STRATEGY FORUM

Comments

  • skleni

    Tomorrow the tournaments in Washington (ATP and WTA, hard), Los Cabos (ATP, hard), Kitzbühel (ATP, clay) and San Jose (WTA, hard) get underway.
    The week on dk starts with a 50k Line Painter (last week the contest on Monday was 40k, really excited to see DFS Tennis grow week by week).

    Good luck to you all!

  • Kassdog

    Mertens got me today.

  • JSteele

    I think today was pick all the dogs to win

    Edmund, Zheng, Ahn, Gojowcyzk, Cilic and you’d be sitting pretty right now.

  • tristanwolf

    @JSteele said...

    I think today was pick all the dogs to win

    Edmund, Zheng, Ahn, Gojowcyzk, Cilic and you’d be sitting pretty right now.

    it’s a bloodbath today!

  • Jenesaisblah

  • JSteele

    Brengle isn’t trying. 80 mph serves. Anisimova is only losing points when she makes mistakes

  • JSteele

    Late lineup is normal so far. Anisimova and Tsitsipas. Hopefully the bloodbath is over

  • tristanwolf

    so like are some 3/6 gonna cash tonight? ever seen a slate this nuts?

  • Yeoman

    1783 lineups in the $1 at DK and I don’t see a single 6-0.

  • Jenesaisblah

    Most of the top chalk losing is pretty funny. Two of my lineups don’t have a single W. Lol.

  • Yeoman

    The nice thing about tennis is you can’t make the same mistake twice because all those mistakes are now out of the tournament.

  • Kassdog

    I was 4/6 and managed to finish 163 in the $15. If I went with literally anyone else other than mertens I would have finished 100 positions higher.

  • elmore0631

    Giorgi won the first match of the day and was feeling good—- she ended up being the only one to win… only other play to win a set was Tsonga.

  • dw12290

    Going with Paire over Tsitsipas today and also sticking with Edmund. Still early though and I’m sure I will tinker with my lineups.

  • FDRep

    • FanDuel Representative

    Hi all! Just closing the loop: the email to enter the Kevin Anderson Kneeroll should be out for today. Good luck!

    - NB

  • JSteele

    I’m taking a new approach and looking ahead to the ATP/WTA 1000 Rogers Cup to see who needs to perform well there to maintain their ranking.

    Tsitsipas will be defending runner up points
    Marin Cilic will be defending quarter final points
    Medvedev is defending 3rd round points
    Paire is defending 2nd rounds points
    Edmund is defending 2nd rounds points
    Svitolina is defending semifinal points
    Suarez-Navarro is defending 3rd round points
    Sabalenka is defending 3rd round points
    Zheng is defending 2nd round points

    Now looking at the current tournaments

    Sakkari is defending runner up points (and was eliminated in the 1st round of rogers cup)
    Tsitsipas is defending Semi Final points
    Not on DK but Vekic is defending runner up points

    Now players registered for next week’s Rogers Cup

    Anisimova
    Giorgi
    Hsieh
    Sabalenka
    Suarez-Navarro
    Svitolina
    Vekic
    Cilic
    Edmund
    Kyrgios
    Medvedev
    Paire
    Tsitsipas

    With the exception of the 3 listed. Everyone stands to gain some points this week regardless of outcome today. I think Cilic, and Svitolina take it easier today to rest up for next week.

    Kyrgios was under 10% in the late slate with that Q tag on his name on DK so i’m gonna roll with him again. He appeared to be fine. He lost in the first round of the Rogers Cup last year so he has no motivation to take a breather. Diyas has also been playing very well and will not take part next week whereas Giorgi will be.

    Edit:

    Further adding to my research, here is a list of players who have done well on short rest (on hard courts) in the past:
    Tsitsipas
    Medvedev
    Edmund
    Giorgi (the players she happened to lose to were Barty, Kerber, Venus, and the good Pliskova so I don’t count those)

    and a list of who hasn’t:
    Cilic
    Paire
    Kyrgios
    Suarez-Navarro
    Sabalenka
    Svitolina
    Vekic
    Anisimova
    Hsieh

    Anyways take this as you will. Hopefully it was helpful for some.

  • dw12290

    @FDRep said...

    Hi all! Just closing the loop: the email to enter the Kevin Anderson Kneeroll should be out for today. Good luck!

