I have played DFS now for about 3 years. I am mostly a very small stakes, single entry GPP player. Over the 3 years I have lost more money then I have won. Roughly around $160 for each year. Now I know most people will immediately say you need to also mix in cash games with your play and use bankroll management. Which I have read a lot about and have tried over the past few years of playing. Some how I always find myself playing way to much during the NFL season. Probably since it’s a much shorter window.
When I build my LU’s I look at various different stats for teams and players. But I always seem to wind up paying some website for projections, articles, recommended picks and the like. My question is by doing that am I not really getting better as a player? And do I need to really dig deeper in researching the sports themselves for a better chance at winning consistently?
Is it worth my time to try to create my own data models and projections instead of jumping from one site to the next trying to find one that works best for me? I have read a bunch of older threads here on the RG forum and most people say creating models of their own is a tough task and it could take a while or even never happen that the model is very successful.
Overall I do enjoy playing DFS because it gives me way more knowledge about the players themselves and I have a vested interest to now follow not just my hometown team but the entire league. I guess I am just curious as to what other small stakes players or even those who play say $100-$200 a night do when they go about creating their LU’s? How difficult would it be to create my own projections at the least?