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  • Champ

    Hi All,

    Was hoping you could help me with a few things. What are the best ways to become successful at MLB DFS? I am coming off a strong NBA season, and have heard that MLB is not even close to NBA in terms of variance, construction, etc.
    So I wanted to ask a few questions, and was hoping you guys could help. All help is greatly appreciated.

    1) What kinds of websites do you visit to construct your lineups? For example, in the NBA I use rotowire for my starting lineups, RG among others for reserach, and Twitter for the up to second news feeds. Is it the same in the MLB?
    2) What should a solid bankroll management strategy be? Assuming I have $5k, I generally play 6-7% a night in NBA, but I know MLB is a lot more variable, so was curious here.
    3) What are the most important stats for MLB? (Ex. NBA is usage trends, momentum, etc.)

  • madmanjayWV

    The stock response is to check out the free courses available here and that’s a good idea…Pretty sure there is still a lot of free info here on RG where you could learn a lot…Also might be advisable to sign up for some incentives….overall, some pretty sharp minds here at RG.

    Stay active on twitter is a good one — someone at one point last year had a list of a lot of the MLB beat writers and a slew of other cats (Industry gurus, etc) who are advisable to follow…..

    The first thing you need to do if you are a true newbie to MLB is learn the player pool — study the rosters of every team and try to get a feel for things. I think the best website for that is rosterresource.com —- I’m a big believer in baseballpress.com, which shows lineups for the day, bullpen usage and other stuff. My other site I like to go to daily is dailybaseballdata.com — also probably should bookmark mlbstartingnine.com —- that should get you started…

    I’ll defer your ? #2 to the sharps here in the forums b/c I’m a GPP guy, but I’d stick close to the same plan as you have in NBA most likely…don’t be afraid to try various games like 3-man — or make your own $2/$5 (or higher) 7-11-13-17 man and have top 1/3 get paid out……

    As far as #3 most important stats? I try not to get too caught up in stats, b/c it can cause nightmares. People tend to play “hot players” and stack against crap ball or cold pitchers…..peeps will play to the park factors (i.e. SCORES FIELD)..etc…

    It also really, really depends for MLB if you are going to be a ONE LINEUP guy or make multiple LUs…if that’s the case and you play on FD where there is only one pitcher, you better not screw up your starter unless it’s a cheap bum flier b/c it’s not always easy to make up points with your hitters when your SP bombs. It’s even worse when you pay a premium and your “ace” sucks, but that’s DFS in general!

  • KindGuy

    Here they come!

  • madmanjayWV

    Quality help there ^^^^^^^ who is THEY? Looks like CHAMP more than holds his own in NBA — I’m sure he’ll be fine in ole BEISBOL

  • Champ

    guarantee you in 2 months I will smack you around in beisbol elementas

  • Champ

    but thanks for all the info madman

  • kasper

    The swings can be crazy in MLB. As you noted, the variance is much higher. And, if you think about it, it makes sense why: baseball is actually a sport whose stats are built around the idea of “not being as bad as the other guy.” In other words, a really good batting average still means you’re out 70 out of 100 times at the plate. The lineup page here in RG is pretty good in terms of keeping an eye on any lineup changes.

    I’d also say that baseball is a much more complex DFS sport than NBA, so take that for what it’s worth.

    Until you get the swing of things, perhaps a 3% bankroll per night wouldn’t be bad, based on your current comfort/experience levels with MLB?

    Just my two cents.

  • Sgtorion23

    thanks for sharing.

  • Thomas21

    1. I use the RotoGrinders lineup page. Regarding if lineups are the same as NBA, not even close. Usually a teams lineup will come out 2-3 hours before their game starts and it won’t change except for very rare circumstances. There are teams that will post their lineup after the first game locks but that’s what late swap is for.
    2. Since MLB is a 162 game grind fest, I’d say you should be playing about 1-3% of your bankroll each night.
    3. The most important stats for baseball are: For Hitters: WOBA, ISO, BABIP, Flyball rate, Groundball rate. For Pitchers: K%-BB%, FIP, SIERA, BABIP

  • EadesScience

    Champ…I like to gang up on terrible pitching and Homerun ballparks. Those two variables have been successful for me. And, keep in mind they have been successful for lots of other people as well, thus expect ownership to be high using this criteria. Some folks seem to avoid the 6-9 batting order. Take advantage of this as ownership is typically lower.

    Twitter for me is not as big a factor as it was in basketball, but I use it as well.

    Ricky

  • DefinitelyMiami

    @Champ said...

    guarantee you in 2 months I will smack you around in beisbol elementas

    more like 2-3 days

  • Champ

    Thank u all so much

  • Champ

    Where can you find stats like Flyball rate and groundball rate? I was curious if there was a website that lays it all out for you

  • Roma315

    Just do research. After a week of the new season if you pay attention you can find the right under the radar guys to help you win.
    I typically stay away from the top aces unless they are in a too juicy to miss game.
    Teams with good players will have bad games and weeks.
    Also look for places to save and still get good points. Yesterday I saved some money by pivoting off Kersaw (52 points FD, 12,600) and going with Synergaard (43 points FD 11,100) which allowed me to get some better hitters in.

  • myb821

    @Champ said...

    Thank u all so much

    You have to get used to fangraphs.com they have most of the stats you are going to look for

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