NFL FORUM

  • bhdevault

    • Lead Moderator

    • Blogger of the Month

    Sunday, November 28th
    1:00 PM EST : Atlanta ( -2 ) at Jacksonville ( 2 ) —- T: 46
    1:00 PM EST : Tennessee ( 7 ) at New England ( -7 ) —- T: 43.5
    1:00 PM EST : Pittsburgh ( 4 ) at Cincinnati ( -4 ) —- T: 45
    1:00 PM EST : Philadelphia ( -3.5 ) at NY Giants ( 3.5 ) —- T: 45.5
    1:00 PM EST : NY Jets ( 2.5 ) at Houston ( -2.5 ) —- T: 44.5
    1:00 PM EST : Carolina ( -2 ) at Miami ( 2 ) —- T: 42
    1:00 PM EST : Tampa Bay ( -3 ) at Indianapolis ( 3 ) —- T: 53
    4:05 PM EST : LA Chargers ( -2.5 ) at Denver ( 2.5 ) —- T: 48
    4:25 PM EST : Minnesota ( 3 ) at San Francisco ( -3 ) —- T: 49
    4:25 PM EST : LA Rams ( -1 ) at Green Bay ( 1 ) —- T: 47
    8:20 PM EST : Cleveland ( 3.5 ) at Baltimore ( -3.5 ) —- T: 47

    Monday, November 29th
    8:15 PM EST : Seattle ( (Pick) ) at Washington ( (Pick) ) —- T: 46.5

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts, troll posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted. While the use of GIF’s are acceptable, content must be posted along with them.

  • damionismyname

    They send these plays to a high tech video center to absolutely blow them multiple times. 2 times in this game the ball obviously hit the ground but the plays stood. Just horrible observations.

  • Cocomilk

    @damionismyname said...

    They send these plays to a high tech video center to absolutely blow them multiple times. 2 times in this game the ball obviously hit the ground but the plays stood. Just horrible observations.

    It’s so unreal. You could clearly see dirt flying up when the ball hit from both angles

  • depalma13

    @damionismyname said...

    They send these plays to a high tech video center to absolutely blow them multiple times. 2 times in this game the ball obviously hit the ground but the plays stood. Just horrible observations.

    If it can’t be seen with the naked eye on video replay, it should never be changed. Blowing up video and slowing it down scrubbing back and forth looking for a blade of grass to move is just stupid.

  • damionismyname

    @depalma13 said...

    If it can’t be seen with the naked eye on video replay, it should never be changed. Blowing up video and slowing it down scrubbing back and forth looking for a blade of grass to move is just stupid.

    But viewers can clearly see it but they cant. They need younger eyes looking at these plays. The one you can see it hit the ground and his knee and the other angle shows it hit the ground. Maybe they just ignore it as policy because if I can see it hit the ground and they can’t then they need new reviewers. Possibly a chip in the ball.

  • jv21

    • Ranked #92

      RG Tiered Ranking

    No Lamar wins the big showdown contest in Draftkings. Interesting. He was like 90% owned.

  • timusbr

    @Bigb1485 said...

    On DK

    Unless they are a running qb i think stacking is probably always +ev

    Im not sure what the numbers say about bringbacks.

    I think flex is definitely slate dependent although two TE’s, unless its a combo of gronk,kelce,waller and maybe kittle, is probably not gonna win in the long run.

    Aaron Rogers puts that to rest

  • DickyBigtop

    I switched my DFS strategy yesterday

    From playing roulette to counting cards black jack

    I thought the deck was a +12 so I played multiple hands.

    I got a 50 hands of hard 16 in a row.

    Genius.

  • marker0357

    @BIF said...

    io

    I was at the game, 45 yd line club seats, and it was phenomenal. I’m still scratching my head about the TB game plan but it definitely worked. I was on the other side with heavy TB pass game so I took it in the shorts. IND could do nothing with Lenny. Apparently, they were expecting the heavy pass attack also. Last comment on the game; the 1st PI call really turned the game around and it was a really bad call. I think the 2nd one was fine even though much of the crowd moaned about it.

  • DickyBigtop

    A few years ago my old aunt, knows nothing of football in regards to dfs or stats, is a Vikes super homer-won $40’ish in a little private office FD contest.

    The next week she played it all in open contests. She stacked a bunch of Vikings with names she recognized. 1 LU. in a bunch of sub $25 contests.

    Vikes did great so did her punts/whatever’s and ended that day with over $30,000.

    About a month later my mother who works with her, knows even less, won office group, put her winnings into a FD Kickoff – 11,000 head $50~ contests. (I recommend to her for fun) She picked randomly to fit salary cap, came in second – $20K.

    Both never have played since.

    My point. No pressure, no logic, no over thinking, no stat crunching, no second guessing. Just played. Just had fun. Just got lucky.

    I think on a bigger scale a lot of players play without a mental handcuff. Shoot from the hip and let the chips fall where they may. Free birds.

  • BIF

    @marker0357 said...

    I was at the game, 45 yd line club seats, and it was phenomenal. I’m still scratching my head about the TB game plan but it definitely worked. I was on the other side with heavy TB pass game so I took it in the shorts. IND could do nothing with Lenny. Apparently, they were expecting the heavy pass attack also. Last comment on the game; the 1st PI call really turned the game around and it was a really bad call. I think the 2nd one was fine even though much of the crowd moaned about it.

    Penalties hurt/gave some momentum both ways but it was really a tale of two halves and turnovers.

    Bucs turned it over twice in first half and gave Wentz a DPI on a terribly underthrown ball. Then second half, it was the other side of the equation where Bucs forced a couple turnovers and got a couple calls the other way.

