NFL FORUM

Comments

  • rannas23

    Does anyone else think there will be more overlays this nfl season? I looked at Thursday nights contest and seen a couple on Draftkings. I don’t play on Fanduel anymore so can’t comment on that site. Looks like there will probably be some on Sunday unless they dramatically fill up over the next 24 hours. I wonder when creating their contests size they used the same model as previous years. With certain new state restrictions, new max entry limits and restrictions, and more people not playing as much could create more overlays this season. Does anyone have some good experiences in the past with entering overlay contests and coming out ahead?

  • sochoice

    • 2017 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2017 FanDuel WFFC Champion

    No there will not be. Week one is the best chance for overlay and that probably happened already Thursday night. Sites generally do a good job of filling contests over 90% of the time.

  • infantryboys

    Yahoo had some incredible overlay Thursday night, especially with their single entry GPPs. Their $5 single entry GPP was barely 40% full.

    Looking at the Sunday contests I expect more overlay unless entries pick up dramatically.

  • walkoff9

    This week? Maybe

    This season? No way

    Even if interest is way down, which i do not expect at all, the sites will simply adjust as we go along.

  • bigez952

    Week 1 is the only chance at any overlay. Contests will start getting smaller next week and continue that trend throughout the season as bad players stop playing due to being out of money.

  • Roma315

    Which contest are you looking at? All GPPs I am in from Thursday didn’t fill but there is not overlay. Please know overlay and filled contest are two different things.

  • yisman

    There was some overlay on DK but not as much as people think. The big pick’em had a lot of open spots but there wasn’t overlay.

    Yahoo was the place that had some serious overlay.

    the multi-entry yahoo ones had less overlay
    single entry had major overlay
    https://sports.yahoo.com/dailyfantasy/contest/2009912/40622110
    https://sports.yahoo.com/dailyfantasy/contest/2012638/40622135
    https://sports.yahoo.com/dailyfantasy/contest/2009911/40622147
    https://sports.yahoo.com/dailyfantasy/contest/2009910/40622181

    Here are the DK contests that wound up with overlay

    I omitted contests with no overlay that didn’t fill (many think anything that doesn’t fill is overlay), casual/beginner contests and contests where one more entrant would’ve resulted in underlay (this happens with high dollar ones often, there was a 1k+ buyin with 9/10 entered).

    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43751417
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43803640
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43751426
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43751418
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43779536
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43779533
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43776114
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43776115
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43779439
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43779438
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43768097
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43768096

  • tomac

    This is standard week 1 practice, and I’m fairly certain its done purposefully by the sites.

  • TeamTwerk

    I feel like DK was more cautious with MLB and NBA this season than in past seasons. Overly cautious with contests filling hours early day after day. Hopefully that trend won’t carry over to football as the season goes on .

  • infantryboys

    Single/limited entry contests are the best places to find overlay in the minutes leading up to lock. Some of the big multi-entry contests fill up fast with whales dumping in lots of LUs quickly before lock.

  • 2Slik

    Overlay draws in sharks and is a quick way to lose money if you aren’t on top of your game.

  • 2Slik

    And if Yahoo opened back up to Florida they’d be a lot more profitable. They were the first DFS site I used.

  • mambaland

    overlay is like bidding on ebay in the last 30 seconds 1000 people are standing by ready to hit enter..i have seen the screen go from upcoming to live and have an extra 500 spots gone when it refreshes

  • waiverwire

    We had some pretty massive overlay in our $28 tournament on DRAFT last night.

    We’re looking at more overlay today in our $100 Dream Team GPP (short rosters, like salary cap without the salary cap). That’s a single entry $100 buy-in contest that’s currently at 19/56. Since it’s single entry and we don’t have a really massive user base yet, it’s hard to imagine that filling.

    Note: You will not be able to see this contest on the desktop/web site. You’ll need to use either the iOS or Android app to enter it (another reason it likely won’t fill).

    P.S. The $1,000 buy-in is also 3/8 right now. Guessing that won’t fill either, although harder to predict where it’ll end up

  • Lathum

    FD had massive overlay day 1 of baseball this year and the next day went ultra conservative. Looks like the DK 5 mil will have a pretty big overlay.

  • yisman

    tons of overlay today at DK. I ran out of time to join because I too busy clicking at yahoo and fantasydraft

    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43229171
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43412810
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43233808
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43485267
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43452318
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43751417
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43231804

    and a lot more

  • yisman

    Just finished compiling a more complete list. Staggering.

    Must’ve been around $50k worth of overlay on DK alone, and there was plenty on the other sites as well.

    I omitted casual/beginner contests (those always overlay) and contests where one more entrant would’ve made it an underlay.

    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43229171
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43233808
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43485267
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43452318
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43233810
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44270925
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43233812
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43233822
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43231457
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43231802
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43233823
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43231454
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43608074
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43751417
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43233809
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43231804
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43231807
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43751430
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44284437
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43751426
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43751419
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43231798
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43231846
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44219195
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43231805
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43231799
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43779536
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43779533
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44115259
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44184696
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44189800
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43857546
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43556069
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43548346
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43556070
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43556067
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43556068
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44115266
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43548343
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44108427
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43779438
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43768097
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43768096
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/43768120
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44213049
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44111618
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44111619

  • yisman

    week 2:

    some overlay at yahoo

    none at DK, unless you count this satellite for soccer https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44538546

    none at fantasydraft

    (full week 2 slate)

  • yisman

    my week 2 story

    I again missed out on the DK overlay. This time I had my lineups ready (I actually did last week too) but I spotted the bracket madness qualifier only had 7/10 entered with a minute to go. I couldn’t just quick click enter from the lineups page because it wasn’t going to use my ticket for some reason. It was going to use $1,000, which I definitely didn’t want to do.

    So I had to go to the tickets page and redeem it manually, which chewed up a minute, which cost me the chance to enter the overlay. To make matters worse, the qualifier filled.

    here was the overlay

    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44426637
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44463045
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44463044
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44664142
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44426628
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44365646
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44380236
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44504668
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44427903
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44380965

  • yisman

    week 3 thursday:

    I had to leave before NFL lock so I couldn’t play, but:

    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44846786
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44846784
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44883134
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44882248
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44886694
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44883951
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44882952
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44934394
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/45117466
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44935745
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44884577
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44684504
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44934397
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/45117128
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/45121469
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44894336
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/45123751
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/45117267

    so much because they had multiple slates. thu-mon, thu-sun am…

  • yisman

    Week 3 Sunday

    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44881020
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44956537
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44953998
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44945943
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44935745
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44952316
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/44954405

  • Acc123

    Hey guys, newbie here. Whats overlay and sharks…I think I through context, but a short explaination would be great.

    4th year playing fantasy, 2nd year playing dfs…trying to actually make money this time.

  • IronMonkey415

    Sharks = The Pro, The good players, the one that plays $1000+ every night. Enter in the max lineups.

  • Acc123

    Thanks

  • yisman

    everything on yahoo and DK filled today

    DK filled the milly maker like an hour before lock

    virtually all the big DK contests have 15% rake or higher.

  • yisman

    very little in Week 7 (and they were satellites)

    got in this one:

    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/46789118

    was not able to get in:
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/46854935
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/46804524
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/46804525
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/46804519
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/46804518
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/46804517

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