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  • bhdevault

    • Lead Moderator

    • Blogger of the Month

    Thursday, September 24th
    8:20 PM EST : Miami ( 3 ) at Jacksonville ( -3 ) —- T: 45

    Sunday, September 27th
    1:00 PM EST : Tennessee ( -1.5 ) at Minnesota ( 1.5 ) —- T: 45.5
    1:00 PM EST : San Francisco ( -4 ) at NY Giants ( 4 ) —- T: 42.5
    1:00 PM EST : Chicago ( 3 ) at Atlanta ( -3 ) —- T: 47
    1:00 PM EST : Houston ( 5 ) at Pittsburgh ( -5 ) —- T: 45
    1:00 PM EST : Washington ( 6.5 ) at Cleveland ( -6.5 ) —- T: 44.5
    1:00 PM EST : Las Vegas ( 6.5 ) at New England ( -6.5 ) —- T: —
    1:00 PM EST : LA Rams ( 2.5 ) at Buffalo ( -2.5 ) —- T: 46.5
    1:00 PM EST : Cincinnati ( 6.5 ) at Philadelphia ( -6.5 ) —- T: 46
    4:05 PM EST : NY Jets ( 9.5 ) at Indianapolis ( -9.5 ) —- T: 44
    4:05 PM EST : Carolina ( 6 ) at LA Chargers ( -6 ) —- T: —
    4:25 PM EST : Detroit ( 6 ) at Arizona ( -6 ) —- T: 53
    4:25 PM EST : Tampa Bay ( -6 ) at Denver ( 6 ) —- T: 43.5
    4:25 PM EST : Dallas ( 3.5 ) at Seattle ( -3.5 ) —- T: —
    8:20 PM EST : Green Bay ( 4 ) at New Orleans ( -4 ) —- T: —

    Monday, September 28th
    8:15 PM EST : Kansas City ( 3 ) at Baltimore ( -3 ) —- T: 52.5

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts, troll posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted. While the use of GIF’s are acceptable, content must be posted along with them.

  • 33BeRad

    @Njsum1 said...

    You coulda worded that differently and given me a good laugh 😂

    HAHA! I should’ve put more thought into it!

  • 33BeRad

    @TomBradyBlueMamba said...

    Murray is facing the weakest D line, pass rush of his season. I won’t be surprised if this is his breakout throwing game, and with Kirk out… Hopkins gets all of the attention.

    Hopkins will also get the attention from Det def. Not sure if they will be able to stop him but this is a Patricia(Bellichek disciple) defense that likes to try to take out the number 1 option. One of the reasons that Drake is going to be so popular. You should be seeing some Isabella chatter as a deep tourney dart throw if Kirk is ruled out

  • BIF

    @synth said...

    Before I get into the week, does anyone know if this monkey knife fight is legit?

    Yup I cashed and withdrew a nice amount back in Jan-Feb before the shutdowns. They had a promo where they’d match your deposit up to a limit. I hit some nice NHL and PGA ones for 15x and 30x – took my winnings and WD.

    I haven’t felt the urge to buy back yet in with all the NFL stuff going on between DFS, season long and survivor pools I’m in.

  • MrFreeze53

    @BIF said...

    Yup I cashed and withdrew a nice amount back in Jan-Feb before the shutdowns. They had a promo where they’d match your deposit up to a limit. I hit some nice NHL and PGA ones for 15x and 30x – took my winnings and WD.

    I haven’t felt the urge to buy back yet in with all the NFL stuff going on between DFS, season long and survivor pools I’m in.

    Agreed, to they are legit.

  • JustDFSin

    @synth said...

    Before I get into the week, does anyone know if this monkey knife fight is legit?

    Its legit. You get better odds off of a sportsbook though. One down side is it takes a long time for a payout.if you win it takes 4 to 5 days for it to hit your account and they ask you to wait until its processed to make another withdrawal.

  • synth

    @BIF said...

    Yup I cashed and withdrew a nice amount back in Jan-Feb before the shutdowns. They had a promo where they’d match your deposit up to a limit. I hit some nice NHL and PGA ones for 15x and 30x – took my winnings and WD.

    I haven’t felt the urge to buy back yet in with all the NFL stuff going on between DFS, season long and survivor pools I’m in.

    Thanks!

  • yisman

    this season seems like more luck than usual

    obviously injuries are a part of the game but the frequency has increased, so cashing mostly comes down to “did you fade the guys in good spots who got hurt?” That was week 2, that’s for sure.

    I hear touts on shows congratulating themselves, and I think “congrats, you faded Adams, Perriman, Campbell, etc. and they got hurt. Great skill displayed.”

  • Njsum1

    @yisman said...

    this season seems like more luck than usual

    obviously injuries are a part of the game but the frequency has increased, so cashing mostly comes down to “did you fade the guys in good spots who got hurt?” That was week 2, that’s for sure.