  • Beckhams3Fingers

    @DickyBigtop said...

    A few years ago my old aunt, knows nothing of football in regards to dfs or stats, is a Vikes super homer-won $40’ish in a little private office FD contest.

    The next week she played it all in open contests. She stacked a bunch of Vikings with names she recognized. 1 LU. in a bunch of sub $25 contests.

    Vikes did great so did her punts/whatever’s and ended that day with over $30,000.

    About a month later my mother who works with her, knows even less, won office group, put her winnings into a FD Kickoff – 11,000 head $50~ contests. (I recommend to her for fun) She picked randomly to fit salary cap, came in second – $20K.

    Both never have played since.

    My point. No pressure, no logic, no over thinking, no stat crunching, no second guessing. Just played. Just had fun. Just got lucky.

    I think on a bigger scale a lot of players play without a mental handcuff. Shoot from the hip and let the chips fall where they may. Free birds.

    Wonderful story. And I don’t mean that sarcastically.

    The problem is, everyone in this forum takes DFS too seriously to just shoot from the hip. Part of what we enjoy so much about the game is the research, the data analysis, the stat-crunching, and sometimes the instinct plays. But the true pay-off comes with all of our time spent results in a big win. We can at least say we didn’t just randomly select players and get lucky AF. There was some method to our madness.

    Otherwise, why bother with DFS? There’s probably a casino nearby :)

  • DickyBigtop

    @Beckhams3Fingers said...

    Wonderful story. And I don’t mean that sarcastically.

    The problem is, everyone in this forum takes DFS too seriously to just shoot from the hip. Part of what we enjoy so much about the game is the research, the data analysis, the stat-crunching, and sometimes the instinct plays. But the true pay-off comes with all of our time spent results in a big win. We can at least say we didn’t just randomly select players and get lucky AF. There was some method to our madness.

    Otherwise, why bother with DFS? There’s probably a casino nearby :)

    I’m just crying and dump trucking my feelings here after both of them brought it up at thanksgiving after my mom asked what time the Dallas Bears team was on.

    They always play today, right?

    Brutal.

  • DickyBigtop

    With that being said

    In general wagering&roster constructing –

    One can make a clearer choice when you’re up and flush in compared to being down and chasing.

    House money – I like red

    Bank acct decimated and need rent money –

    Red,black,red,black…maybe 1-18, no it’s red, no more bets…

  • DickyBigtop

    lol – and for the record

    No one, not one person, in here including me can ever shoot from the hip and free wheel it.

    That ship sailed along time ago, cannot deprogram the mind. Even if you think you are, you’re not.

    Maybe if you asked for a trans orbital lobotomy for Xmas but the second you see a kid writing on the sidewalk with chalk you’d snap out of it.

    GL this week.

  • axman15

    Thoughts on the showdown tonight? DK pricing feels pretty fair. Even on a snap count, Thomas feels like a good option. I’ll definitely have more Metcalf than Lockett, given the price difference (DraftKings).

  • Beckhams3Fingers

    @DickyBigtop said...

    lol – and for the record

    No one, not one person, in here including me can ever shoot from the hip and free wheel it.

    That ship sailed along time ago, cannot deprogram the mind. Even if you think you are, you’re not.

    Maybe if you asked for a trans orbital lobotomy for Xmas but the second you see a kid writing on the sidewalk with chalk you’d snap out of it.

    GL this week.

    I want whatever drug you’re on hahaha!

  • NDNole

    @axman15 said...

    ’ll definitely have more Metcalf than Lockett, given the price difference (DraftKings).

    I like Lockett exactly for that reason. More will go to Metcalf. Of course either can go off. I’l take the lower owned one even though neither will really be low owned at all. I think going Lockett gives a better chance at a more unique lineup than Metcalf when factoring in the rest of lineup construction even if he in particular isnt so low owned., him in combination with others probably will be, If that makes sense. Then again, im on a season long cold streak in NFL so you should probably ignore everything I just said.

  • titanhawks

    @axman15 said...

    Thoughts on the showdown tonight? DK pricing feels pretty fair. Even on a snap count, Thomas feels like a good option. I’ll definitely have more Metcalf than Lockett, given the price difference (DraftKings).

    I guess by rule we have to pick at least one player from each team so I guess Metcalf is about as good as any from SEA tonight

  • cplatt87

    @axman15 said...

    Thoughts on the showdown tonight?

    I need 40+ receiving yards from McLaurin to clinch a playoff spot in my highest dollar season-long league, so he’s a lock for the under.

  • odanny

    I need Washington to lose by no more than 6 points for my only 3-teamer of the weekend to hit, so I expect a Seattle victory by more than a TD tonight.

  • titanhawks

    My predictions…

    cplatt87 clinches a playoff spot and odanny loses his 3-teamer

    WAS 44 SEA10

  • jcotdl

    @titanhawks said...

    WAS 44 SEA10

  • DickyBigtop

    soft 3 gamer booked

    Wilson pass U
    JD receive O
    47.5 U

    I’m not a financial planner. Only my thoughts.

  • kbarnhill7523

    • 678

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 FanDuel WFFC Finalist

    • x2

      2017 FanDuel WFBBC Finalist

    FYI, the key to these singe game showdowns this season has been TE, K and DEF. You’re welcome in advance.

  • Stangs13

    My gut feel no research that points to it play of the day is Dee Eskridge. Talented rookie whose snaps should continue to rise for the minimum price. I’m hoping he scores enough to make everything work. Also I would agree usually KHbarnhill but with how low Logan Thomas price is tonight I’m not sure a kick or defense will be needed, but I could be wrong.

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