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  • PuddinCheeks

    • Blogger of the Month

    Quicken Loans National

    • Congressional CC (Blue)(Par71) • Bethesda, MD
    • June 23rd – June 26th

    Event Websites
    Quicken Loans National
    PGA Tour Quicken Loans

    Past Quicken Loans National champions and sites

    • 2015 – Troy Merritt(-18), Cut(-2); Robert Trent Jones Golf Club, Gainesville, Va.(Par 71)
    • 2014 – Justin Rose(-4), Cut(+3); Congressional Country Club, Bethesda, Md.(Par 71)
    • 2013 – Bill Haas(-12), Cut(+3); Congressional Country Club, Bethesda, Md.(Par 71)
    • 2012 – Tiger Woods(-8), Cut(+6); Congressional Country Club, Bethesda, Md.(Par 71)
    • 2011 – Nick Watney(-13), Cut(+3); Aronimink Golf Club, Newtown Square, Pa.(Par 70)
    • 2010 – Justin Rose(-10), Cut(+3); Aronimink Golf Club, Newtown Square, Pa.(Par 70)
    • 2009 – Tiger Woods(-13), Cut(+2); Congressional Country Club, Bethesda, Md.(Par 70)
    • 2008 – Anthony Kim(-12), Cut(+3); Congressional Country Club, Bethesda, Md.(Par 70)
    • 2007 – K.J. Choi(-9), Cut(+4); Congressional Country Club, Bethesda, Md.(Par 70)

    You can see that Congressional was changed from Par 70 to Par 71 in 2012 so keep that in mind when doing history research.

    Links:
    Ownership Reports
    JimKronlund $10 50/50

  • davidkyle

    @fabuluslife said...

    My only dogleg-B. An, Harman, Lovemark (surprised at the 20.2% ownership, oh well), Molinari, Steele, and Streelman. Love streelmans ownership at 6%. Hope this rain dosent kill him off the tee.

    may I ask why do you like Molinari? Going through teams this morning I saw a couple of the sharks like Daut44 had him. I’m just not seeing anything in his stats that makes him worthy in my opinion.

  • BillionaireBank

    Here’s my problem with trusting Stats – look at Rickie Fowler. He’s tops in how many stat categories and he misses how many cuts?

  • smallANDflaccid

    @davidkyle said...

    may I ask why do you like Molinari? Going through teams this morning I saw a couple of the sharks like Daut44 had him. I’m just not seeing anything in his stats that makes him worthy in my opinion.

    If their model heavily weighs cuts made, either directly, or as part of a point probability calculation, it should put him higher than you would expect (than if you didn’t).

  • davidkyle

    @BillionaireBank said...

    Here’s my problem with trusting Stats – look at Rickie Fowler. He’s tops in how many stat categories and he misses how many cuts?

    but recent form stats were a big part of my model which is the main reason I faded Fowler.

  • HunkerToe

    @BillionaireBank said...

    Here’s my problem with trusting Stats – look at Rickie Fowler. He’s tops in how many stat categories and he misses how many cuts?

    He doesn’t usually miss many cuts, just recently. I used him some hoping he can get back to the form that got him those great stats in the first place. Seems like a good course for him to do that. Hopefully lol.

  • BrianVT

    Castro kicks-off my LUs with a bogey

  • th3goat84

    @BillionaireBank said...

    It’s so nice to have shot tracker back.

    Exactly. I prefer looking at Shot Tracker and only having 2 hours of Golf Coverage, and the rest showing LPGA and Legend of Bagger Vance.

  • davidkyle

    @smallANDflaccid said...

    If their model heavily weighs cuts made, either directly, or as part of a point probability calculation, it should put him higher than you would expect (than if you didn’t).

    That has to be it. Thanks for pointing that out. . I didn’t put too much weight into that. Focused on specifics to the course. Interestingly enough, last time he played Congressional he missed the cut.

