After a successful 2016, I’m excited to announce that my DFS MLB projection system, THE BAT, will be returning to RotoGrinders for the 2017 season! Plus, new for this year will be a special upgrade package with loads of additional content and projections (including team-level projections from THE BAT), details of which you can find below.
But first, if you’re not familiar with THE BAT at all yet, here’s what you need to know:
I’ve developed THE BAT over the past seven years and ten thousand hours, using skills and methods I’ve developed from my time in the sabermetric community working with some of the best baseball minds in the world, many of whom are now making decisions for Major League clubs. Skills and methods that help set THE BAT apart from your run-of-the-mill Vegas or wOBA model. Vegas and wOBA are shortcuts, plain and simple, and any model that relies on them will give you results and lineups that are shortcuts and, therefore, suboptimal. THE BAT goes well beyond that, incorporating everything wOBA or Vegas can tell you but in a more complex way and with plenty of additional layers and features on top. And it works with RotoGrinders’ Lineup Builder, helping you build your ideal lineups for both cash games and GPPs.
What Goes Into THE BAT?
While I was developing my system, the code name I used for it was BATMAN, named after a certain caped crusader who 1) Is awesome, like I intended my system to be, and 2) Uses all sorts of gadgets to get the job done, which is the perfect analogy for my system. As far as I can tell, THE BAT takes into account more factors and has more features than any other system out there. You can get more details here, but to list a few, every single day THE BAT considers:
• Opposing Hitter/Pitcher
• Weather (everything from temperature to air pressure)
• Catcher Throwing, Intimidation, and Framing
• Home Field Advantage
• Platoon Splits (Hitter/Pitcher/Park/Umpire/Catcher)
• Lineup Position
• Quality of Surrounding Lineup
• And more, explained further in THE BAT FAQ
And THE BAT doesn’t just take what a player has done at face value. This is actually one of the biggest mistakes most DFS players and models make, assuming that what a player has done this year represents his true talent level. But there’s a big difference between past performance and expected performance, and that’s why each one of these factors has its own underlying projection system so that THE BAT can have the best estimate of how well everyone and everything should perform going forward.
With a year at RotoGrinders under THE BAT’s belt, you can now hear from fellow members of the RG community who found success with THE BAT in 2016 here
While you can still get everything you came to expect of THE BAT in 2016 with the baseline package, should you be so inclined, we’ll be offering a premium package this year as well. This package will include exclusive content: a weekly, no-holds-barred chat session with me; a weekly video lesson about an important DFS concept; daily (4-5x per week) mini-podcasts with my personal thoughts on the day’s slate (similar to the format of the podcasts I did for ESPN in 2016); and additional, game-and-team-level projections from THE BAT.
This final piece should be a great help in constructing GPP teams. You’ll be able to compare THE BAT’s run projection for a team to the number of runs Vegas projects, allowing you to find stacks that are likely to be underowned. It will also have helpful data on which teams’ run projections are comprised the most of home runs (creating bigger upside) and which teams are the most well-balanced (if a team gets most of its offense from a single star or two, a five-man stack may not make as much sense).
Simply head over to this page for THE BAT and this page for the Premium Content and Team Projections package and follow the instructions! – If you have any questions, please post them here, or feel free to email TheBAT@RotoGrinders.com at anytime. I’m happy to answer any questions you have about myself, THE BAT, or DFS in general.