    Yeah my favorite is when some yahoo comes onto the message board bragging how they had none of a player who got inured who was about to smash. Like they saw the injury coming.

  • Rickytango13

    @yisman said...

    this season seems like more luck than usual

    obviously injuries are a part of the game but the frequency has increased, so cashing mostly comes down to “did you fade the guys in good spots who got hurt?” That was week 2, that’s for sure.

    Week 2 was a “have “(player-popup #aaron-jones)Aaron Jones”:/players/aaron-jones-36871” type of week in my eyes. I min cashed a lineup with drake, David Johnson, Anthony Miller, slayton, and Mark Andrews combining for 28.7 points lol

  • Njsum1

    Don’t know if I want to put this out there, yet is Jonathon Taylor really a lock play at 7k on DK?

    Idk…I think I may go underweight here. Jets for some reason have a long history of playing the colts tough. And they don’t have a bad run Def. If you look at from certain angles.

    Singletary and Moss didn’t do much.

    Tevin Coleman got shut down. Mostert had a big game. And I don’t like to say take away his 80 yard run, cause it happened, but he only ran for 12 yards on his other 7 carries. And McKinnon got all his yards in a 3rd and 31 when the Jets were playing soft.

    If this at all turns into a game we might see more Hines. I’m not full fade, yet I’m not ready to anoint this guy yet, especially when there are cheaper plays in prime spots.

    OK, let me have it gents 😬

  • shades

    Hi Guys What happened here?At this time of the year their would be 50-60 pages to read to get input.Personally I still stop bye but everything is pay to play now and I do good enough without paying a service.Pretty sad to see the drop in posters.Cheers to the guys still here posting.I will join in shortly as we get a better feel for whats going on.Talk to you guys soon.Good Luck tonight and this weekend.Bob :))

  • Straightfire118

    @Njsum1 said...

    Don’t know if I want to put this out there, yet is Jonathon Taylor really a lock play at 7k on DK?

    Idk…I think I may go underweight here. Jets for some reason have a long history of playing the colts tough. And they don’t have a bad run Def. If you look at from certain angles.

    Singletary and Moss didn’t do much.

    Tevin Coleman got shut down. Mostert had a big game. And I don’t like to say take away his 80 yard run, cause it happened, but he only ran for 12 yards on his other 7 carries. And McKinnon got all his yards in a 3rd and 31 when the Jets were playing soft.

    If this at all turns into a game we might see more Hines. I’m not full fade, yet I’m not ready to anoint this guy yet, especially when there are cheaper plays in prime spots.

    OK, let me have it gents 😬

    Bruhhhh the colts are the biggest favorites on the board, they should be able to win with absolute ease. JT got 28 touches last week, with 20 touches this week and all the goal line work he should be the lock of all locks.

  • marker0357

    @Njsum1 said...

    Don’t know if I want to put this out there, yet is Jonathon Taylor really a lock play at 7k on DK?

    Idk…I think I may go underweight here. Jets for some reason have a long history of playing the colts tough. And they don’t have a bad run Def. If you look at from certain angles.

    Singletary and Moss didn’t do much.

    Tevin Coleman got shut down. Mostert had a big game. And I don’t like to say take away his 80 yard run, cause it happened, but he only ran for 12 yards on his other 7 carries. And McKinnon got all his yards in a 3rd and 31 when the Jets were playing soft.

    If this at all turns into a game we might see more Hines. I’m not full fade, yet I’m not ready to anoint this guy yet, especially when there are cheaper plays in prime spots.

    OK, let me have it gents 😬

    Colts/Bears fan here. Sadly, I think you are correct. Price is now too high for Mr. Taylor IMHO. I will still have some FOMO shares but I’m being careful not to overload on him this week.

  • wolfshield

    Russ should be 8000 – 8300 on DK. I’ll bite

  • JCappy

    @Njsum1 said...

    Don’t know if I want to put this out there, yet is Jonathon Taylor really a lock play at 7k on DK?

    Idk…I think I may go underweight here. Jets for some reason have a long history of playing the colts tough. And they don’t have a bad run Def. If you look at from certain angles.

    Singletary and Moss didn’t do much.

    Tevin Coleman got shut down. Mostert had a big game. And I don’t like to say take away his 80 yard run, cause it happened, but he only ran for 12 yards on his other 7 carries. And McKinnon got all his yards in a 3rd and 31 when the Jets were playing soft.

    If this at all turns into a game we might see more Hines. I’m not full fade, yet I’m not ready to anoint this guy yet, especially when there are cheaper plays in prime spots.

    OK, let me have it gents 😬

    There is no such thing as a lock in DFS. A guy like Josh Jacobs will get similar work to Taylor (if not more) and will not carry much ownership comparatively. There is a definite possibility that Taylor plays well and hits 20 points, while Jacobs goes ham for 30+.

