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  • bhdevault

    • Lead Moderator

    • Blogger of the Month

    Thursday, 9/17
    8:20 PM EST : Cincinnati ( 6 ) at Cleveland ( -6 ) —- T: 45

    Sunday, 9/20
    1:00 PM EST : Denver ( 5.5 ) at Pittsburgh ( -5.5 ) —- T: 43
    1:00 PM EST : Carolina ( 8.5 ) at Tampa Bay ( -8.5 ) —- T: 48
    1:00 PM EST : San Francisco ( -7.5 ) at NY Jets ( 7.5 ) —- T: 43.5
    1:00 PM EST : Minnesota ( 3 ) at Indianapolis ( -3 ) —- T: 47.5
    1:00 PM EST : Buffalo ( -5.5 ) at Miami ( 5.5 ) —- T: 42
    1:00 PM EST : LA Rams ( 3.5 ) at Philadelphia ( -3.5 ) —- T: 48
    1:00 PM EST : Detroit ( 5.5 ) at Green Bay ( -5.5 ) —- T: 47.5
    1:00 PM EST : Atlanta ( 6.5 ) at Dallas ( -6.5 ) —- T: 50
    1:00 PM EST : Jacksonville ( 11 ) at Tennessee ( -11 ) —- T: 43
    1:00 PM EST : NY Giants ( 5.5 ) at Chicago ( -5.5 ) —- T: 43
    4:05 PM EST : Washington ( 7 ) at Arizona ( -7 ) —- T: 45
    4:25 PM EST : Kansas City ( -8.5 ) at LA Chargers ( 8.5 ) —- T: 50
    4:25 PM EST : Baltimore ( -6.5 ) at Houston ( 6.5 ) —- T: 53
    8:20 PM EST : New England ( 4 ) at Seattle ( -4 ) —- T: 44

    Monday, 9/21
    8:15 PM EST : New Orleans ( -5.5 ) at Las Vegas ( 5.5 ) —- T: 51.5

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts, troll posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted. While the use of GIF’s are acceptable, content must be posted along with them.

  • deeebo

    Yo boys, I’m here. But I’m not doing fanduel anymore because my old work league is no more so there’s really no point. Instead I’ve switched over to dk sportsbook, and this is what I am going to do. So all of the plays you guys talk about every week I’m basically going to follow. and im gonna put together a list of all the players that were mentioned multiple times. from there im gonna do those “anytime td” player props and parlay like 6-8 of them every week. maybe like 2-3 bets every week like $10 each that could pay out thousands. essentially, picking anytime td scorers and parlaying them is basically like choosing a daily fantasy lineup lol. and i am hoping one week one of my bets hits. basically putting two and two together and seeing if it helps me in my parlays. so no im not leaving this forum haha but i will not be posting much or if it at all anymore.

  • thedkexperience

    @deeebo said...

    Yo boys, I’m here. But I’m not doing fanduel anymore because my old work league is no more so there’s really no point. Instead I’ve switched over to dk sportsbook, and this is what I am going to do. So all of the plays you guys talk about every week I’m basically going to follow. and im gonna put together a list of all the players that were mentioned multiple times. from there im gonna do those “anytime td” player props and parlay like 6-8 of them every week. maybe like 2-3 bets every week like $10 each that could pay out thousands. essentially, picking anytime td scorers and parlaying them is basically like choosing a daily fantasy lineup lol. and i am hoping one week one of my bets hits. basically putting two and two together and seeing if it helps me in my parlays. so no im not leaving this forum haha but i will not be posting much or if it at all anymore.

    This is what I do every week. It’s harder then it sounds but was able to pull it off twice on MMA going 6-0 each time. The $20 total investment made me like $1300.

    I hit one in week 17 last year (not a TD only parlay but a regular parlay) where $10 or so returned about $600. What you are attempting to do is very tough, will look hysterically terrible every so often, but is possible.

    Normally you lock CMC in those bets but he’s playing Tampa this week. You may want to avoid him but something like Zeke, Henry, Devante as a core for that bet seems reasonable.

    Note – it’s the WRs who ruin these bets more often than not. I had Mike Thomas in mine last week. 🤦🏻‍♂️

  • deeebo

    @thedkexperience said...

    This is what I do every week. It’s harder then it sounds but was able to pull it off twice on MMA going 6-0 each time. The $20 total investment made me like $1300.

    I hit one in week 17 last year (not a TD only parlay but a regular parlay) where $10 or so returned about $600. What you are attempting to do is very tough, will look hysterically terrible every so often, but is possible.

    Normally you lock CMC in those bets but he’s playing Tampa this week. You may want to avoid him but something like Zeke, Henry, Devante as a core for that bet seems reasonable.

