NFL FORUM

Thursday, 11/12
8:20 PM EST : Indianapolis ( 2.5 ) at Tennessee ( -2.5 ) —- T: 50

Sunday, 11/15
1:00 PM EST : Philadelphia ( -3 ) at NY Giants ( 3 ) —- T: 42
1:00 PM EST : Tampa Bay ( -6.5 ) at Carolina ( 6.5 ) —- T: 47
1:00 PM EST : Washington ( 3.5 ) at Detroit ( -3.5 ) —- T: 46.5
1:00 PM EST : Houston ( 2.5 ) at Cleveland ( -2.5 ) —- T: 54
1:00 PM EST : Jacksonville ( 14 ) at Green Bay ( -14 ) —- T: 53
4:05 PM EST : LA Chargers ( 2.5 ) at Miami ( -2.5 ) —- T: 50
4:05 PM EST : Buffalo ( 2 ) at Arizona ( -2 ) —- T: 54.5
4:05 PM EST : Denver ( 4.5 ) at Las Vegas ( -4.5 ) —- T: 50.5
4:25 PM EST : Seattle ( 1 ) at LA Rams ( -1 ) —- T: 55.5
4:25 PM EST : San Francisco ( 7 ) at New Orleans ( -7 ) —- T: 53
4:25 PM EST : Cincinnati ( 9 ) at Pittsburgh ( -9 ) —- T: 47
8:20 PM EST : Baltimore ( -6.5 ) at New England ( 6.5 ) —- T: 41.5

Monday, 11/16
8:15 PM EST : Minnesota ( -2.5 ) at Chicago ( 2.5 ) —- T: 44.5

Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts, troll posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted. While the use of GIF’s are acceptable, content must be posted along with them.

I still like Duke Johnson with David Johnson out. He is still dangerous catching the shirt screen passes. Throw in the runs he gets as a bonus.

Well dudes I just made the winning milly lineup, single bullet style. Jones+Conner+gb d. Enter at your own risk and I’ll see ya at the top.

im going to assume duke is the play over gio but who knows. I dont think you have to play a second cheap(ish) rb.Theres a few 5k wrs that are in good spots to allow you to go from duke/gio to sanders if you chose.

Claypool.

You have to think that McVay has a solid game plan especially with the bye week in hand. Hard to see them not exploiting the passing liability of the Seahawks. I’m. No fan of Goff but he’s very capable when in rhythm and little pressure. I’m not seeing a positive correlation between Kupp and Woods. I’m leaning towards Kupp.

I don’t think so. He gives you an awesome floor with a high ceiling. He’s this years version of last years Lamar Jackson.

Murray/Duke or Herbert/Sanders? GPP. Ownership of the second might be lower, so is that the way to go?

I’m seeing that Woods and Kupp often don’t have blowup games together. One far often exceeds value while the other fails to hit value. This seems like a game where both should exceed value? I’m thinking it’s better to play one and pair them with Reynolds and a TE.

No doubt a running QB has tremendous upside.

Agree 100%. Your vision seems to be 20-20. Norman is washed up. He forced a big fumble on Las Vegas TE Waller earlier this year. I think he’s more of an inspirational leader.

I don’t think the Jacksonville OL is good enough to have success running it 30 times as Green Bay will quickly be putting 8 in the box – I know Jacksonville will likely not throw it more than 30 times but I still think Chark gets at least a 1/3 target share.

Shenault got hurt on his first target/catch: Conley got 8 targets and Cole had 2; Chark got 12 of the 38 passes Luton threw.

As an aside, the windiest game in the 2010’s that I found was a 2011 game between Rams and Browns in Cleveland with 40mph winds. Even with those winds, Sam Bradford threw 25 passes and Colt McCoy threw 27 passes and they combined for almost 400 yards so it’s not impossible to think a WR can hit value.

Again, I’m not saying Chark is a “free square” but he has a great chance to put up decent numbers at probably his lowest ownership all year against a spotty GB defense without Jaire Alexander.

Exactly. Conley is running the slot with Shenault out, which is why he’ll see an uptick in targets, but he won’t do anything with them. Chark is the only receiver who can separate, make contested catches, and blow the top off the secondary when needed. Luton will continue to look to him first for all the right reasons.

I think Luton is a 6th round qb on the road in bad weather. Gb Def is the play there for me. I’d still rather just play mike Davis

Jacksonville trying to throw in a windy/cold environment while likely trailing…recipe for disaster. GB and NO defense are my preference.

McLaurin is a nice pivot off the chalky WR’s. Dome game against a putrid Lions D.

Seems like you get when it comes to NFL GPP’s, especially this year.

Cash, just play all high owned guys and you’ll be fine, as the injuries won’t hurt, since the guys getting injured will be 80% owned.

I’ve been playing DFS for nfl, nba, nhl, mlb, and a lineup here or there for golf (don’t know much about golf, so the lineups aren’t researched based) for over 5 years, and I can say that the best sports for making money with GPP’s are NBA and NHL.

Fewest injuries, least variance, 180ish slates for each. Hockey people will say is high variance, and while I agree individual player variance is high, stacks are not hard to predict. MLB has so many moving parts that if you don’t make 150 lineups per slate, GPP success is difficult unless you do single entry tourneys. 🤷‍♂️

Nba and nhl. 🔥👍🍀🍀🔥

Yeah I agree. I already made up my mind im going to fade. If I get crushed I get crushed. I think he will do just fine but a guy who is probably going to be over 50% well I’l pass even if he will get the usage. Its against the bucs and I honestly would have faded CMC. I dont play rb vs tampa. Davis could score 20 and noone would be surprised, even 30. I hope he doesnt and I hope he stays in the 12 point area.

TAMPA, Fla. — The Tampa Bay Buccaneers landed in Charlotte, North Carolina, late Saturday night after a delay of more than seven hours brought on by mechanical issues with their plane, a team source told ESPN.

According to the original flight plan, the team was scheduled to depart Tampa International Airport at 2:25 p.m. ET Saturday and arrive in Charlotte at 3:55 p.m. ET. The team eventually boarded a new plane that took off just after 10 p.m. ET and landed at 11:27 p.m. ET.

Before switching planes, the Bucs were on the tarmac for more than five hours, the source said. They held team meetings at the airport and ate a meal there, but it was in an area of the airport for chartered planes with restricted access.

The team scattered about the building and went outdoors to accommodate social distancing.

Tampa Bay is set to play the Carolina Panthers at 1 p.m. ET Sunday.

Huge floor?

Good info. Hmm.

Clearly too tired to catch and tackle Davis now.

While there does appear to be something to this, I would note that Jones’ touches actually don’t increase with Adams out, he’s just doing more with them. I think the point of emphasis here is how Adams’ presence impacts the likelihood they pass rather than run it from inside the 5.

Good luck winning a tournament if you don’t play Mike Davis tomorrow. It doesn’t even matter what he does, its about what he gets you for the rest of your lineup. This is a guy who projects for 4x his salary and you’ll be lapped by the rest of the field if either he beats his projection or the other high priced WRs he lets you get in go off and your players don’t.

Its just a math thing man, a 20 touch RB is priced like a backup.

So if he gets 10 fpts you will still win GPP? What if a 5k RB gets 20?

Mike Davis is not the only value RB you can rotate in.

McKinnon, Bernard, Duke

Will have some Davis but no such thing as a free square – see chalk Mattison week. In the last 2 games before CMC came back, Davis wasn’t exactly doing so hot.

Mattison was also 6800 as opposed to minimum 4K. You don’t have to play him in GPP but finding reasons not to play a 4K 20-touch running back might be overthinking it