    That being said — there is absolutely no problem with Taylor’s price and I would be willing to guess he will be higher next week. The Colts are the biggest favorites on the board. The Colts have one of the best offensive lines in the leagues. The Jets had PFF #31 defensive line pre season. The Jets cannot maintain possession of the ball. The Jets may quit on their coach. The Colts gave Taylor 26 carries in his 1st career start. The Colts have thrown the ball to Taylor 8 times out of the backfield.

    You can fade him. It make sense from a tournament perspective. I won’t. I will just hope that his ownership comes in lower than some are projecting.

  • hahaclintondicks

    so basically its gambling with extra steps?

  • BIF

    @yisman said...

    this season seems like more luck than usual

    obviously injuries are a part of the game but the frequency has increased, so cashing mostly comes down to “did you fade the guys in good spots who got hurt?” That was week 2, that’s for sure.

    I hear touts on shows congratulating themselves, and I think “congrats, you faded Adams, Perriman, Campbell, etc. and they got hurt. Great skill displayed.”

    Injuries are bad luck for sure and I know hindsight is 20/20 but I’ve commented a bunch on why A Jones was the better GB path last week

    Personally I hated Perriman; he has been a bad receiver most of his career besides a couple smash games with the Bucs last year when Evans and Godwin were hurt. I don’t know why you’d want to target the Niners D with the lowly Jets offense – the week before the Niners held a potent Cards offense to 24 so what was a Jets team with no Bell or Crowder going to do ?? The answer is a near-zero value.

    I had zero Campbell as my only Colts last week were Taylor and Allie-Cox; I faded him because it was Overreaction Week – sure Campbell had 9 targets in Week one but so did TY and Hines had 8 because Old man Rivers threw it 46 times in a loss – was he going to do that again or were they going to return Rivers to the check down guy he is by feeding Taylor and the TEs ?

    Not trying to be an ass and I miss on guys all the time too and get burnt by injuries but there were reasons to avoid those guys or limit exposure – i get it and I’ve lost guys to injury as I had about 20% Mack in Week 1 and 7% Saquon in Week 2 plus lots of guys who didn’t get hurt and busted on their own too – DFS is tough when you have 200+ playable guys to choose from

  • Njsum1

    @JCappy said...

    You can fade him. It make sense from a tournament perspective. I won’t. I will just hope that his ownership comes in lower than some are projecting

    My post wasnt calling for fade, just an underweight. I’ll definitely have some, just not over 20%.

  • TJRhodes

    Beast of the Week is Miles Sanders

  • fitz2k2

    Beast of the week is miles sanders

  • beare

    my fav two backs this week are sanders and taylor followed close by drake

  • Njsum1

    @Straightfire118 said...

    Bruhhhh the colts are the biggest favorites on the board, they should be able to win with absolute ease. JT got 28 touches last week, with 20 touches this week and all the goal line work he should be the lock of all locks.

    The 2nd/3rd biggest favorites are the chargers and Josh Kelley got 24 touches last week in a positive game script and he only costs 5k 🤷‍♂️ And he gets all the goaline work as well.

  • BIF

    @Njsum1 said...

    The 2nd/3rd biggest favorites are the chargers and Josh Kelley got 24 touches last week in a positive game script and he only costs 5k 🤷‍♂️ And he gets all the goaline work as well.

    True but the Panthers don’t (haven’t) given up much for goalline TDs. They’ve given up 6 rushing TDs and 4 of them have come from outside 5 yard line.

    They are a bad tackling team and have let teams get to the edge and turn it up field on them. Right now, Ekeler fits that bill as much or more than Kelley. Ekeler can do more damage on a per touch basis but both players have a great shot at each scoring a TD

  • synth

    One of the plays I’m going to be pretty overweight on this week is Mixon. The Eagles have been terrible against the run this year (279 yards + 4 tds against the hodgepodge of Gibson, Barber, Brown, Henderson). I like the price point as a slightly cheaper pivot off of Sanders and a slightly more expensive pivot off of Taylor. Think he’s going to be low owned with the matchup/touches to drop a couple reception, 100 total yard, td performance.

  • Agent47

    Regarding Jonathan Taylor, I’m planning on having some exposure, but I wouldn’t call him a lock IMHO. Ekeler also projects to see 20+ touches in a positive game script against a Panthers team that has been destroyed on the ground by Jacobs and Fournette over the first 2 weeks. I realized we’re only 2 weeks into the season, but the Jets rush DVOA is 3rd (Carolina is 29th). Outside of that 80-yard run by Mostert, they haven’t been getting totally gashed on the ground just yet. Drake will be popular as well but he is $1K less than Taylor with similar upside against a Detroit run defense that got annihilated by Jones last week.

    With Taylor and Ekeler being so popular, does Chubb get overlooked at a price point exactly in between those 2 guys? The Browns are 7-point favorites against a Washington defense that has been a pretty extreme run funnel through 2 weeks (1st in pass DVOA and 21st in rush DVOA).

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