    Note – it’s the WRs who ruin these bets more often than not. I had Mike Thomas in mine last week. 🤦🏻‍♂️

    Yup! I agree, it is definitely going be tough and I think almost 95% of the time they won’t hit. But there are some parlays that I can put together that could pay out like thousands esp because you guys mention guys that are not studs as well and that could get a td. Yeah I am thinking of having a core of 2-3 guys and then throwing in some normal/lower tier players that would increase the odds. Im hoping it works and one week I hit one of them. Last week i had 9 guys to win 55k lol. on a $10 bet but of course it didnt hit.

  • thedkexperience

    @deeebo said...

    Yup! I agree, it is definitely going be tough and I think almost 95% of the time they won’t hit. But there are some parlays that I can put together that could pay out like thousands esp because you guys mention guys that are not studs as well and that could get a td. Yeah I am thinking of having a core of 2-3 guys and then throwing in some normal/lower tier players that would increase the odds. Im hoping it works and one week I hit one of them. Last week i had 9 guys to win 55k lol. on a $10 bet but of course it didnt hit.

    Haha get em!

    Word of advice … these things always seem to come up 1 winner short. Don’t be afraid to keep it to 4-6 plays and try for a few hundred bucks. Not saying don’t try to win life changing money but they tend to get exponentially harder with every single leg you add to it.

    On a funny side note, my nephew went 16-0 vs the spread one week last year but is too young to gamble. You just never know what can happen when you throw $5 on something. Poor kid left like 100K on the table! 🤦🏻‍♂️

  • NDNole

    What is cooper kuup’s ownership looking like?

  • squidkill

    So DEEBO goes from his Fan Duel work league to Vegas Dave, living the Parlay dream…. You will be so broke, you will be cleaning out the porta potty’s at the IGGLES games as a side hustle by year’s end- At least they will be clean for a few weeks.

    Im kind of disappointed. I believe we gave you the tools to succeed in DFS. We taught you how to fish buddy-

  • thedkexperience

    @squidkill said...

    So DEEBO goes from his Fan Duel work league to Vegas Dave, living the Parlay dream…. You will be so broke, you will be cleaning out the porta potty’s at the IGGLES games as a side hustle by year’s end- At least they will be clean for a few weeks.

    Im kind of disappointed. I believe we gave you the tools to succeed in DFS. We taught you how to fish buddy-

    Do you not put a few bucks on a TD only parlay for your main core plays? Everyone on this forum should be doing exactly what he is doing.

  • Thedabbler1994

    Interesting

  • thenefariousone

    Someone wanted air yards/red zone looks..
    https://www.rotoworld.com/article/fantasy-usage-model/fantasy-usage-model-week-2

  • NDNole

    @thenefariousone said...

    https://www.rotoworld.com/article/fantasy-usage-model/fantasy-usage-model-week-2

    Appreciate it. I wish airyards.com would update. I like its raw data but this link is also nice. Thanks.

  • deeebo

    @squidkill said...

    So DEEBO goes from his Fan Duel work league to Vegas Dave, living the Parlay dream…. You will be so broke, you will be cleaning out the porta potty’s at the IGGLES games as a side hustle by year’s end- At least they will be clean for a few weeks.

    Im kind of disappointed. I believe we gave you the tools to succeed in DFS. We taught you how to fish buddy-

    hahaha i know man and I appreciate it but I think my time has ended on daily fantasy. But the good thing is I will pivot and create a couple parlays every week based off the players mentioned here. So will still be here and involved

  • infantryboys

    @thedkexperience said...

    Do you not put a few bucks on a TD only parlay for your main core plays? Everyone on this forum should be doing exactly what he is doing.

    Parlays are a great way to go broke. It’s like going to the track and playing nothing but trifectas.

  • NDNole

    @NDNole said...

    Appreciate it. I wish airyards.com would update. I like its raw data but this link is also nice. Thanks.

    Never mind. I hadnt scrolled all the way down. Thanks again @thenefariousone

  • wolfshield

    Miles Sanders. U just lost to WAS. No way you put Sanders on a pitch count. 5x upside on DK

  • emnj69

    @NDNole said...

    For what its worth, richard sherman on IR.

    oh really and no bell
    looks like I know what to do here

  • thedkexperience

    @infantryboys said...

    Parlays are a great way to go broke. It’s like going to the track and playing nothing but trifectas.

    Sure, if you’re throwing down $100 on them. But if you keep it to $5 or $10 a week on players you’re already betting will score a TD then it’s a great way to, well, not go broke.

    Most of the issue with parlays breaking people is that people pull stupid shit out of the sky on Sunday morning. We’re essentially going to parlay college every week on this forum. The average track goer isn’t spending all week discussing the number 4 horse in race 3, like we would be here comparing CMC to Dalvin Cook.

    Not to bring up MMA again but most of the time you can’t have a big night in MMA without going 6-0 on your DFS lineup. May as well bet on yourself.

