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  • bhdevault

    • Lead Moderator

    • Blogger of the Month

    Thursday, 9/14
    8:25 PM EST : Houston ( 3 ) at Cincinnati ( -3 ) —- T: 38.5

    Sunday, 9/17
    1:00 PM EST : Minnesota ( 6.5 ) at Pittsburgh ( -6.5 ) —- T: 45
    1:00 PM EST : Cleveland ( 8 ) at Baltimore ( -8 ) —- T: 39.5
    1:00 PM EST : Philadelphia ( 4.5 ) at Kansas City ( -4.5 ) —- T: 47.5
    1:00 PM EST : Chicago ( 7 ) at Tampa Bay ( -7 ) —- T: 43
    1:00 PM EST : Arizona ( -7.5 ) at Indianapolis ( 7.5 ) —- T: 44
    1:00 PM EST : Tennessee ( -2.5 ) at Jacksonville ( 2.5 ) —- T: 43.5
    1:00 PM EST : New England ( -6.5 ) at New Orleans ( 6.5 ) —- T: 54.5
    1:00 PM EST : Buffalo ( 7.5 ) at Carolina ( -7.5 ) —- T: 43
    4:05 PM EST : NY Jets ( 14 ) at Oakland ( -14 ) —- T: 43.5
    4:05 PM EST : Miami ( 4.5 ) at LA Chargers ( -4.5 ) —- T: 45
    4:25 PM EST : San Francisco ( 14 ) at Seattle ( -14 ) —- T: 43
    4:25 PM EST : Dallas ( -1.5 ) at Denver ( 1.5 ) —- T: 42
    4:25 PM EST : Washington ( 2.5 ) at LA Rams ( -2.5 ) —- T: 46
    8:30 PM EST : Green Bay ( 2.5 ) at Atlanta ( -2.5 ) —- T: 53.5

    Monday, 9/18
    8:30 PM EST : Detroit ( 5 ) at NY Giants ( -5 ) —- T: —

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this week’s games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to yesterdays NFL thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

  • Logan7777

    I didn’t see any of the CINBAL game last week (no coverage my area). Dalton threw 4 INTs and had 1 lost fumble. Was the CIN OL that bad in providing coverage or was Dalton just terrible that day? CIN plays HOU this week at home and are currently shown as favorites.

  • mike42

    Good take. I think there might be extreme ownership on Ty. But I I will have plenty of shares of both. Sadly the Juilo hate from last weekend is all gone now.

    Lat week I was off of Jones because of the trust I had in Fangio scheming him out of the game. Ironically enough, I feel that exact same way this week and GB’s secondary could only be better than Chicago’s. Everybody is remembering the playoff beast mode Julio against GB decimated secondary but nobody is remembering the 3 catch 29 yd 5 tgt performance last regular season against Dom Capers D, why? BTW- that game was 33-32 so points were not an issue. Basically, I think it’s a mistake to forget that game. I also have concern that ATL offense and Matt ryan could only play worse than last year and it would be a concern even if they didn’t lose a top shelf OC this off season.

    Being from Chicago, I have had way to much exposure to Smok’n Jay. Besides Cutlers beautician, Gase was the only guy who made him look good and did an exceptional job of limiting jay’s mistake prone ways. I think Miami’s game plan may be tied with Jax’s for most conservative this week unless SD jumps out to a big lead, expect 30-35 runs and a ton of 3 step drops and quick release passes. I didn’t think Denver’s game plan was that conservative this past monday and that gave SD’s D plenty of chances to accrue fantasy points, I feel the opposite about Miami’s.

    I mentioned yesterday I always look for setups from my old gambling days. Let’s just say, that SD playing off of a emotionally disappointing game against a division rival off of a short week in a relatively quiet, possibly half empty, stadium in a new city would not be the setup I would be looking for for them to come out guns blazing. Which brings me to:

    KC D: I told myself last year that anytime KC is playing at home for under 3k to take them. Their D just seem to have a ton of upside variance at home and is generally a fantasy monster at home. I also heard that Wentz tried to make a lot of mistakes in last weeks game but the below average Wash D kept writing him hall passes. Anyone capable of verifying this?

