NFL FORUM

Thursday, September 10th
8:20 PM EST Houston (10) at Kansas City (-10) —- T: 55

Sunday, September 13th
1:00 PM EST NY Jets (6) at Buffalo (-6) —- T: 40
1:00 PM EST Green Bay (3.5) at Minnesota (-3.5) —- T: 46.5
1:00 PM EST Philadelphia (-6) at Washington (6) —- T: 44.5
1:00 PM EST Cleveland (9) at Baltimore (-9) —- T: 48.5
1:00 PM EST Indianapolis (-7) at Jacksonville (7) —- T: 46
1:00 PM EST Las Vegas (-1) at Carolina (1) —- T: 47
1:00 PM EST Chicago (1.5) at Detroit (-1.5) —- T: 44
1:00 PM EST Seattle (-1) at Atlanta (1) —- T: 49
1:00 PM EST Miami (-6.5) at New England (6.5) —- T: 43.5

4:05 PM EST LA Chargers (-3.5) at Cincinnati (3.5) —- T: 44

4:25 PM EST Arizona (7.5) at San Francisco (-7.5) —- T: 46
4:25 PM EST Tampa Bay (4) at New Orleans (-4) —- T: 49.5

8:20 PM EST Dallas (-2.5) at LA Rams (2.5) —- T: 50

Monday, September 14th
7:15 PM EST Pittsburgh (-3.5) at NY Giants (3.5) —- T: 48

10:10 PM EST Tennessee (2.5) at Denver (-2.5) —- T: 42

Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts, troll posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted. While the use of GIF’s are acceptable, content must be posted along with them.

Honestly I don’t think it’s worth the time and effort to try to learn a sport from scratch over a $5 ticket.

If I was given a $5 ticket in say, NHL I’d probably use an optimizer LU and hope for the best, honestly.

I really have to wonder about Antonio Gibson here. If Gibson were to not exist, Washington would have a complete backfield as far as roles go … even if they aren’t a talented bunch.

Bryce Love could take early down work. JD can take passing down work. Barber can take goal line and short yardage work.

That being said — it appears like Gibson is the most talented of the bunch. He is the one most likely to get 20+ touches. I still see a heavy underdog going against an elite DL.

I think I’ll be underweight.

1) Pick a QB.

2) Match him up with a WR and a TE or a second WR from his team.

3) Pick a WR or TE on the opposing team.

4) Pick a WR or RB for your flex

5) RBs should be starters for their team

6) Pick defense randomly

7) ….

8) Profit

That’s some solid advice. Nice to see you again, taking good care of my Porsche? 😂

Had to get the water pump replaced. Good to go now.

I am leaning towards 3 work horse RBs builds in around 2/3 of my LUs for MM. I am likely playing 40 or so LUs as DK MM entry is $5.

Lack of pre season should hurt WRs more than RBs , in terms of fantasy production imo. I am also planning to target more players from teams with coaching staff/ players/qb continuity. Might take longer for players to buy into a totally different system under new head coach .

Thanks. I plan to mix in double ups and single entry GPPs this year as well.

Thanks, i just picked names i knew lol. I might have the oldest DFS lu ever

TB/NO seems like such a trap as the highest OU of the week.

It does. Brady isn’t going to be winging the ball all over the field like Winston did. Plus with all the hype about Brady, influx of casual fans Week 1, and the OU, there should be high ownership connected to this game.

Very rare that the highest OU on the slate won’t even get any attention in my cash lineup

Would you apply this strategy to cash games ?

Is that not an Arians style offense? Throw it around the yard? Plus it’s in the super dome. But i do agree that it will have heavy ownership

CG, I really appreciate your insight and game theory/analysis. I will be pulling the trigger on Trubisky week 1 no doubt… maybe it’s because I’m from Chicago and by default I have to run with the bears…maybe it’s the fact that he’s literally gonna be playing to keep his starting position… or maybe it’s because he’s gonna go criminally low owned in GPPs. But you’re definitely right… he did win some lucky shmuck a nice Milly before … I think week 1 is the window to play Mitchell.

I can’t do it. I have no trust in mitch at all. I’m not saying either of you is wrong, but after digging around tonight I’ll definitely have some Tyrod. Price is comparable to mitch, and even though he’s older now I don’t think he’s afraid to scramble and add points on the ground which obviously hasn’t happened with rivers. Also wondering the impact that has on ekeler, as rivers would dump it off to him Tyrod may take it himself

For 100$ more on DK than what Tyrod costs, you might be better off playing Baker, higher projections and lower ownership numbers… plus after a let down season last year, I think they bounce back nicely… they might even beat my beloved Ravens week 1. FWIW I’m gonna be going heavy on both Mitchell and Baker… Carr and Bridgewater have big appeal too… very easy to stack that game and flip flop the QB position… both are 5900..

Did that ravens defense take a hit in the offseason? I’ll have to check but last year it wasn’t a defense I really wanted to have players going against. They still have solid corners with hump and Jimmy I think

True but you know it’s not going to finish 17-14 either.

I just think everyone is a bit expensive given the number of useable pieces – there are 8-10 guys you could actually consider playing in this game

Total points scored in past matchups:
2019 – 55 & 51
2018 – 88 & 42
2017 – 40 & 55

I know this year is different but these teams have had zero problem scoring against each other.

Cohen has to be chalk at his price and usage vs the Lions, right?

Liking Chargers D week 1. Rookie QB with no preseason action.. could get messy.

Great.. only 8 more roster spots to worry about!

I’m not sure – I like Burrow more than I like the LAC D.

That rookie QB has a ton of great targets in AJ Green, Boyd, Tee Higgins, Auden Tate, John Ross, Eifert and Mixon/Bernard

He probably has a Top 8 stable of pass catchers at his disposal and is a more mature rookie QB than you usually see as a 5th year senior and coach’s son; people loved Mahomes because his dad was a pro ball player – well Burrow’s dad played football in the NFL/CFL and was a NCAA coach for many years.

He should be popular and I’ll likely sprinkle a couple Cohen in but I don’t trust that offense to do enough to make this a table-pounding must play guy. Also wonder how much work the other backs there are going to get as Cohen has never really carried a big load and with his size it is unlikely he is the goalline back

I don’t disagree with anything you said, I like Burrow long term, just not sold on him right out the gate week 1. He may even just go out right away and kill it, just hoping theres a pick 6 in there to go with it!

We will see what happens! You can track Joey Bosa and the Chargers D on my squad in the Happy-er meal ;)

Would you apply this strategy to cash games ?

Tyrod is ULTRA safe player. He does not go for it, almost ever. He will check it down or hold on to it before risking an int. Too many times he frustrated me with the safe play. Im gonna pass on him. Good qb in the average range in real life. In dfs forget about it lol.