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  • Bulbus2

    I understand I run the risk of sounding like a moron here but here goes anyway:

    If a player is projected to score 0.7 TD in a game, what percentage of games will he score a TD in and how is this calculated? Does the formula stay the same if a player is projected to score more than 1 TD in a game, for example a player is projected to score 1.2 TD in a game?

    Thanks!

  • TheSanction

    StarsDraft Rep

    It would surprise me if the .7 was translatable directly to a probability. Unless the factors are set by hand and are intended to be probabilities, .7 is simply some projected production based on math applied to the player’s historical performance… so to keep it simple, one might say a players TDs scored in the coming game is predicted as the average TDs he’s scored over the last 10 games. If he’s scored 7 TDs in the last 10 games, doing the math this way would project him at .7 TDs.

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