    - NB

    Thanks NB. Not sure if those of us not affected by the Anderson match will get the email but just posting and doing what FD has done speaks volumes about how FD cares about their customers.

    Thanks again!

  • dw12290

    @JSteele said...

    I’m taking a new approach and looking ahead to the ATP/WTA 1000 Rogers Cup to see who needs to perform well there to maintain their ranking.

    Tsitsipas will be defending runner up points
    Marin Cilic will be defending quarter final points
    Medvedev is defending 3rd round points
    Paire is defending 2nd rounds points
    Edmund is defending 2nd rounds points
    Svitolina is defending semifinal points
    Suarez-Navarro is defending 3rd round points
    Sabalenka is defending 3rd round points
    Zheng is defending 2nd round points

    Now looking at the current tournaments

    Sakkari is defending runner up points (and was eliminated in the 1st round of rogers cup)
    Tsitsipas is defending Semi Final points
    Not on DK but Vekic is defending runner up points

    Now players registered for next week’s Rogers Cup

    Anisimova
    Giorgi
    Hsieh
    Sabalenka
    Suarez-Navarro
    Svitolina
    Vekic
    Cilic
    Edmund
    Kyrgios
    Medvedev
    Paire
    Tsitsipas

    With the exception of the 3 listed. Everyone stands to gain some points this week regardless of outcome today. I think Cilic, and Svitolina take it easier today to rest up for next week.

    Kyrgios was under 10% in the late slate with that Q tag on his name on DK so i’m gonna roll with him again. He appeared to be fine. He lost in the first round of the Rogers Cup last year so he has no motivation to take a breather. Diyas has also been playing very well and will not take part next week whereas Giorgi will be.

    Anyways take this as you will. Hopefully it was helpful for some.

    All very good points and a lot of info to think about. Thanks!

  • Yeoman

    @JSteele said...

    I’m taking a new approach and looking ahead to the ATP/WTA 1000 Rogers Cup to see who needs to perform well there to maintain their ranking.

    Tsitsipas will be defending runner up points
    Marin Cilic will be defending quarter final points
    Medvedev is defending 3rd round points
    Paire is defending 2nd rounds points
    Edmund is defending 2nd rounds points
    Svitolina is defending semifinal points
    Suarez-Navarro is defending 3rd round points
    Sabalenka is defending 3rd round points
    Zheng is defending 2nd round points

    Now looking at the current tournaments

    Sakkari is defending runner up points (and was eliminated in the 1st round of rogers cup)
    Tsitsipas is defending Semi Final points
    Not on DK but Vekic is defending runner up points

    Now players registered for next week’s Rogers Cup

    Anisimova
    Giorgi
    Hsieh
    Sabalenka
    Suarez-Navarro
    Svitolina
    Vekic
    Cilic
    Edmund
    Kyrgios
    Medvedev
    Paire
    Tsitsipas

    With the exception of the 3 listed. Everyone stands to gain some points this week regardless of outcome today. I think Cilic, and Svitolina take it easier today to rest up for next week.

    Kyrgios was under 10% in the late slate with that Q tag on his name on DK so i’m gonna roll with him again. He appeared to be fine. He lost in the first round of the Rogers Cup last year so he has no motivation to take a breather. Diyas has also been playing very well and will not take part next week whereas Giorgi will be.

    Edit:

    Further adding to my research, here is a list of players who have done well on short rest (on hard courts) in the past:
    Tsitsipas
    Medvedev
    Edmund
    Giorgi (the players she happened to lose to were Barty, Kerber, Venus, and the good Pliskova so I don’t count those)

    and a list of who hasn’t:
    Cilic
    Paire
    Kyrgios
    Suarez-Navarro
    Sabalenka
    Svitolina
    Vekic
    Anisimova
    Hsieh

    Anyways take this as you will. Hopefully it was helpful for some.

    Reading this I was reminded of a few years back when a reporter asked Tsvetana Pironkova if she was happy about all the ratings points she’d pick up for her win and she said “Really? We get ratings points for these tournaments? I thought that was just at the majors.”

    As with every Pironkova interview ever, I have no idea if she was serious.

  • JSteele

    @Yeoman said...

