upside than what I THINK he will provide this season.

  • TomBradyBlueMamba

    @infantryboys said...

    If you’re going dumpster diving for QBs, I’d much rather take a chance on Fitzpatrick than Brissett because he’s actually done it before. He has 400 yard with multiple TD upside and the Baltimore D is missing some pieces. Granted he also has an incredibly low floor and Miami doesn’t have a lot of talent.

    I run about 5 or 6 GPP LUs per site and might take a chance on a Fitz/Stills stack and bring it back with Ingram or Andrews.

    It doesn’t bother you that he isn’t even confirmed starting week 1? Not to mention, Stills is mentioned in the trading block in a potential Clowney deal. And this is a team that is clearly without any argument, the worst in football. The absolute gutter of 2019.

  • speskowi

    Great to be back! Am I crazy for thinking QB Josh Allen is a good play week 1? He always seems to get at least 1 rushing TD and 2 passing TD’s per game.

    I also like WR James Washington as a sleeper pick vs Pats

  • BIF

    @speskowi said...

    Am I crazy for thinking QB Josh Allen is a good play week 1? He always seems to get at least 1 rushing TD and 2 passing TD’s per game.

    In 12 career games he has accounted for 3 or more total TDs just twice so I’m not sure the word “always” is used correctly here.

    In his one game last year vs NYJ, he had 1 TD

  • squidkill

    It’s a Sunday night game though?? Also- by the sounds of the talk out there people are sleeping on this New England defense- as deep and talented as they have been in quite sometime-

  • NDNole

    I am going to keep a close eye on Darwin Thompson for week one. If he ends up being the #2 back I may slip him in a lineup for a hopefully sneaky play.

  • Brandon6385

    Wonder if Levitan is going to run the weekly $5 listen league

  • BIF

    @NDNole said...

    I am going to keep a close eye on Darwin Thompson for week one. If he ends up being the #2 back I may slip him in a lineup for a hopefully sneaky play.

    It’s not till Monday night but if we are looking at RB2’s then i want some Latavius Murray in NO who should get some early down work (to give Kamara a rest or two) and a bunch of goal line work this season. He might not get Mark Ingram touches but he should hopefully be underpriced for a couple weeks for a guy with good TD equity.

  • NDNole

    “It’s not till Monday night but if we are looking at RB2’s then i want some Latavius Murray in NO who should get some early down work (to give Kamara a rest or two) and a bunch of goal line work this season. He might not get Mark Ingram touches but he should hopefully be underpriced for a couple weeks for a guy with good TD equity.”

    For some reason I cant quote. Yes I think he is a good RB2 to look at for the year, he is capable of popping the occasional long run too.

  • realphipps

    I keep clicking on Browns def @ home vs Titans.

    Myles Garrett looks to be on another level right now and he won’t have Taylor Lewan in his way. Plus, Mariota.

  • herculesrockafellar

    @realphipps said...

    I keep clicking on Browns def @ home vs Titans.

    Myles Garrett looks to be on another level right now and he won’t have Taylor Lewan in his way. Plus, Mariota.

    I keep clicking on Chubb+Browns D

  • Ace15

    I’m really starting to warm up to the idea of Keenum-Thompson-Reed-Ertz game stack. Last time Keenum had a decent TE that guy made the pro-bowl. With all the news coming out how good Reed looks and DJAX being out I think this is a game I will be heavy on. Thank me later guys.

  • AVivier

    https://twitter.com/mysportsupdate/status/1166747259729567745?s=21

    This isn’t good. On @KNBR, #49ers GM John Lynch implied that RB Jerick McKinnon suffered another setback in his recovery. “It’s a real bummer. He keeps getting to the final step. We did it a month ago and he kinda regressed and yesterday we had a similar situation.”

  • TomBradyBlueMamba

    Reed is literally one concussion from being dead

  • AVivier

    @TomBradyBlueMamba said...

    Reed is literally one concussion from being dead

    He’d be tough to draft in season long, but he’s very in play for week 1. Arguably their top receiving threat in a game they’re gonna be forced to pass an awful lot.

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