  • reeses

    Bud Cauley just WD on the 10th tee. bizarre

  • choppadown

    My single drive the green lineup:

    Roberto Castro 14.7%
    Rickie Fowler 18.7%
    Billy Hurley 3.2%
    Francesco Molinari 7.2%
    Daniel Summerhays 21.1%
    Hudson Swafford 13.5%

    Surprised to see Summerhays over 21.1%, had him clocked in at ~14%. Probably lack of well known names this week or something.

  • BillionaireBank

    Bud Cauley will be withdrawing.

  • JimKronlund

    f^^K Cauley WD
    on 1 of my $33 teams bloody hell.

  • mschu1213

    DId he tee off or wd before?

  • BrianVT

    @BillionaireBank said...

    Here’s my problem with trusting Stats – look at Rickie Fowler. He’s tops in how many stat categories and he misses how many cuts?

    Yep. This is why this might be my last weekend of messing with DFS golf for awhile. I have not been able to find any true correlations between stats and results for about the last two months. Reason being – it’s golf. Golf is the most difficult sport on our planet to be consistent and successful at. I’d say golf for DFS is probably the closest to gambling out of all of them. I think having a completely random LU generator that just finds mixed LUs between 49.5-50k salary and maxes out the multi-entry limits (which I’ve never done) gives you just as good an opportunity of cashing out than building any sort of optimizer or algorithm based on golf stats. One putt, one errant drive or approach, and your guy could miss the cut. Don’t get me wrong, I think it’s fun (creating and watching your guys all weekend), but when I haven’t cashed-out enough to cover all my entry fees for about 5 weeks straight, I just don’t see the point of putting much effort in it anymore. Of course, this weekend could change everything!

  • peachfuzz

    • Blogger of the Month

    Did Ricky Barnes WD?

  • davidkyle

    @peachfuzz said...

    Did Ricky Barnes WD?

    yes

  • steelcitydozer

    Bogeying 1st hole is good right …

  • smallANDflaccid

    Re the stats talk:
    Weighted randoms, still random.

    Consecutive weighted random draws behave in ways that our brains don’t seem to find intuitive.

  • BrianVT

    @steelcitydozer said...

    Bogeying 1st hole is good right …

    Yes, it helps get rid of the heebie jeebies

  • BillionaireBank

    @BrianVT said...

    Yep. This is why this might be my last weekend of messing with DFS golf for awhile. I have not been able to find any true correlations between stats and results for about the last two months. Reason being – it’s golf. Golf is the most difficult sport on our planet to be consistent and successful at. I’d say golf for DFS is probably the closest to gambling out of all of them. I think having a completely random LU generator that just finds mixed LUs between 49.5-50k salary and maxes out the multi-entry limits (which I’ve never done) gives you just as good an opportunity of cashing out than building any sort of optimizer or algorithm based on golf stats. One putt, one errant drive or approach, and your guy could miss the cut. Don’t get me wrong, I think it’s fun (creating and watching your guys all weekend), but when I haven’t cashed-out enough to cover all my entry fees for about 5 weeks straight, I just don’t see the point of putting much effort in it anymore. Of course, this weekend could change everything!

    I totally agree. And I struggled with this for a long time until I came to the realization that shit happens and I can’t get upset that one errant drive can cause a golfer to lose confidence and confound his mistakes. But once I started focusing more on recent form and totally threw out stats I started performing significantly better in cash lineups; GPPs are still my achilles’ heel.

  • peachfuzz

    • Blogger of the Month

    @davidkyle said...

    yes

    When the crap did that happen?

    I totally missed that.

  • th3goat84

    Thank God only got Bud in 1 LU

  • billholler

    @achesley711 said...

    Damn I forgot to check for withdrawals yesterday, now 2 out of 6 are ruined w/Wilcox. I’m sure the other 5 on those teams will crush it now.

    I posted his WD on Tuesday

  • kia12345678

    Keep it up Kim

  • BrianVT

    @peachfuzz said...

    Did Ricky Barnes WD?

    Great, and then there’s that. Luckily, only had him in 1 LU

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