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  • AVivier

    Thursday, 9/5
    8:20 PM EST : Green Bay ( 3.5 ) at Chicago ( -3.5 ) —- T: 46

    Sunday, 9/8
    1:00 PM EST : Atlanta ( 4.5 ) at Minnesota ( -4.5 ) —- T: 47
    1:00 PM EST : LA Rams ( -3 ) at Carolina ( 3 ) —- T: 51
    1:00 PM EST : Buffalo ( 3.5 ) at NY Jets ( -3.5 ) —- T: 38.5
    1:00 PM EST : Kansas City ( -4 ) at Jacksonville ( 4 ) —- T: 52.5
    1:00 PM EST : Tennessee ( 5.5 ) at Cleveland ( -5.5 ) —- T: 45.5
    1:00 PM EST : Washington ( 9 ) at Philadelphia ( -9 ) —- T: 46.5
    1:00 PM EST : Baltimore ( -4 ) at Miami ( 4 ) —- T: 37
    4:05 PM EST : Cincinnati ( 8.5 ) at Seattle ( -8.5 ) —- T: 43.5
    4:05 PM EST : Indianapolis ( 3 ) at LA Chargers ( -3 ) —- T: 47.5
    4:25 PM EST : NY Giants ( 7.5 ) at Dallas ( -7.5 ) —- T: 46.5
    4:25 PM EST : San Francisco ( (Pick) ) at Tampa Bay ( (Pick) ) —- T: 49
    4:25 PM EST : Detroit ( -2.5 ) at Arizona ( 2.5 ) —- T: 47
    8:20 PM EST : Pittsburgh ( 6 ) at New England ( -6 ) —- T: 51.5

    Monday, 9/9
    7:10 PM EST : Houston ( 7 ) at New Orleans ( -7 ) —- T: 53.5
    10:20 PM EST : Denver ( 2.5 ) at Oakland ( -2.5 ) —- T: 43

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

  • monarch

    What a horrible spot for myself as a Raiders fan. In order for the Pats to do bad I have to probably pull for the hated Chefs to knock them off.

    So much pressure on the Pats now. Maybe AB is the trojan horse that ends their dynasty.

  • CleverGroom

    @hankmcgreen said...

    I usually never spend up for D in cash but can’t put my finger on a cheaper option. I was thinking Bucs D at home for only $2,200 against Jimmy G coming back from injury. Was also considering Lions at $2,900 against that Cardinals O-line…

    Panthers at $2,100 on DK.

    Rams C Brian Allen and LG Joseph Noteboom haven’t started a game. LT Andrew Whitworth is turning 38 this season. This unit ran unbelievably hot for the last two years, and I want to be there the moment their faerie dust looses its sparkle.

    #KeepPounding

  • ssilberman2012

    @monarch said...

    CG…no more talking up Mack. I want to be on that island by myself…lol.

    I’m on Mack too. If y’all recall awhile back I said Mixon was my favorite contrarian play but I tinkered and I’m off him. Replaced him with Mack.

  • monarch

    @ssilberman2012 said...

    I’m on Mack too. If y’all recall awhile back I said Mixon was my favorite contrarian play but I tinkered and I’m off him. Replaced him with Mack.

    If you believe that the Colts win this game then he is one of the backs in his price range that doesn’t have many question marks. So for 150 GPP if you give the Colts a 20 percent chance of winning then it’s fair to want to play 20 percent of Mack instead of mashing Dalvin Cook like everyone else.

  • NDNole

    @CleverGroom said...

    Panthers at $2,100 on DK.

    Rams C Brian Allen and LG Joseph Noteboom haven’t started a game. LT Andrew Whitworth is turning 38 this season. This unit ran unbelievably hot for the last two years, and I want to be there the moment their faerie dust looses its sparkle.

    #KeepPounding

    Im here to tell you the rams are putting up 28 at least tomorrow.

  • hankmcgreen

    @CleverGroom said...

    Panthers at $2,100 on DK.

    Rams C Brian Allen and LG Joseph Noteboom haven’t started a game. LT Andrew Whitworth is turning 38 this season. This unit ran unbelievably hot for the last two years, and I want to be there the moment their faerie dust looses its sparkle.

    #KeepPounding

    Wow this is actually a really good call. I could definitely talk myself into the Panthers at home give Jared Goff a terrible time. I’m curious to see if these Rams offense actually regresses (which they most likely will, but Im not expecting them to fall off a cliff) or just looks different based on what I have read.

  • CleverGroom

    @NDNole said...

    Im here to tell you the rams are putting up 28 at least tomorrow.

    Honestly, that can still be fine for CAR DST.

    I’d have to take the under on LAR for 28+, though.

  • mike42

    @CleverGroom said...

    Panthers at $2,100 on DK.

    Rams C Brian Allen and LG Joseph Noteboom haven’t started a game. LT Andrew Whitworth is turning 38 this season. This unit ran unbelievably hot for the last two years, and I want to be there the moment their faerie dust looses its sparkle.

    #KeepPounding

    YOu think that’s why they are planning on going 12 personnel more this year? Not sure most think about it but it effects Kupp’s snaps too if they do.

  • hankmcgreen

    @CleverGroom said...

    Honestly, that can still be fine for CAR DST.

