NFL FORUM

Thursday, 10/10
8:20 PM EST : NY Giants ( 15.5 ) at New England ( -15.5 ) —- T: 44.5

Sunday, 10/13
9:30 AM EST : Carolina ( 1.5 ) at Tampa Bay ( -1.5 ) —- T: 47.5
1:00 PM EST : Philadelphia ( 3 ) at Minnesota ( -3 ) —- T: 44
1:00 PM EST : Seattle ( 2 ) at Cleveland ( -2 ) —- T: 47
1:00 PM EST : New Orleans ( -1 ) at Jacksonville ( 1 ) —- T: 45
1:00 PM EST : Houston ( 8.5 ) at Kansas City ( -8.5 ) —- T: 55
1:00 PM EST : Cincinnati ( 12 ) at Baltimore ( -12 ) —- T: 47.5
1:00 PM EST : Washington ( -3.5 ) at Miami ( 3.5 ) —- T: 41
4:05 PM EST : Atlanta ( -2.5 ) at Arizona ( 2.5 ) —- T: 51
4:05 PM EST : San Francisco ( 4 ) at LA Rams ( -4 ) —- T: 48.5
4:25 PM EST : Dallas ( -8.5 ) at NY Jets ( 8.5 ) —- T: 43.5
4:25 PM EST : Tennessee ( 2.5 ) at Denver ( -2.5 ) —- T: 40
8:20 PM EST : Pittsburgh ( 6 ) at LA Chargers ( -6 ) —- T: 43.5

Monday, 10/14
8:15 PM EST : Detroit ( 6 ) at Green Bay ( -6 ) —- T: 47

Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – NFL strategy talk for this weeks games. Post referring to last weeks games will be moved to last weeks NFL thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

Okay guys, this will be one of the few weeks this year you can have some Fins players in your player pool.

Just don’t go crazy.

Also, after what Carolina did to Jacksonville yesterday, and how well the Saints played against the Bucs.

That opening line of Saints (-1) seems really suspect.

Kamara is 8k on DK. I’m done overthinking stuff.

NFL DFS = NBA DFS. Just grab players from the game with the highest implied total and build around that. All the chalk is hitting this year, the lines are blurred when it comes to cash and GPP. What’s the difference at this point?

This week has so many good matchups to exploit. Going to be hard to decide which ones to play. We have enough data now to make really good decisions.

Jet DST only 1500. A good filler.

Mark Ingram… 100 yrd 2 TD. 1 catch 8 yrds….works for his price tag 🤷‍♂️

Following up on my too-cheap comment from yesterday, here are players who are getting “too much volume” for their price:

• Le’Veon Bell ($6400)

• Chris Carson ($6000)

• Phillip Lindsay ($5300)

• Carlos Hyde ($4400)

• Odell Beckham Jr ($6800)

• Robert Woods ($5600)

• Michael Gallup ($5600)

• DJ Chark ($5500)

• Austin Hooper ($5000)

I’ll come back later in the week and see who’s “actually” too cheap. These are just situation-ignoring volume plays atm

so, another great match up for Julio, I think I will just make several variations of this game to cover my bases
Arizona TE troubles…fire up Hooper
Falcons secondary sucks
forewarning to you all, if I am on this game, you fade it, it will end up a 17-10 defensive battle

Defensive match ups have been way too busy to take a dead spot in your lineup over ~$1500. I don’t think pricing is that tight that you’re better off trying to find 15 extra points with that salary at other positions instead of going for a juicy defense. If you “need” the savings it might work, but it seems like leaving points on the table when a defense inevitably puts up 20+ points

It was pointed out last slate that whatever issues ARI had with TEs may have been fixed.

Just a heads up before you go all in on Hooper.

Difficult to say since Eifert is terrible.

Hooper is a favorite target of Ryan regardless and that was Dalton/Eifert
he missed him wide open in the end zone once that I saw for sure

For 5 weeks I have said at some point Will Dissly has to slow down. 5 weeks I was wrong. Actually watched the rams vs seahawks and came away thinking he is integral to what they do on offense. I wont be voluntarily fading him anymore. I think dissly will be a good play this week because I still think TE vs Cleveland is a thing though I don’t have the exact stats to back it up and even if its not a thing, I know russ is gonna try to get dissley the ball down the field which I gold for TE.

Disclosure: The mere fact I am now playing dislly means he may get one target for 1 yard.

Seems DK really loves these ultra high cash lines.

Minshew 5k
Chark 5.5k
Ertz 5.6k
Thielen 6.7k
DJ if he is healthy 7.6k
AP 4.5k vs Miami
Drake 4.4k vs Redskins

Mixon 5.5k might not hit this week but soon.

I’m sad I thought Bradberry was going to shadow Chark otherwise 50% of my CMC lineups would have brought it back with Chark.

I am happy there is no CMC on main slate, doing research and having a process might actually be useful this week! Never again do I want to go in to the late games with a 200 point cash team and worried I’m going to not cash.

I agree.

Thank god CMC is not on main. I would’ve played him this week and I 100% know he would’ve busted.

I think we have enough data to start saying we can run it down KC throat and try to play keep away. Carlos Hyde should be in the discussion as a good play. If he gets 20 carries I see a good game out of him. My only problem is he is on the road for this one. Thoughts? Does it even matter vs that horrible run D?

Made some quick lineups and all were JAX/NO stacks.

Minshew/Chark/Kamara/Thomas
Teddy/Thomas/Fournette/Chark

Might sprinkle in some Westbrook.

Also liking Goff so will probably do the obligatory monarch stacks

Goff/Kupp/Woods/Kittle
Goff/Kupp/Cooks/Kittle
Goff/Woods/Cooks/Kittle

I would add AP to your list with Gruden getting fired and Bill C. taking over as interim. Old school coach who’s already been working with the O-line all year

TJRhodes 

I think its about time for Robert Woods to get his TD wise.

I like it. I also think this is a Hopkins get right week after the Fuller onslaught.

TJRhodes 

Im also with ya on Hopkins. I just cant fit him into my build. This week im not doing many lineups since I got spanked this weekend. I had a bunch of the right players in my player pool but I tried to get cute and pivoted last minute. This week its back to basics and D Hop is def in the player pool for me but lineup construction on my end leaves him no room. I’l play around with it a bit to see if I can get him in one because he is definitely due and now fuller will free him up some since he went off.

How chalky is that Houston/KC game looking right now?

Gotta love ESPN sometimes. They just did a short piece with the tagline, Is Wentz back to MVP-form?

Underneath were his stats from yesterday. 17/29, 189yds, and 1 TD

Those don’t even remotely resemble MVP like numbers.