  • winnerchickendinner

    Now I’m having pause about Ezekiel Elliott. I know denver is not great against the run but I worry how often dallas will get down into the red zone to score? I don’t believe that their WR Corp is as good as the chargers and Dakota Prescott is still young. I need to stop over thinking things.

  • Supanice

    @Logan7777 said...

    I didn’t see any of the CINBAL game last week (no coverage my area). Dalton threw 4 INTs and had 1 lost fumble. Was the CIN OL that bad in providing coverage or was Dalton just terrible that day? CIN plays HOU this week at home and are currently shown as favorites.

    The ints I saw were passes to aj green that Dalton threw 4 feet off the ground and just got picked off easily, had he put some touch on any of them aj would have had a 100 yard 2 td day. I really hope AJs eruption game isn’t this week since I don’t play the Thursday slate.

  • GTRandy27

    @winnerchickendinner said...

    Now I’m having pause about Ezekiel Elliott. I know denver is not great against the run but I worry how often dallas will get down into the red zone to score? I don’t believe that their WR Corp is as good as the chargers and Dakota Prescott is still young. I need to stop over thinking things.

    In my humble opinion, play zeke in cash or lose. He did well vs one of the best all around defenses If not the best Sunday night. Cowboys know better than to test Talib and Harris Jr. repeatedly especially with an overrated receiving core. Only receiving target for me is witten in ppr.

  • winnerchickendinner

    @GTRandy27 said...

    In my humble opinion, play zeke in cash or lose. He did well vs one of the best all around defenses If not the best Sunday night. Cowboys know better than to test Talib and Harris Jr. repeatedly especially with an overrated receiving core. Only receiving target for me is witten in ppr.

    I guess so but Denver is even more well-rounded because of their pass rush. The New York Giants were surprisingly 23rd in adjusted sack rate last year while the Denver Broncos were 2nd. I guess I will have less exposure than I thought.

  • Dadeano860

    How are we ranking the QBs this week?

    I’ve got: Ryan>Brady>Rodgers>Brees (as of today, all my research isn’t done yet). Ryan is opening a new stadium with a full health Julio. Home favorite in what could be the shootout of the week. Let’s pump the brakes on that GB defense- Seattle’s o-line covered up a lot of warts.

    Brady looked bad, very bad, but we’ve seen that before and he’s bounced back (remember 2014). I’m scared he is facing father time a bit and Gronk looked like that back surgery took a step away. No Edelman security blanket.

    Rodgers – it’ll be tough in that new dome, Bulaga out. Going to be under a lot of pressure. No free shots this week with his hard count. He should have to throw to keep up, so he should have somewhat of a floor. I believe this is a tougher spot than most here think. If they get behind, I could also see this turning into an Atl defensive feeding frenzy like last year’s playoff games.

    Brees I’m not sold on. Rookie tackle. Don’t like his WRs outside of Thomas (especially with no Snead). Pats DBs are good, and that defense is not as bad as it looked. I didn’t like what I saw out of them vs Minnesota. Adrian Peterson complaining, no real plan to get all the RBs in rhythm. It is home Drew Brees, but I’m quite a bit higher on the other 3.

  • BIF

    @sox9 said...

    He had some really nice grabs in that game showing good hands in tight spaces. Of course Brees threw him absolute darts

    Totally agree – also very unFleener like if you watched him at all in 2016

  • tkofantasy

    @MoneyCarsWomen said...

    Bragging? Get your head out of your *** bud seriously. There’s plenty of people who come on these forums and say “just cashed this amount in the milly” or “if it wasn’t for such and such would have won 2nd place but instead i won $40k”. Now that’s bragging.

    With you assuming I live in a basement based off my name is hilarious and shows how immature you’re. Now I can safely say my screen name is way better than yours, and what makes it worse is you have mario as a avatar pic……. lol weirdo

  • Ree4erMadness

    @bluebroker said...