    Reading this I was reminded of a few years back when a reporter asked Tsvetana Pironkova if she was happy about all the ratings points she’d pick up for her win and she said “Really? We get ratings points for these tournaments? I thought that was just at the majors.”

    As with every Pironkova interview ever, I have no idea if she was serious.

    I think these smaller tournaments don’t matter nearly as much for points. Especially with a big one right around the corner. However, with such a bloodbath yesterday with upsets, I was thinking there may be a method to the madness.

    Mertens made it to the quarter finals at Rogers Cup last year.
    Azarenka made it to the 2nd round
    Tsurenko made it to the 2nd round
    Raonic and Felix made it to the 2nd round
    Isner made it to the 3rd round
    Tiafoe made it to the 3rd round

    Not all of these would be considered upsets, but all the losers had made it past the first round of Rogers last year.

  • Yeoman

    @JSteele said...

    I think these smaller tournaments don’t matter nearly as much for points. Especially with a big one right around the corner. However, with such a bloodbath yesterday with upsets, I was thinking there may be a method to the madness.

    Mertens made it to the quarter finals at Rogers Cup last year.
    Azarenka made it to the 2nd round
    Tsurenko made it to the 2nd round
    Raonic and Felix made it to the 2nd round
    Isner made it to the 3rd round
    Tiafoe made it to the 3rd round

    Not all of these would be considered upsets, but all the losers had made it past the first round of Rogers last year.

    To be serious for a moment, it’s the big one right around the corner that might have people thinking about points. I don’t think anyone cares much about points in themselves, except that they decide who gets directly into the main draw and they determine seeds. Seeding for the Open will be based on rankings after Cincinnati; anyone near the #32 cusp might have some extra motivation for the next couple of weeks; maybe the 8/9 and 16/17 lines too.

    Here’s a site I use that keeps track of where everyone is, what their next win would do, how many points are going to expire in coming weeks, etc.:

    https://live-tennis.eu/en/wta-live-ranking

    That’s the WTA page; there’s a link at the top to ATP at the same site.

    I have no idea if any of this has any predictive value; I’ve just been following it as a fan, not for DFS purposes.

  • JSteele

    @Yeoman said...

    To be serious for a moment, it’s the big one right around the corner that might have people thinking about points. I don’t think anyone cares much about points in themselves, except that they decide who gets directly into the main draw and they determine seeds. Seeding for the Open will be based on rankings after Cincinnati; anyone near the #32 cusp might have some extra motivation for the next couple of weeks; maybe the 8/9 and 16/17 lines too.

    Here’s a site I use that keeps track of where everyone is, what their next win would do, how many points are going to expire in coming weeks, etc.:

    https://live-tennis.eu/en/wta-live-ranking

    That’s the WTA page; there’s a link at the top to ATP at the same site.

    I have no idea if any of this has any predictive value; I’ve just been following it as a fan, not for DFS purposes.

    Keep in mind the 2 ATP 1000 and WTA Premier events before the US Open will affect things a fair bit. Using your logic, Sakkari would drop outside that 32 ranking if she loses today and Svitolina already stands to gain 99 points with a loss. Edmund would stand to move up with a win (Just outside the top 20 if he wins the tournament). Tsitsipas will lose some points but won’t drop in ranking with a loss today.

    I also wasn’t really thinking about Cincinnati earlier but a lot of the players in the Rogers cup are also registered to play there. Giorgi, and Svitolina, my two upset bids included.

  • JSteele

    Sakkari 10% vs Svitolina 44%
    Kyrgios 28% vs Gombos ?
    Diyas 21% vs Giorgi 22%

    will be the big ones for me to have a shot

    It looks like Anisimova and Hsieh lead the way with 60%+ each.

    All the favs appear to be 30-45%.

    Good luck

  • Yeoman

    @JSteele said...

    I also wasn’t really thinking about Cincinnati earlier but a lot of the players in the Rogers cup are also registered to play there. Giorgi, and Svitolina, my two upset bids included.

    No doubt we’ll have some withdrawals in the run-up but for now the only player in either top 40 not registered for Cincinnati is Del Potro.

  • gvn2fly1421

    Edmund already down a break and thats enough tennis for me today…

  • Yeoman

    Gojowczyk’s my only player under 10%; it would be a nice start to the day but I’m not holding my breath.

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