    I’d have to take the under on LAR for 28+, though.

    Yeah that’s not necessarily a bad thing for the D/ST scoring!

  • Luctyl99

    David Johnson might be my favorite play of the slate

  • Hyak420

    @NDNole said...

    Im here to tell you the rams are putting up 28 at least tomorrow.

    West coast teams traveling to the East coast are a thing, think I’m staying away from this game.

  • Luctyl99

    @Hyak420 said...

    West coast teams traveling to the East coast are a thing, think I’m staying away from this game.

    I wouldn’t disagree mid season. The first game shouldn’t be an issue

  • XxHeisenbergxX

    @Hyak420 said...

    West coast teams traveling to the East coast are a thing, think I’m staying away from this game.

    I happen to agree with you but in the case of the Panthers…I really think they stink. Obviously this forum sees it the exact opposite but I don’t see what the love affair with the Panthers is.

  • ImTheFranchise

    In Draftkings’ Casual Tiers NFL contests you can theoretically play a QB on 6/8 roster spots. According to projections this is the way go. But seems wacky. Am I missing something?

  • mike42

    @CleverGroom said...

    Honorable mention in the SNF game (shout-out my Yahoo! players who like rake-free GPPs that aren’t even 40% full yet) goes to Vance McDonald, who I don’t think it’s crazy to consider as the #2 receiver in PIT by season’s end.

    They only take paypal right? I can’t remember my password for Paypal and it’s not apparently an easy thing to get. I would play on there otherwise.

  • Logan7777

    @ssilberman2012 said...

    Yes

    Nope. No way, nope.

  • mike42

    CG—Also, thanks for the in depth analysis. I like hearing your opinion, not because it’s free, but because it’s well informed (and free).

  • mike42

    @Luctyl99 said...

    David Johnson might be my favorite play of the slate

    It’s tough playing an 8K RB that should have a hard time getting 40yds rushing this game. Snacks made it impossible to run on DET. I think he catches a lot of balls but even an 8-50-1 line doesn’t do much at that price without rushing production.

  • parrothead112

    CleverGroom, thank you. That is some analysis I would pay for.

  • mike42

    @Logan7777 said...

    Nope. No way, nope.

    Yes. I don’t think Carson/Lockett would be a bad cash play and Lenny/DEDE is a better one. Either of those combo’s should dominate production for 2 teams with high totals in pristine matchups for both.

  • Logan7777

    Today’s NFL AB news is like my wife watching some “House Wives of ????” Series on TV. Way too much drama that I could give a sh$t less. But I got Brady on season long… maybe his stock just went up.

  • Smallchimp

    @mike42 said...

    CG—Also, thanks for the in depth analysis. I like hearing your opinion, not because it’s free, but because it’s well informed (and free).

    “Start paying, you freeloader”

  • Hyak420

    @XxHeisenbergxX said...

    I happen to agree with you but in the case of the Panthers…I really think they stink. Obviously this forum sees it the exact opposite but I don’t see what the love affair with the Panthers is.

    I’m looking at it as a home field advantage plus what’s going on with Gurley and a Cooks not playing on turf deal. Not in love with the Panthers but think they come out ahead.

  • CleverGroom

    @mike42 said...

    YOu think that’s why they are planning on going 12 personnel more this year? Not sure most think about it but it effects Kupp’s snaps too if they do.

    It could be part of it. Could see 21 personnel too, especially with early-game passing packages that include both Gurley and Henderson.

    McVay went into the Super Bowl with one plan: we’re going to do what we always do, and you’ve gotta keep up and stop it.

    Now you’ve got a confluence of things: the OL is in transition, Kupp isn’t 100%, Everett has shown flashes and accumulated more experience, you’re comfortable enough with Higbee that you just extended his contract, Henderson gives you a second receiving menace out of the backfield—not to mention a RB who won’t get stoned every time he tries to carry out of the shotgun—and the realization is dawning that maybe one game plan built on one formation won’t get you there. Maybe your passer needs to grow out of the most basic, QB-friendly system you were able to imagine.

    Not that I mean to cast shade here, mind you. McVay’s 2017-2018 system was brilliant. It allowed Goff to go from a fantasy zero to hero. It baffled DCs who couldn’t tell which of hundreds of different permutations he was going to run out of that static, expressionless base formation. It won games and put them in the tournament, right up to the end. It was a good plan until it wasn’t.

    I don’t trust Goff to implement any new wrinkles while he’s under more duress than he faced last year. I especially don’t trust him in week 1, coming off zero preseason action—a spot where he only managed a 55% completion rate in a drubbing of the Raiders to start last year.

    I get why people want to buy the dip on Goff. I’ll be receptive to that later this season. Week 1, traveling all the way east for an early start, rusty as anybody in the NFL outside of Le’Veon Bell, visiting a frisky team with Ron Rivera’s back to the wall…it’s a lot, man.

    Just because Goff’s in a dip doesn’t mean he doesn’t have further to fall.

  • CleverGroom

    @Smallchimp said...

    “Start paying, you freeloader”

    Lol thanks, guys.

    In all seriousness, my single entry this week is win-or-go-home. I probably will have to pick up my ball and go do something that pays for the rest of the season, alas.

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