    I’m a little interested in Stewart this week at $4400. Also intrigued by CJ Anderson at $4700. He could have easily had two or three td’s last night and he’s running well. Most avoided Montgomery last week (I didnt). I hope his hype slows down again by the end of the week.

    My dude at work told me something about Ty Mont. I think people still have this image in their head that he’s a WR. They still don’t really get that he’s a RB and a damn good one at that. That will keep his ownership down almost every week for a while.

  • Dadeano860

    @GTRandy27 said...

    In my humble opinion, play zeke in cash or lose.

    Not an accurate statement at all. Zeke is always a great play, Denver’s relative defensive weakness is vs the run.

    But to say you will need him in cash to win is not accurate. He’s not going to be over 25% owned (I’d say quite as bit less), so even if he gets 60 points, that’s only 25% of the field out of your reach.

  • HuskerAaron

    Are rankings’ points not calculated for MNF’s $1.4m results? Results are posted. Points are not. Am I missing something?

  • infantryboys

    @mike42 said...

    Good take. I think there might be extreme ownership on Ty. But I I will have plenty of shares of both. Sadly the Juilo hate from last weekend is all gone now.

    Lat week I was off of Jones because of the trust I had in Fangio scheming him out of the game. Ironically enough, I feel that exact same way this week and GB’s secondary could only be better than Chicago’s. Everybody is remembering the playoff beast mode Julio against GB decimated secondary but nobody is remembering the 3 catch 29 yd 5 tgt performance last regular season against Dom Capers D, why? BTW- that game was 33-32 so points were not an issue. Basically, I think it’s a mistake to forget that game. I also have concern that ATL offense and Matt ryan could only play worse than last year and it would be a concern even if they didn’t lose a top shelf OC this off season.

    Being from Chicago, I have had way to much exposure to Smok’n Jay. Besides Cutlers beautician, Gase was the only guy who made him look good and did an exceptional job of limiting jay’s mistake prone ways. I think Miami’s game plan may be tied with Jax’s for most conservative this week unless SD jumps out to a big lead, expect 30-35 runs and a ton of 3 step drops and quick release passes. I didn’t think Denver’s game plan was that conservative this past monday and that gave SD’s D plenty of chances to accrue fantasy points, I feel the opposite about Miami’s.

    I mentioned yesterday I always look for setups from my old gambling days. Let’s just say, that SD playing off of a emotionally disappointing game against a division rival off of a short week in a relatively quiet, possibly half empty, stadium in a new city would not be the setup I would be looking for for them to come out guns blazing. Which brings me to:

    KC D: I told myself last year that anytime KC is playing at home for under 3k to take them. Their D just seem to have a ton of upside variance at home and is generally a fantasy monster at home. I also heard that Wentz tried to make a lot of mistakes in last weeks game but the below average Wash D kept writing him hall passes. Anyone capable of verifying this?

    Not a Skins fan but I live in the DC area, so I am force fed all things Redskins. You’re on the money as far as Wentz and Washingtons defense. Just watch the TD pass to Agholor and that tells you everything you need to know. What first, should have been a sack and then should have been a pick, became a TD. It was that kind of game.

  • MattyK1981

    Sometimes you make a lineup and it just looks wonderful to the eye every time you peek at it.

    In my main LU this week I have my 3WR as Julio Jones – Keenan Allen – Doug Baldwin. And seriously considering a Tyreek Hill / KC DST stack on the bottom end. Regardless of how many LUs I end up entering this weekend, I am for sure entering that one (UNTOUCHED) alongside the dozens of other changes I make to my other LUs by the time Sunday afternoon comes along.

    As an aside, it seems like a prime week to play Th-M slate and fade the Thursday game entirely. Sure it exposes you to a Monday night hammer, but the amount of overlay generated by folks playing Thursday players just to play them makes it tough to pass up.

