Hey guys, so I’ve been getting more regularly involved with NHL this year. I’ve been doing very well with skaters but have been particularly flummoxed by goalies.
1. Is there merit to paying up in cash like with SP in baseball?
2. If model prefers a player going against your goalie in cash, is this a problem? (Medium and large slates only)
Given the variance and often minimal difference in projections between goalies of significantly different pricing, I have a tough time justifying paying up unless there are some real bargains elsewhere and just happen to have the extra cash or they have an ideal matchup – even then it still feels like a coin flip.
Then let’s say I view MacKinnon as top C but he’s priced as 5th but then I also really like the goalie he’s facing. Do I scratch one or stick with it. For GPPs it’s pretty obvious but in cash it seems rather overly optimistic to be avoid optimal baselines out of fear MacKinnon gets a hat trick and your goalie gets pulled or MacKinnon gets shutout but Malkin who was same price gets a hat trick. Obviously these are what we look for in GPPs but in cash, wouldn’t it be better to just accept that nearly all goalies are going to let in 2-3 goals each night so you shouldn’t get too worried if one goalie let’s in 3 goals for 10 points and 2 were from MacKinnon vs a pivot goalie doing 3 goals for 9 points or a pivot C getting one goal.
I often think about this, I’m sure others have too. Would love to hear how others treat their cash lineups in these situations or if they just split em up.