If you had to give it to a newcomer, what’s one piece of advice you’d give?
I would tell a newcomer to avoid being too devoted to your ideas. I saw a comment in another thread. The poster said that DFS players tend to have an inflated sense of their own abilities, and I think there’s some truth to that. Whenever we get a win we can become intoxicated with that success.
The truth is that everyone of every level of success in this hobby gets things wrong. I think the more successful can accept being wrong as an opportunity to improve methodologies and research applications, or in some cases noticing where variance just got the best of you. Even when you’ve fallen victim to variance, you can never be so sure of something that you’re willing to stick to it in spite of whatever empirical evidence might suggest you’re wrong. Embrace being wrong as a chance to improve.