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  • youngcatx21

    Rough week…

    I’m new to dfs this year and have had great beginners luck probably because of this website guiding me, cashing in on a good portion of all my games from week1 until week 6, then week 7 happened lol. If I’m lucky I will be cashing in on 20% off my games. my question is how do you bounce back mentally after a tough week. Is it business as usual or do you take a different approach? I’m definitely ready to get it going for week 8 already but for sure don’t want to make the same mistakes from week 7.
  • Ravenfan

    I usually go back and look at my risk levels I was taking. As an example, now that I think about it, going with Foles was probably too risky. Eli tonight actually had a better matchup and has better receivers than Foles. Also he is in an offense that is less likely to rely on a RB (Jacobs/ and now Hillis) vs. McCoy. In the end there was a lot of considerations to push the scale in favor of Eli (plus he was cheaper on most sites). You have to be careful how much you buy into the “hype” from fantasy football chat about players for a certain week, sometimes it’s better to fade them and let others take the risk.

  • jimfred82

    • Blogger of the Month

    it’s all a cycle. if your picks were solid picks and flopped, there’s nothing you can do. things even out over time as long as you stay consistent (sort of like playing blackjack correctly… if you make the right move every time, things will go your way eventually!).

    keep your head up!

  • barro

    Stay the course….

    It was a weird week.
    The problem this week was all the cute plays came thru.
    Harry D and boykins came up very big even though metrics point the other way but most lay players probably picked one or both.

  • jecarl2

    Have a short memory-especially when playing guys that burned you the week before. At some point the law of averages will kick in. It sucks getting burned by a player and then not using him the next week when he goes off.

  • diecats

    Despite being a relatively new DFS player, I have quite a bit of experience w/ sportsbook and poker. The best advice I can give you is to focus on the process and not the results.
    As long as you have solid reasons for your plays and are trying to be consistent with the methodology you are using to make them, then you can make improvements by analysis.
    The absolute worst thing you can do is change your methods week to week based solely on short term results. Try to focus on creating a solid process for picking your players and staying with it long enough to get some real results for analysis. Pick some cheap 50/50 leagues with some solid grinders in them and analyze their picks.
    Compare them to yours and see if you can figure out why they picked as they do/did.
    As long as you do some decent BR management you can withstand the tough weeks long enough for it to go your way
    Good luck!

  • db730

    RotoGrinders Media Director

    • 855

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2016 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    • 2016 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @barro said…

    Stay the course….

    It was a weird week.
    The problem this week was all the cute plays came thru.
    Harry D and boykins came up very big even though metrics point the other way but most lay players probably picked one or both.

    Not doubting you Barro, but just curious to know what metrics you felt pointed toward Boykin being a questionable play. I couldn’t see much a reason at all not to roll with with him .

  • Jamcity

    just a advice not saying it will work 100 percent of the time but normally the ovious play is not the play just like harry was the play but most tought tony gonz was the play wayne is out so the play is not t.y lol

  • bmlenox

    NFL is rough with a bad week, you have too much time to think and analyze. I prefer NBA/MLB, where a bad night is forgotten within 24 hours… unless its a Thursday in the NBA.. god I hate Thursdays.

  • sprom

    • 2012 DraftStreet DSBC Finalist

    @barro said…

    Stay the course….

    It was a weird week.
    The problem this week was all the cute plays came thru.
    Harry D and boykins came up very big even though metrics point the other way but most lay players probably picked one or both.

    I feel like we say it was a weird week every week in the NFL. At what point does it stop being a weird week and just how the NFL is.

    For other sports we can say it was a weird night and I get it. The NFL feels like a weird week every week. I think it is because TDs are nearly impossible to pick

  • jimfred82

    • Blogger of the Month

    oddly enough, my wife asked me why NFL is so much harder than NBA to predict. I think a lot of it is the random element; injuries, blowouts, pick sixes, wind, rain, snow… not only that, but, AT MOST, your sample size is still tiny. Oh, Dallas has a bad pass defense? Well, they played five games and against Peyton Manning. That’s a tiny sample size. And yet, we still make our plays based on those sample sizes because it’s all we have. In NBA or MLB, you get that sample size in about a week and a half!

  • cb35

    2013 FFFC Finalist, 2013 DFFC Finalist

    • 2013 FanDuel WFFC Finalist

    weird week aka “I lost this week”. I think weird week makes us feel better

  • Kaporegime

    Stay the course,stay calm
    Last week I think I went 1-16, absolutely brutal
    Put more time into this week and went 15-4
    Jus don’t bet on tilt, and don’t chase he loses

  • barro

  • barro

    @db730 said…

    Not doubting you Barro, but just curious to know what metrics you felt pointed toward Boykin being a questionable play. I couldn’t see much a reason at all not to roll with with him .

    CLE is #8 pass def. I know everyone says the #2 WR does well cause Hayden takes the #1 but stats are still solid there. Rodgers had had 3 weeks in a row of less than 18 fnatasy pts and a single TD in each contest. Nothing to make one confident in the GB passing attack. I know Boykins was a low risk but prior to this week I had found most cute picks to be busts. But heck Peyton Hillis outscored AP, Shady etc

  • ldmariodl28

    • Blogger of the Month

    With regards to the Boykin situation he was just to cheap on sites to ignore in a situation to get volume. I question especially in cash games why these guys would be faded. Same with Douglas. Besides just because a team has a good pass d ranked doesn’t tell the whole story. Who have they played? Has a specific wr# had good success vs a team? One thing I love to look up is which teams have struggled vs recieving rbs.. Again though with all rankings you need to see who a team has faced.

    As for the OP just stay the course. Not every week is going to be a winning week. Just stick to proper bankroll mgmt and you will be fine. If you haven’t already check out the bankroll mgmt stuff in Grinders U. By far the most important info in there…

  • Cal

    RG CoFounder & Admin

    • 877

      RG Overall Ranking

    • $1M Prize Winner

    • x4

      2015 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    Hey Youngcat, lots of good advice in this thread already.

    Approaching the games with an understanding that losing weeks are coming and using proper bankroll management make it much easier to bounce back after a tough week.

    While this is a skill game, the best NFL handicapper in the world would have a hard time having 7 straight winning weeks. We’re all going to have losing weeks mixed in regularly. I’d be careful not to overract and change your approach to roster creation if you’ve had success up until this point.

    You have to be financially prepared for the losing week on top of being psychologically prepared. Read through the bankroll management courses on GrindersU if you don’t feel entirely comfortable there.

    /lessons/Getting_Your_Bankroll_Started-174289

    /lessons/Starting_Out_How_Much_to_Play-174290

    /lessons/Surviving_Hot_and_Cold_Streaks-174291

    /lessons/Different_Bankroll_Strategies_for_Game_Types-174292

    /lessons/The_Kelly_Criterion_and_Other_Advanced_Theories-174302

  • tommyboy42609

    @barro said…

    CLE is #8 pass def. I know everyone says the #2 WR does well cause Hayden takes the #1 but stats are still solid there. Rodgers had had 3 weeks in a row of less than 18 fnatasy pts and a single TD in each contest. Nothing to make one confident in the GB passing attack. I know Boykins was a low risk but prior to this week I had found most cute picks to be busts. But heck Peyton Hillis outscored AP, Shady etc

    The 2nd best QB in the league isn’t going to be held down for long, especially at home. He also talked in the media all week about how Boykin will be getting his chances…other than Jordy/Finley – there were no other options that have reps with AR in practice for more than a week.

  • youngcatx21

    Thanks for the feedback. Definitely trying to soak up as much knowledge as I can. All the advice was great.
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