I’ve started to get into PGA (previously knew next to nothing about golf), and one thing I’ve noticed is a small deviation in player value; there just typically aren’t any very obvious value plays in a given week.
I think that’s the case for two reasons. First, golf is an individual sport, so there are no backups. There are very clear value situations in NBA and NFL when a player gets hurt; a backup gets starter minutes or touches and becomes a must-play in many instances. Second (and related), outside of making/missing the cut, there aren’t really changes in opportunity/role like in other sports (such as a No. 7 hitter moving up to the leadoff spot).
Because of this, I think it increases the value of being contrarian in GPPs. The argument against being contrarian is that you have to give up value – sometimes too much, as in the case of fading a very clear punt in basketball, for example – but in golf, the values are so close that the ownership percentages we see on the top guys might not be justified. The volatility of the sport contributes to that, too.