STRATEGY FORUM

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  • Yahoo302

    Sup grinders.
    We all have fangraphs, we all have access to pretty much the same stats, and we all pretty much know how to leverage those stats.
    If so, what can be the edge to consistently win in cash games?
    Would love to hear anyone’s and everyone’s opinion:)
    Keep grinding.

  • noddy

    You have to think outside the box in cash games these days. Just my opinion.

  • Yahoo302

    @noddy said...

    You have to think outside the box in cash games these days. Just my opinion.

    Interesting thought. Can be very -EV though

  • Jvanspro

    @Yahoo said...

    Interesting thought. Can be very -EV though

    I don’t agree with this. With that said the biggest edge is lineup construction.

  • Yahoo302

    The reason i think it’s -EV is because you can’t think outside the box for the sole purpose of thinking outside the box. If you have a reason for the play(s), then ya, of course it’s not -EV

  • Jvanspro

    @Yahoo said...

    The reason i think it’s -EV is because you can’t think outside the box for the sole purpose of thinking outside the box. If you have a reason for the play(s), then ya, of course it’s not -EV

    That makes more sense.

  • Cpjttogether

    Somebody has a edge because my win percent is 31 so I guess the people beating me are 69 percent.

  • Yombo

    really dont enjoy cash games, feels like inflated ownership and if you dont have one of the obvious chalk spots it really hurts

    i’m basically down to 1-3 GPP entries from anywhere from 9 to 40 bucks and just hitting every couple days til you get something big, really have had some strong cashes like this and I kind of have the mantra of ‘staying afloat’ til you have a good one and rinse/repeat

    I don’t have the time to dedicate to every slate like others do, so i think you lose some edge that way, but at the end of the day, A LOT of it is luck based and people often are unwilling to accept that in DFS

    when I roster a lineup with 7 dongs, gotta take a step back and think about just how lucky that actually was

  • FoulDong

    My approach for cash games is quick and easy. I pick my pitchers first. Takes less than twenty seconds and you get to avoid tiresome research that doesn’t mean shit at the end of the day. For two pitcher sites, I take the most expensive pitcher and either the 3rd or 4th most expensive depending on matchup. Couple exceptions. I never roster any pitcher against the Braves. I never roster Yankees pitchers on the road. This approach let’s me not research for hours and then feel like an idiot when it doesn’t work out. The best comment I’ve read on Rotogrinders was someone saying something to the effect of “Every lineup looks fire until the end of the night when they all just suck ass”. Forgot who posted that but it summed up DFS in one brilliant sentence.

  • theseige

    • 2015 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    • x2

      2016 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    Marco Estrada was 15%… plenty of edge left

  • BigA

    I’m starting to think this whole research thing is a tad bit overblown to a certain point. On the daily I do my homework. K% etc on pitchers. All the batter stats and pretty much feel like what fouldong an idiot. Case in point I had a freeroll on fd sat and pretty did no research except on pitchers and just browsing through some lineups and posted my highest score at 227. Of course this was a night I didn’t think I would have the time to do enough research so I didn’t enter anything else.

  • Yahoo302

    @theseige said...

    Marco Estrada was 15%… plenty of edge left

    One of worst takes I’ve ever seen tbh

  • theseige

    • 2015 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    • x2

      2016 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @Yahoo said...

    One of worst takes I’ve ever seen tbh

    you are reading this backwards

  • madmanjayWV

    @Yahoo said...

    The reason i think it’s -EV is because you can’t think outside the box for the sole purpose of thinking outside the box. If you have a reason for the play(s), then ya, of course it’s not -EV

    But what if sometimes the play is NOT IAN HAPP but JAVIER BAEZ at 2nd base? how is that -EV?
    It’s all relative BS IMO ——- all that matters are the results..and if u went with the SHEEP not long ago with HAPP the sexy CASH GAME PICK instead of BAEZ who hit a GRAND SLAM….well, then, sorry 2 hear that….

  • madmanjayWV

    P.S. — it also helps to have a phat bankroll and play both Happ/Baez in different roster constructions……

  • DSofM

    • 260

      RG Overall Ranking

    • Ranked #46

      RG Tiered Ranking

    • 2020 NASCAR Live Finalist

    • Blogger of the Month

    @madmanjayWV said...

    P.S. — it also helps to have a phat bankroll and play both Happ/Baez in different roster constructions……

    Honestly the only way to win in DFS is to have a lot of money. Last year I got a loan for $10,000 and I haven’t stopped winning since. Try it out yourself! :)

  • Jvanspro

    Getting a loan to gamble with isn’t the smartest move. I’m glad it worked out for you though.

  • Cpjttogether

    It is certainly easier in all forms of investing to succeed if you have a big bankroll. But can also be more devastating if you lose.

  • Yahoo302

    @madmanjayWV said...

    But what if sometimes the play is NOT IAN HAPP but JAVIER BAEZ at 2nd base? how is that -EV?
    It’s all relative BS IMO ——- all that matters are the results..and if u went with the SHEEP not long ago with HAPP the sexy CASH GAME PICK instead of BAEZ who hit a GRAND SLAM….well, then, sorry 2 hear that….

    EV means expected value. Which means being positive in the long run. If the play is NOT Ian Happ, then he is not the play, but it’s not all relative. And all that matters is the PROCESS, not the results, because in the long run, your results will be dependant on how good your process is.

  • BigA

    @Yahoo said...

    One of worst takes I’ve ever seen tbh

    I agree. Check yesterdays pitching primer and we can see who had the edge..

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