    Similarly, are you really setting an NFL DFS lineup with players you don’t think will score a TD? If so, why are you playing? On the off chance you nail it right and get a TD from 4+ players (let alone 7 or 8) you may put up 180 DFS points and still only min cash. Meanwhile if you add those 4 players to a small parlay at least you can potentially grab a few hundred extra dollars for $5 simply by your players performing the way your research told you they would.

    10 players is a bit lunacy. A 4 player TD only parlay? That’s totally doable.

  • deeebo

    @thedkexperience said...

    Sure, if you’re throwing down $100 on them. But if you keep it to $5 or $10 a week on players you’re already betting will score a TD then it’s a great way to, well, not go broke.

    Most of the issue with parlays breaking people is that people pull stupid shit out of the sky on Sunday morning. We’re essentially going to parlay college every week on this forum. The average track goer isn’t spending all week discussing the number 4 horse in race 3, like we would be here comparing CMC to Dalvin Cook.

    Not to bring up MMA again but most of the time you can’t have a big night in MMA without going 6-0 on your DFS lineup. May as well bet on yourself.

    Similarly, are you really setting an NFL DFS lineup with players you don’t think will score a TD? If so, why are you playing? On the off chance you nail it right and get a TD from 4+ players (let alone 7 or 8) you may put up 180 DFS points and still only min cash. Meanwhile if you add those 4 players to a small parlay at least you can potentially grab a few hundred extra dollars for $5 simply by your players performing the way your research told you they would.

    10 players is a bit lunacy. A 4 player TD only parlay? That’s totally doable.

    This is my EXACT thought process. And you know what? Last couple years you guys helped me in my daily fantasy lineup for my work league and the weeks where I did really well (which was almost half of the weeks) 5-6 of my players scored tds. So now imagine if I took that same logic and used those players in any score td parlay? The result is the same and I win a few hundred/even more than I would playing with my work friends. To me, if you’re betting on your daily fantasy players to go off, then those same players could be involved in your parlay.

  • infantryboys

    @thedkexperience said...

    Sure, if you’re throwing down $100 on them. But if you keep it to $5 or $10 a week on players you’re already betting will score a TD then it’s a great way to, well, not go broke.

    Most of the issue with parlays breaking people is that people pull stupid shit out of the sky on Sunday morning. We’re essentially going to parlay college every week on this forum. The average track goer isn’t spending all week discussing the number 4 horse in race 3, like we would be here comparing CMC to Dalvin Cook.

    Not to bring up MMA again but most of the time you can’t have a big night in MMA without going 6-0 on your DFS lineup. May as well bet on yourself.

    Similarly, are you really setting an NFL DFS lineup with players you don’t think will score a TD? If so, why are you playing? On the off chance you nail it right and get a TD from 4+ players (let alone 7 or 8) you may put up 180 DFS points and still only min cash. Meanwhile if you add those 4 players to a small parlay at least you can potentially grab a few hundred extra dollars for $5 simply by your players performing the way your research told you they would.

    10 players is a bit lunacy. A 4 player TD only parlay? That’s totally doable.

    Betting $5 or $10 on a parlay is no big deal. I come from a horse racing background and I know people who do nothing but bet exotics, and they can go through a bankroll with a quickness. I assume it’s the same way with sports betting and parlays, with some individuals.

  • deeebo

    Side note – Godwin is in concussion protocol

  • NDNole

    Movement on vegas to pickem for the eagles game. Maybe Sanders is gonna play? It started out -4 eagles then to -1 rams now at pickem.

  • thedkexperience

    @infantryboys said...

    Betting $5 or $10 on a parlay is no big deal. I come from a horse racing background and I know people who do nothing but bet exotics, and they can go through a bankroll with a quickness. I assume it’s the same way with sports betting and parlays, with some individuals.

    Oh for sure it is. I’m absolutely only advocating doing it with a small amount of money. I’ve been to plenty of horse races but I’ve never been good at it. When I go I’m dead money walking so yes, to your point, I’d go broke quickly trying to pull off trifectas at the track.

    A one off weekly bet on your DFS lineup, I like that much more because I’m really just betting that I’ve bet correctly on something I’ve spent thousands of hours watching in my life. It’s a bit apples to oranges.

  • thedkexperience

    @NDNole said...

    Movement on vegas to pikem for the eagles game. Maybe Sanders is gonna play? It started out -4 eagles then to -1 rams now at pickem.

    Schefter said an hour ago that “Sanders is on track to play” per my ESPN app.

  • squidkill

    Sir- I do not do any Parlays based on this forum-

    Also- I live in a state where sports betting is illegal. I abide by the law here.

  • deeebo

    @squidkill said...

    Sir- I do not do any Parlays based on this forum-

    Also- I live in a state where sports betting is illegal. I abide by the law here.

    I keep forgetting that sports betting is still illegal in most states. haha

  • mnstone14

    @thedkexperience said...

    Can anyone confirm if Russell Gage is good at football?

    well yes he is. but hes anywhere from the 3rd to 5th option, and more likely on the back end of that (meaning 4th or 5th). So decent gpp play.

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