  • Bigly

    Even though he had a monster game, you don’t really know after one game. I’m guessing that his ownership will be sky high so strategy says fade if there are other RBs that you like.

  • infantryboys

    @MattyK1981 said...

    Sometimes you make a lineup and it just looks wonderful to the eye every time you peek at it.

    In my main LU this week I have my 3WR as Julio Jones – Keenan Allen – Doug Baldwin. And seriously considering a Tyreek Hill / KC DST stack on the bottom end. Regardless of how many LUs I end up entering this weekend, I am for sure entering that one (UNTOUCHED) alongside the dozens of other changes I make to my other LUs by the time Sunday afternoon comes along.

    As an aside, it seems like a prime week to play Th-M slate and fade the Thursday game entirely. Sure it exposes you to a Monday night hammer, but the amount of overlay generated by folks playing Thursday players just to play them makes it tough to pass up.

    I agree completely and with late swap on all the sites, it makes it that much easier to play the slate. Plus, many people try to force in a Monday night player for the “Monday night Hammer” you mentioned, but this week that game is almost as much of a dog as the Thursday night game.

    I’m actually going to be heavier on that slate this week than the Main.

  • Yacht67

    @MattyK1981 said...

    Sometimes you make a lineup and it just looks wonderful to the eye every time you peek at it.

    In my main LU this week I have my 3WR as Julio Jones – Keenan Allen – Doug Baldwin. And seriously considering a Tyreek Hill / KC DST stack on the bottom end. Regardless of how many LUs I end up entering this weekend, I am for sure entering that one (UNTOUCHED) alongside the dozens of other changes I make to my other LUs by the time Sunday afternoon comes along.

    As an aside, it seems like a prime week to play Th-M slate and fade the Thursday game entirely. Sure it exposes you to a Monday night hammer, but the amount of overlay generated by folks playing Thursday players just to play them makes it tough to pass up.

    I’m playing Rivers this week. Curious to why you want to roster Allen? There are a lot of good options on that offense. Why him?

  • Dunzor

    Trying to decide on my flex spot for GPPs: Julio Jones / Brandon Cooks / Ezekiel Elliot
    Any strong opinions out there? If I go with Jones then I have to downgrade a bit at defense but otherwise I like everything else on my roster just fine with any of the three

  • mike42

    I’m actually going to be heavier on that slate this week than the Main.

    Its not really that big of an advantage given that most people are going to do the same. Last week a ton did that because of overlay but it was NE playing so they had reason not to. The ownership levels were pretty low and they will be extremely low for this one too. I could easily see 1 or 2 of the D’s scoring 15 plus points or Green possibly going off but overall, what an awful game. If you are not gambling on it, would be a good time to wash your hair, contemplate the meaning of life or watch reruns of Oprah on the oxygen channel.

  • keephustlincuz

    I figure that Brees, Brady, Rogers, Ryan and Carr are going to take up about 80 percent of the QB ownership.

    Does this mean I can get rivers around 7%?

  • chronoxiong

    Wondering if I should roster Bradford since he’s so cheap and all MNF players didn’t get their prices adjusted for Week 2. I don’t think the Steelers can totally shut down the Vikings can they? Same goes for Adam Thielen who is a target monster.

  • spettey

    Yeah if you wanna hand me money. Melvin all day in that game.

  • Kamais_Ookin

    No love for Beckham vs Lions if he’s fully healthy?

  • qnova34

    @keephustlincuz said...

    I figure that Brees, Brady, Rogers, Ryan and Carr are going to take up about 80 percent of the QB ownership.

    Does this mean I can get rivers around 7%?

    Does this mean I can get Alex Smith at 3%? (also you’re forgetting Big Ben in there)

  • AVivier

    @keephustlincuz said...

    I figure that Brees, Brady, Rogers, Ryan and Carr are going to take up about 80 percent of the QB ownership.

    Does this mean I can get rivers around 7%?

    Early projections are Rivers at 4%, Carr and Ben actually less than that at 3%. But those could be way off.

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